2011 Major League Baseball Win Probability

Other Leagues: AL, NL

World Series Champion: St. Louis Cardinals

Become a Stathead & surf this site ad-free.

Team Win Probability*

Team Win Probability* Table
Tm	RA/G	PtchR	PtchW	Plays	WPA	WPA+	WPA-	aLI	WPA/LI	Clutch	cWPA	cWPA+	cWPA-	acLI	cClutch	RE24	REW	boLI	RE24/boLI	LevHi	LevMd	LevLo
Arizona Diamondbacks	4.09	26.8	3.4	6261	5.6	106.7	-101.1	.99	-0.6	6.2	3.3%	76.8%	-73.5%	1.20	3.1%	9.6	1.9	0.95	-8.1	145	90	228
Atlanta Braves	3.73	68.0	7.4	6446	11.3	118.1	-106.8	1.09	6.9	3.5	10.3%	99.1%	-88.9%	1.55	2.5%	73.0	8.0	0.96	63.3	218	108	184
Baltimore Orioles	5.31	-106.1	-9.9	6491	-9.7	103.7	-113.4	.95	-11.5	1.3	-1.1%	26.4%	-27.5%	.40	0.2%	-131.9	-12.1	0.96	-135.4	140	88	250
Boston Red Sox	4.55	19.9	2.7	6546	3.3	107.5	-104.3	.98	1.7	1.6	0.2%	88.1%	-87.9%	1.35	-0.9%	9.2	1.9	0.95	26.8	128	97	220
Chicago Cubs	4.67	-66.2	-6.4	6481	-10.3	109.6	-119.9	1.06	-7.3	-2.4	-3.3%	19.3%	-22.5%	.32	-6.9%	-92.9	-9.1	0.99	-87.5	164	92	239
Chicago White Sox	4.36	46.9	5.0	6434	8.2	115.4	-107.3	1.04	5.9	1.9	3.1%	51.1%	-47.9%	.77	-0.9%	40.5	4.3	0.94	62.0	149	73	188
Cincinnati Reds	4.44	-22.9	-1.8	6454	-6.0	113.2	-119.2	1.06	-4.0	-1.7	-3.3%	48.0%	-51.3%	.76	-3.2%	-40.9	-3.6	0.96	-43.0	174	103	224
Cleveland Indians	4.69	-56.5	-5.1	6433	0.7	109.1	-108.4	1.00	-1.8	2.6	2.2%	75.6%	-73.4%	1.15	1.3%	-59.6	-5.4	0.96	-33.5	180	82	221
Colorado Rockies	4.78	20.7	2.6	6450	-4.1	107.2	-111.3	.99	-5.4	1.2	-1.4%	42.9%	-44.3%	.66	0.5%	-51.4	-4.3	0.95	-54.3	194	97	226
Detroit Tigers	4.39	14.6	2.3	6377	7.0	109.3	-102.3	1.00	4.7	2.3	5.0%	82.8%	-77.7%	1.27	1.3%	9.8	2.0	0.95	48.2	150	87	184
Florida Marlins	4.33	-6.2	-0.1	6392	-3.6	107.7	-111.3	1.02	1.3	-4.8	-1.7%	39.3%	-41.0%	.62	-2.4%	-34.1	-2.9	0.95	-10.0	178	117	213
Houston Astros	4.91	-118.3	-11.5	6482	-16.6	101.8	-118.4	.98	-12.9	-3.9	-3.2%	11.2%	-14.4%	.19	-13.3%	-150.4	-14.9	0.98	-169.0	153	79	271
Kansas City Royals	4.70	-45.5	-3.9	6525	-6.6	114.5	-121.1	1.06	-5.4	-0.8	-1.8%	29.4%	-31.2%	.46	-1.4%	-41.7	-3.3	0.97	-54.6	170	85	165
Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim	3.91	37.4	4.5	6358	8.2	117.8	-109.5	1.09	4.7	2.8	5.4%	96.7%	-91.3%	1.50	0.3%	63.4	7.7	0.95	48.7	169	58	159
Los Angeles Dodgers	3.80	24.3	3.1	6236	4.1	102.9	-98.8	.99	4.4	-0.3	-1.5%	25.5%	-27.1%	.42	-5.1%	32.3	4.0	0.96	44.9	139	93	229
