2011 Major League Baseball Win Probability

Other Leagues: AL, NL

World Series Champion: St. Louis Cardinals

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Team Win Probability*

Team Win Probability* Table
Tm	R/G	BtRuns	BtWins	Plays	WPA	WPA+	WPA-	aLI	WPA/LI	Clutch	cWPA	cWPA+	cWPA-	acLI	cClutch	RE24	REW	boLI	RE24/boLI	PHlev	AB
Arizona Diamondbacks	4.51	-14.9	-1.7	6377	7.4	112.1	-104.7	.99	3.9	3.5	5.5%	79.2%	-73.7%	1.16	2.3%	64.4	6.2	0.95	53.0	1.32	223
Atlanta Braves	3.96	-88.3	-9.1	6353	-3.4	111.3	-114.7	1.06	-4.0	0.8	-5.9%	88.6%	-94.5%	1.45	-1.6%	-30.1	-3.2	0.94	-26.0	1.33	235
Baltimore Orioles	4.37	-28.8	-3.0	6348	-2.3	109.9	-112.2	1.02	-1.6	-0.6	-1.8%	25.8%	-27.6%	.42	-1.8%	-25.5	-2.6	0.93	-15.8	1.63	57
Boston Red Sox	5.40	132.6	12.8	6644	5.8	115.7	-109.9	.99	13.7	-7.9	4.0%	90.8%	-86.8%	1.30	-5.3%	137.2	12.8	0.98	147.9	1.22	79
Chicago Cubs	4.04	-48.5	-5.1	6302	0.5	113.1	-112.7	1.06	-1.6	2.0	0.3%	21.4%	-21.1%	.33	2.2%	-12.0	-1.4	0.96	-15.7	1.25	235
Chicago White Sox	4.04	-90.9	-9.1	6381	-10.1	105.1	-115.2	1.04	-7.5	-2.3	-5.1%	46.1%	-51.1%	.76	-2.9%	-92.7	-9.1	0.95	-82.6	1.22	62
Cincinnati Reds	4.54	-23.7	-2.6	6556	4.0	121.9	-117.9	1.09	4.3	-0.6	1.2%	52.4%	-51.2%	.79	-1.5%	53.8	5.0	0.96	60.5	1.40	213
Cleveland Indians	4.35	10.6	0.9	6365	-1.8	108.1	-109.8	1.02	-1.6	-0.2	-4.2%	75.6%	-79.8%	1.23	-1.9%	2.0	0.0	0.94	-17.0	1.60	68
Colorado Rockies	4.54	-101.1	-10.4	6524	-3.9	109.9	-113.8	1.03	1.1	-4.9	-1.1%	42.4%	-43.5%	.66	-2.8%	12.5	0.9	0.97	18.1	1.35	213
Detroit Tigers	4.86	74.8	7.1	6388	7.0	111.7	-104.7	.97	7.7	-0.5	3.7%	81.9%	-78.3%	1.21	-1.4%	71.0	6.6	0.98	79.0	1.45	76
Florida Marlins	3.86	-56.4	-5.8	6455	-5.4	112.0	-117.4	1.09	-0.7	-4.3	-0.5%	40.5%	-41.0%	.65	0.4%	-51.2	-5.3	0.96	-5.9	1.42	226
Houston Astros	3.80	-82.3	-8.4	6392	-8.5	104.3	-112.8	1.05	-5.7	-2.3	0.1%	11.9%	-11.8%	.19	1.4%	-45.1	-4.8	0.97	-55.5	1.34	251
Kansas City Royals	4.51	33.0	3.1	6575	-3.5	115.9	-119.3	1.08	0.8	-4.0	-1.4%	31.3%	-32.7%	.50	-1.5%	7.7	0.6	0.96	7.3	1.77	33
Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim	4.12	19.5	1.8	6361	-3.2	105.0	-108.2	.99	-0.8	-2.5	-3.8%	85.4%	-89.2%	1.35	-2.5%	-24.6	-2.6	0.93	-6.8	1.47	76
Los Angeles Dodgers	4.00	-32.7	-3.6	6342	-2.6	102.5	-105.1	1.01	-0.3	-2.3	-1.5%	26.1%	-27.6%	.43	-3.3%	1.1	-0.2	0.98	9.1	1.33	204
