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2024 Major League Baseball Win Probability

Other Leagues: AL, NL

World Series Champion: Los Angeles Dodgers

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Team Win Probability*

Team Win Probability* Table
Tm	RA/G	PtchR	PtchW	Plays	WPA	WPA+	WPA-	aLI	WPA/LI	Clutch	cWPA	cWPA+	cWPA-	acLI	cClutch	RE24	REW	boLI	RE24/boLI	LevHi	LevMd	LevLo
Arizona Diamondbacks	4.86	-56.3	-5.1	6389	-3.3	107.3	-110.6	.99	-3.2	-0.2	-2.4%	67.8%	-70.1%	1.04	-0.5%	-51.6	-4.5	0.95	-26.1	168	112	256
Atlanta Braves	3.75	110.8	12.4	6180	13.2	105.1	-91.9	.95	13.1	0.8	11.5%	82.6%	-71.1%	1.24	1.4%	133.2	14.9	0.92	141.1	151	101	229
Baltimore Orioles	4.31	-32.8	-2.7	6277	2.5	101.2	-98.7	.94	3.0	-0.3	1.2%	69.7%	-68.5%	1.08	-0.6%	-5.2	0.2	0.93	20.1	159	127	260
Boston Red Sox	4.61	23.9	2.8	6344	1.6	109.5	-108.0	1.03	3.8	-2.2	-1.8%	56.7%	-58.5%	.90	-3.7%	3.1	0.8	0.95	39.4	192	126	216
Chicago Cubs	4.13	31.2	3.7	6237	2.7	107.1	-104.4	1.01	6.9	-4.2	0.1%	42.7%	-42.6%	.68	-3.5%	45.0	5.2	0.94	68.9	160	116	220
Chicago White Sox	5.02	-85.3	-8.2	6503	-14.2	102.8	-117.0	.99	-12.4	-2.1	-0.7%	6.0%	-6.8%	.09	-4.9%	-114.5	-10.8	0.98	-139.3	165	125	246
Cincinnati Reds	4.28	55.2	6.1	6305	6.0	101.9	-95.9	.93	3.1	3.3	1.1%	30.7%	-29.7%	.48	1.4%	50.7	5.6	0.93	42.2	155	139	240
Cleveland Guardians	3.86	78.8	8.6	6120	12.0	107.3	-95.4	.98	7.1	5.1	8.2%	73.1%	-65.0%	1.11	3.3%	89.9	9.8	0.93	76.8	194	154	245
Colorado Rockies	5.73	-114.4	-11.0	6571	-13.3	106.2	-119.4	.97	-16.9	3.1	-2.3%	8.3%	-10.6%	.13	-12.6%	-173.2	-15.7	0.97	-170.5	163	98	234
Detroit Tigers	3.96	71.7	7.9	6146	8.7	107.7	-99.0	.99	8.9	-0.1	3.9%	42.5%	-38.6%	.65	0.8%	79.5	8.8	0.93	103.0	167	132	205
Houston Astros	4.03	38.0	4.5	6243	8.4	108.3	-99.9	1.00	4.8	3.6	4.6%	52.2%	-47.6%	.80	2.4%	50.1	5.9	0.94	54.0	155	135	221
Kansas City Royals	3.98	78.8	8.5	6150	4.4	104.4	-100.0	.98	8.3	-3.8	1.9%	77.5%	-75.6%	1.22	-3.3%	71.9	7.7	0.94	92.2	146	104	256
Los Angeles Angels	4.92	-53.4	-4.8	6365	-5.6	97.1	-102.7	.90	-6.4	0.1	-1.2%	15.0%	-16.2%	.23	-3.2%	-85.3	-7.7	0.95	-63.0	142	114	259
Los Angeles Dodgers	4.23	-4.6	0.3	6294	5.5	104.0	-98.5	.96	4.1	1.7	4.3%	76.4%	-72.1%	1.18	1.4%	34.2	4.3	0.93	34.2	174	168	223
Miami Marlins	5.19	-33.8	-2.9	6506	-5.8	106.2	-112.0	.98	-5.0	-0.9	-1.1%	7.6%	-8.7%	.12	-9.5%	-75.7	-6.5	0.96	-55.1	179	132	245
