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2021 Major League Baseball Win Probability

Previous Season

Other Leagues: AL, NL

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Team Win Probability*

Team Win Probability* Table
Tm	R/G	BtRuns	BtWins	Plays	WPA	WPA+	WPA-	aLI	WPA/LI	Clutch	cWPA	cWPA+	cWPA-	acLI	cClutch	RE24	REW	boLI	RE24/boLI	PHlev	AB
Arizona Diamondbacks	4.19	-104.5	-10.4	6310	-10.4	102.3	-112.7%	1.02	-7.4	-2.8	-1.1%	16.0%	-17.2%	.26	-2.8%	-65.6	-6.7	0.95	-90.6	1.18	293
Atlanta Braves	4.91	-41.5	-4.4	6221	-0.9	106.0	-106.9%	.99	1.4	-2.3	0.5%	76.2%	-75.7%	1.17	-0.3%	42.7	3.8	0.93	28.4	1.23	234
Baltimore Orioles	4.07	-80.7	-8.1	6176	-13.1	92.5	-105.5%	.94	-8.8	-5.0	-2.8%	13.8%	-16.5%	.24	-9.1%	-103.8	-10.3	0.92	-99.0	1.58	73
Boston Red Sox	5.12	30.9	2.9	6290	5.8	112.4	-106.7%	.99	4.6	1.2	4.7%	100.5%	-95.7%	1.48	0.3%	55.5	5.1	0.94	51.2	1.75	77
Chicago Cubs	4.35	-63.9	-6.5	6188	-4.6	103.5	-108.1%	1.00	-4.1	-0.5	-4.5%	38.8%	-43.3%	.66	-3.9%	-31.5	-3.4	0.94	-29.4	1.23	272
Chicago White Sox	4.91	59.2	5.7	6261	4.4	106.1	-101.7%	.95	8.0	-3.3	3.5%	56.4%	-52.8%	.84	-0.7%	64.6	6.2	0.96	80.8	1.67	74
Cincinnati Reds	4.85	-58.6	-6.0	6318	-5.2	105.8	-111.0%	.99	-0.9	-4.3	-4.8%	62.2%	-67.0%	.99	-4.2%	-2.4	-0.5	0.95	4.9	1.29	261
Cleveland Indians	4.43	-57.8	-5.8	6113	-5.3	99.5	-104.7%	.97	-3.9	-1.5	-2.4%	47.9%	-50.3%	.77	-1.2%	-32.6	-3.4	0.92	-56.0	1.14	77
Colorado Rockies	4.59	-116.5	-11.6	6203	-3.8	105.4	-109.3%	1.01	-2.2	-1.6	-1.2%	12.2%	-13.3%	.20	-4.1%	-32.7	-3.2	0.93	-35.8	1.17	257
Detroit Tigers	4.30	-23.0	-2.4	6184	-6.8	104.4	-111.3%	1.02	-6.2	-0.5	-2.6%	15.3%	-18.0%	.27	-6.0%	-47.3	-4.9	0.94	-66.5	1.90	64
Houston Astros	5.33	109.1	10.6	6450	4.0	108.5	-104.5%	.96	6.1	-1.9	3.7%	76.7%	-73.0%	1.12	-0.4%	103.8	10.0	0.96	74.5	1.53	81
Kansas City Royals	4.23	-97.7	-9.7	6245	-3.6	100.5	-104.1%	.96	-6.4	2.6	-1.4%	26.6%	-28.0%	.43	-0.3%	-74.2	-7.3	0.94	-92.5	1.36	73
Los Angeles Angels	4.46	-50.7	-5.3	6216	-4.1	97.0	-101.1%	.93	-3.0	-1.4	-0.9%	30.6%	-31.5%	.49	-1.3%	-30.3	-3.3	0.93	-53.4	1.48	65
Los Angeles Dodgers	5.12	26.3	2.3	6411	3.8	110.4	-106.6%	.98	5.5	-1.6	1.8%	82.6%	-80.7%	1.24	-1.9%	88.3	8.3	0.96	73.8	1.32	239
Miami Marlins	3.85	-145.0	-14.5	6162	-14.4	100.5	-114.9%	1.05	-14.1	0.4	-4.4%	26.6%	-30.9%	.47	-3.2%	-112.5	-11.5	0.93	-146.2	1.26	232
Milwaukee Brewers	4.56	-71.5	-7.2	6275	-2.6	103.1	-105.8%	.99	-3.4	0.8	-1.4%	60.9%	-62.3%	.97	0.8%	-11.5	-1.4	0.95	-35.2	1.28	239
Minnesota Twins	4.50	23.5	2.1	6254	-4.6	105.1	-109.7%	1.00	-1.4	-3.2	-1.6%	15.5%	-17.1%	.26	-5.6%	-25.1	-2.7	0.93	-19.9	1.61	97
New York Mets	3.93	-45.4	-4.7	6010	-8.4	109.3	-117.8%	1.13	-5.4	-2.0	-6.2%	79.0%	-85.2%	1.36	-2.1%	-60.2	-6.3	0.96	-48.8	1.59	264