Milwaukee Brewers	4.45	10.5	0.7	6323	10.2	107.8	-97.6	.94	8.2	2.6	8.2%	72.9%	-64.7%	1.05	3.1%	57.0	5.2	0.95	78.9	1.13	221
Minnesota Twins	3.82	-127.0	-12.7	6245	-8.8	99.4	-108.3	1.00	-10.9	2.1	-2.4%	19.9%	-22.3%	.34	-2.2%	-90.9	-9.2	0.95	-119.8	1.37	83
New York Mets	4.43	35.7	3.4	6581	6.1	117.6	-111.5	1.07	3.2	2.5	0.9%	35.0%	-34.0%	.54	-0.7%	60.9	5.9	0.99	57.2	1.36	267
New York Yankees	5.35	77.4	7.5	6572	5.1	109.4	-104.3	.96	10.4	-5.1	3.7%	71.0%	-67.3%	1.04	-2.8%	130.2	12.2	0.96	125.5	1.42	59
Oakland Athletics	3.98	-82.4	-8.2	6349	-11.6	98.5	-110.1	1.01	-9.4	-2.2	-5.6%	31.7%	-37.2%	.56	-5.4%	-68.2	-7.0	0.95	-95.6	1.83	65
Philadelphia Phillies	4.40	-35.2	-3.7	6464	2.2	107.7	-105.5	.99	3.6	-1.3	0.3%	53.5%	-53.2%	.85	-2.1%	46.6	4.4	0.97	44.0	1.29	229
Pittsburgh Pirates	3.77	-69.6	-7.2	6291	-3.0	102.7	-105.7	1.00	-6.4	3.4	-2.6%	45.2%	-47.8%	.76	-0.4%	-43.4	-4.8	0.95	-63.9	1.22	249
San Diego Padres	3.66	-96.5	-9.9	6376	-13.0	100.4	-113.3	1.07	-8.9	-3.3	-3.5%	20.3%	-23.9%	.37	-5.2%	-54.1	-5.9	0.96	-80.7	1.32	237
Seattle Mariners	3.43	-106.7	-10.6	6207	-12.6	94.8	-107.5	1.02	-14.1	1.7	-5.1%	35.6%	-40.7%	.65	-0.9%	-127.0	-13.4	0.94	-147.9	1.96	45
San Francisco Giants	3.52	-59.6	-6.2	6332	-5.5	106.7	-112.2	1.06	-6.0	0.8	-6.4%	81.9%	-88.3%	1.38	-1.2%	-76.2	-8.2	0.95	-53.7	1.44	217
St. Louis Cardinals	4.70	93.5	9.1	6422	14.8	121.9	-107.1	1.03	8.9	5.5	13.4%	102.6%	-89.3%	1.43	4.1%	104.9	10.3	0.97	91.8	1.41	224
Tampa Bay Rays	4.36	41.9	3.9	6477	3.7	106.8	-103.0	.95	3.0	1.0	4.4%	88.4%	-84.0%	1.28	1.7%	10.8	0.8	0.96	33.6	1.61	113
Texas Rangers	5.28	71.8	6.9	6544	8.2	104.7	-96.5	.89	12.5	-3.3	7.4%	90.2%	-82.8%	1.28	-1.8%	120.7	11.2	0.95	142.8	1.72	61
Toronto Blue Jays	4.59	-38.9	-4.1	6476	0.7	113.1	-112.4	1.03	0.1	0.6	-1.2%	40.9%	-42.2%	.63	-2.0%	1.9	-0.1	0.94	-13.7	1.41	59
Washington Nationals	3.88	-84.9	-8.7	6317	-5.3	111.3	-116.6	1.11	-5.8	1.1	-2.0%	32.3%	-34.3%	.55	-0.3%	-40.0	-4.2	0.95	-39.9	1.47	204
League Average	4.28	-22	-2	6411	-1	109	-110	1.02	-0	-1	-0%	54%	-54%	.84	-0%	3	0	0	4	0	153
	4.28	-667.1	-73.3	192339	-28.6	3261.2	-3290.0	1.02	-3.8	-24.2	-0.8%	1620.8%	-1622.0%	.84	-5.6%	102.0	0.2	0.96	108.3	1.37	4584
Tm	R/G	BtRuns	BtWins	Plays	WPA	WPA+	WPA-	aLI	WPA/LI	Clutch	cWPA	cWPA+	cWPA-	acLI	cClutch	RE24	REW	boLI	RE24/boLI	PHlev	AB