Milwaukee Brewers	3.96	89.6	9.4	6290	12.6	110.5	-98.0	1.02	8.2	4.2	8.0%	78.6%	-70.5%	1.21	2.0%	102.6	10.7	0.93	84.1	195	118	206
Minnesota Twins	4.54	-8.1	-0.5	6283	1.9	102.5	-100.7	.95	4.0	-2.0	1.5%	73.7%	-72.2%	1.15	-1.4%	-7.7	-0.4	0.93	38.9	203	101	231
New York Mets	4.30	-0.5	0.4	6378	3.7	110.2	-106.5	1.02	2.5	1.1	1.8%	62.2%	-60.4%	.97	0.4%	21.7	2.8	0.95	35.2	173	110	233
New York Yankees	4.12	57.6	6.3	6360	8.9	106.8	-98.0	.97	3.7	5.4	6.3%	73.1%	-66.8%	1.11	3.5%	58.6	6.5	0.95	45.0	146	118	257
Oakland Athletics	4.72	-65.1	-6.0	6382	-3.2	101.7	-104.9	.96	-3.9	0.5	-0.7%	15.5%	-16.2%	.24	-0.8%	-67.6	-6.3	0.96	-46.7	180	114	237
Philadelphia Phillies	4.14	38.9	5.0	6252	10.3	106.6	-96.4	.98	5.0	5.5	8.1%	59.4%	-51.3%	.90	5.8%	59.9	7.3	0.93	59.4	168	99	250
Pittsburgh Pirates	4.56	1.0	0.8	6386	3.3	109.9	-106.6	1.00	0.6	2.7	1.8%	42.0%	-40.2%	.64	2.4%	0.0	0.8	0.96	7.6	174	128	211
San Diego Padres	4.13	44.6	4.9	6241	5.8	101.3	-95.5	.93	6.7	-0.5	3.4%	66.6%	-63.2%	1.02	-0.8%	60.9	6.6	0.93	87.9	150	130	259
Seattle Mariners	3.75	35.1	3.8	5998	7.0	99.2	-92.1	.94	10.8	-3.3	3.1%	57.4%	-54.3%	.91	-2.6%	69.3	7.8	0.90	107.6	181	94	248
San Francisco Giants	4.31	-31.1	-2.4	6347	2.0	107.5	-105.5	1.01	0.4	1.6	-0.2%	39.5%	-39.7%	.62	0.0%	4.2	1.3	0.96	12.0	155	165	244
St. Louis Cardinals	4.44	18.8	2.2	6273	5.8	116.0	-110.1	1.06	3.8	1.7	1.2%	48.6%	-47.4%	.75	-0.3%	20.5	2.4	0.94	42.8	184	137	187
Tampa Bay Rays	4.09	37.1	4.0	6207	8.3	111.3	-103.0	1.03	5.7	2.3	0.9%	34.9%	-34.0%	.55	-1.7%	50.5	5.4	0.92	60.0	205	152	185
Texas Rangers	4.56	-54.6	-5.0	6312	2.3	104.9	-102.5	.99	0.5	1.9	1.0%	34.5%	-33.5%	.54	1.2%	-40.3	-3.4	0.95	-10.4	178	107	198
Toronto Blue Jays	4.59	-36.6	-3.4	6250	-0.2	99.2	-99.4	.94	-1.0	0.7	-0.1%	22.5%	-22.6%	.35	0.8%	-42.3	-3.8	0.94	-24.0	128	142	279
Washington Nationals	4.72	-50.7	-4.5	6349	-4.3	100.7	-105.0	.94	-1.6	-3.0	-1.3%	27.4%	-28.7%	.43	-1.8%	-50.3	-4.5	0.95	-31.2	136	143	289
League Average	4.39	6	1	6298	3	105	-103	.98	2	1	2%	48%	-46%	.74	1%	10	2	0	23	168	125	236
	4.39	183.8	35.0	188938	86.8	3164.2	-3077.5	.98	64.6	24.2	62.4%	1445.0%	-1382.6%	.74	33.2%	292.1	51.1	0.94	686.1	5026	3741	7069
Tm	RA/G	PtchR	PtchW	Plays	WPA	WPA+	WPA-	aLI	WPA/LI	Clutch	cWPA	cWPA+	cWPA-	acLI	cClutch	RE24	REW	boLI	RE24/boLI	LevHi	LevMd	LevLo