Milwaukee Brewers	3.94	48.9	5.2	6263	4.8	107.3	-102.5	1.00	3.6	1.2	2.5%	73.2%	-70.7%	1.14	0.0%	35.8	3.8	0.93	39.6	142	87	205
Minnesota Twins	4.96	-89.9	-8.6	6418	-9.2	103.8	-113.0	.98	-9.4	0.1	-1.3%	22.0%	-23.3%	.35	-0.3%	-100.1	-9.6	0.97	-107.8	153	79	225
New York Mets	4.58	-86.4	-8.5	6546	-10.2	109.4	-119.7	1.06	-9.0	-0.6	-2.7%	32.5%	-35.1%	.52	-1.3%	-87.9	-8.9	0.99	-97.2	182	101	231
New York Yankees	4.06	91.2	9.7	6468	10.9	114.0	-103.1	1.03	4.4	6.1	8.3%	71.5%	-63.2%	1.07	4.4%	86.5	9.0	0.96	57.1	186	97	182
Oakland Athletics	4.19	39.0	4.2	6383	4.6	108.1	-103.5	1.00	2.7	1.9	2.3%	35.3%	-33.1%	.55	2.8%	29.7	3.4	0.95	25.1	145	85	230
Philadelphia Phillies	3.27	140.5	15.5	6242	18.8	114.1	-95.3	1.05	12.3	5.6	10.8%	56.6%	-45.8%	.86	5.3%	147.7	16.5	0.93	130.4	150	69	175
Pittsburgh Pirates	4.40	-52.7	-5.1	6564	-6.0	112.3	-118.3	1.07	-8.8	3.2	0.6%	52.2%	-51.6%	.81	3.2%	-66.3	-6.4	1.00	-98.9	201	107	241
San Diego Padres	3.77	21.5	2.4	6336	2.9	108.1	-105.2	1.02	1.6	1.3	0.7%	21.1%	-20.4%	.33	2.0%	31.4	3.7	0.96	19.1	169	113	207
Seattle Mariners	4.17	-21.0	-1.6	6259	-1.4	104.0	-105.4	.98	1.6	-3.0	2.0%	40.1%	-38.1%	.61	0.3%	-0.3	0.5	0.94	21.8	105	61	185
San Francisco Giants	3.57	48.0	5.4	6369	10.4	114.5	-104.1	1.07	9.7	0.0	7.9%	89.1%	-81.3%	1.39	0.0%	69.2	8.0	0.96	85.4	188	92	200
St. Louis Cardinals	4.27	-19.0	-1.7	6382	-5.8	114.7	-120.5	1.09	-0.6	-4.8	-8.0%	91.6%	-99.7%	1.47	-5.1%	-31.2	-2.8	0.96	-21.8	176	95	197
Tampa Bay Rays	3.79	41.7	4.6	6224	6.3	101.0	-94.7	.93	8.5	-1.8	5.1%	82.9%	-77.8%	1.27	-1.0%	83.2	9.4	0.93	76.9	124	79	235
Texas Rangers	4.18	89.4	9.4	6210	6.8	102.1	-95.3	.93	7.1	0.3	5.5%	85.9%	-80.4%	1.30	0.0%	66.5	6.7	0.92	76.2	136	85	196
Toronto Blue Jays	4.70	-5.8	0.0	6526	-0.7	109.6	-110.3	.98	-2.6	1.8	-0.4%	40.7%	-41.1%	.61	-0.2%	-20.1	-1.2	0.95	-28.6	150	81	243
Washington Nationals	3.99	36.2	4.1	6308	4.8	115.3	-110.5	1.08	2.1	2.4	0.1%	32.9%	-32.9%	.52	0.3%	19.0	2.4	0.96	15.1	200	108	195
League Average	4.28	4	1	6395	1	109	-108	1.02	0	1	2%	55%	-53%	.85	1%	-3	0	0	-4	162	90	212
	4.28	118.5	27.2	191864	28.5	3282.9	-3254.4	1.02	4.0	24.0	45.5%	1639.9%	-1594.5%	.85	31.4%	-102.1	8.6	0.96	-109.1	4858	2688	6348
Tm	RA/G	PtchR	PtchW	Plays	WPA	WPA+	WPA-	aLI	WPA/LI	Clutch	cWPA	cWPA+	cWPA-	acLI	cClutch	RE24	REW	boLI	RE24/boLI	LevHi	LevMd	LevLo