Is David Ortiz finished?
1st May 2009
There has been much speculation in New England that David Ortiz's career as a power hitter is over. Aside from the stats, bystanders have claimed that his bat speed is dramatically reduced and that his physique looks even worse than usual. But today I heard Jerry Remy dispute those claims and say that Ortiz is just pressing. Right now, Remy claims, Ortiz is concentrating on hitting to the opposite field and hoping that his pull power returns on its own.
I don't have enough information to judge those things for myself, but let's look at the numbers. Here are his last 23 games through Tuesday night (dating back to last season):
David Ortiz Batting Gamelogs for Career Games 1299 to 1321
Date | Tm | G | GS | Rslt | PA | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | IBB | SO | HBP | SH | SF | ROE | GDP | SB | CS | BA | OBP | SLG | OPS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sep 23, 2008 to Apr 28, 2009 | BOS | 23 | 23 | 15-8 | 104 | 92 | 12 | 22 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 7 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .239 | .288 | .359 | .647 |
That's 22 hits in 23 games, including no homers and just 10 extra-base hits for a .647 OPS. All players go through slumps, but this one is pretty bad.
Interestingly, this is not the longest streak in Ortiz's career without a homer. Here they are:
StreakStart Streak End Games AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SO BB SB CS BA OBP SLG OPS Teams +-----------+-----------+-----+------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+ 1998-09-12 2000-06-07 52 143 10 34 10 0 0 19 34 14 1 0 .238 .304 .308 .612 MIN 2002-04-18 2002-07-04 42 127 10 31 11 0 0 19 20 12 0 0 .244 .299 .331 .630 MIN 2000-07-08 2000-08-16 34 120 20 40 12 0 0 19 22 16 0 0 .333 .403 .433 .836 MIN 1998-07-18 1998-08-23 29 100 14 19 5 0 0 10 25 16 1 0 .190 .308 .240 .548 MIN 2008-09-23 2009-04-28 23 92 12 22 9 1 0 13 23 7 0 1 .239 .288 .359 .647 BOS
The good news is that Ortiz has a long way to go before his current streak (5th on the list) reaches to top. The bad news is that the four longer streaks all came when he was still with the Twins, before he became the power hitter he was at his height with the Red Sox.
What surprises me is the degree to which Ortiz has dropped off. All players age and all players eventually retire. But few drop off so suddenly. I'm personally inclined to think that he still has some sort of injury that's limiting his performance.
Posted in Streak Finders | 8 Comments »