New York Yankees	4.39	1.3	0.0	6236	1.0	112.0	-111.0%	1.03	-0.6	1.6	1.4%	77.7%	-76.4%	1.18	1.6%	-40.2	-4.1	0.94	-16.1	1.90	78
Oakland Athletics	4.59	26.6	2.5	6291	1.9	109.9	-108.0%	1.01	0.3	1.7	0.5%	85.6%	-85.1%	1.31	0.4%	7.4	0.6	0.94	7.5	1.60	145
Philadelphia Phillies	4.53	-34.5	-3.7	6269	2.1	108.0	-106.0%	1.00	0.1	2.0	-0.8%	79.2%	-80.0%	1.25	-0.7%	7.4	0.5	0.95	2.4	1.25	239
Pittsburgh Pirates	3.76	-127.6	-12.8	6168	-10.0	99.9	-109.9%	1.04	-13.5	3.9	-3.4%	14.5%	-17.9%	.27	-7.3%	-116.5	-11.9	0.96	-144.6	1.20	254
San Diego Padres	4.50	21.6	1.9	6366	-4.3	103.1	-107.4%	1.01	-1.5	-2.7	-2.0%	65.6%	-67.5%	1.07	-1.6%	6.6	0.3	0.96	-6.5	1.27	266
Seattle Mariners	4.30	-48.8	-4.9	6192	1.7	107.5	-105.8%	1.00	-8.2	10.0	0.1%	67.9%	-67.8%	1.06	5.0%	-41.4	-4.4	0.93	-91.4	1.57	87
San Francisco Giants	4.96	56.0	5.3	6381	7.8	113.0	-105.2%	.98	6.3	1.7	6.5%	82.1%	-75.6%	1.18	1.7%	64.3	6.1	0.95	75.4	1.19	346
St. Louis Cardinals	4.36	13.5	1.1	6190	1.0	96.0	-95.0%	.90	1.8	-0.7	-1.4%	47.9%	-49.3%	.76	-2.5%	1.5	-0.1	0.94	10.0	0.90	214
Tampa Bay Rays	5.29	102.5	10.0	6447	7.9	116.3	-108.5%	1.01	6.5	1.3	6.0%	75.8%	-69.8%	1.10	1.8%	119.2	12.0	0.94	89.7	2.12	96
Texas Rangers	3.86	-124.3	-12.5	6168	-16.7	93.2	-110.0%	.99	-15.1	-1.7	-2.9%	17.8%	-20.8%	.32	-5.2%	-137.4	-13.9	0.91	-165.7	1.52	78
Toronto Blue Jays	5.22	107.6	10.4	6279	3.2	103.0	-99.8%	.91	9.5	-6.0	2.5%	63.8%	-61.2%	.93	-3.0%	99.2	9.4	0.93	103.8	1.21	90
Washington Nationals	4.47	62.4	5.8	6295	-2.2	109.8	-112.0%	1.03	2.4	-4.5	-1.1%	31.6%	-32.7%	.50	-2.2%	11.1	0.7	0.97	32.6	1.25	256
League Average	4.53	-22	-2	6252	-3	105	-107%	.99	-2	-1	-1%	52%	-52%	.81	-0%	-10	-1	0	-19	0	171
	4.53	-651.5	-70.3	187569	-76.4	3144.1	-3220.5%	.99	-53.7	-23.2	-15.4%	1547.0%	-1562.5%	.81	-4.3%	-293.4	-36.2	0.94	-562.6	1.33	5121
Tm	R/G	BtRuns	BtWins	Plays	WPA	WPA+	WPA-	aLI	WPA/LI	Clutch	cWPA	cWPA+	cWPA-	acLI	cClutch	RE24	REW	boLI	RE24/boLI	PHlev	AB

* - Disclaimer & Completeness Note

* Many detailed statistics are based on play-by-play accounts accumulated by Retrosheet. These totals may be incomplete (3.6% of all plays from 1916 to 1972 are missing or have incomplete accounts, click link for year and team summary of data completeness) for some players prior to 1973 and even complete seasons may not match the official totals due to errors in both the official totals and the play-by-play accounts. Pre-1954 seasons have a substantial numbers of games missing play-by-play accounts and should be viewed as essentially incomplete.

2021 Major League Baseball Win Probability

Team Win Probability*

* - Disclaimer & Completeness Note

Player Win Probability