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Scattered thoughts on select games of Saturday, 9/17/11

Posted by John Autin on September 18, 2011

Tampa 4, Boston 3; The gap's back down to 3 games, with David Price facing Tim Wakefield in Sunday's finale.

-- Jeff Niemann gets the credit for picking off Jacoby Ellsbury breaking for 3rd base to end the 5th (with Boston behind by 2). But look who really made the play. (Hint: He also turned his MLB-high 34th DP in this game.)

-- Matt Moore is a top prospect, but you still have to give Joe Maddon a moxie point for the pitching change he made after Jeff Niemann had held the Sox to 2 runs through 5 IP with his pitch count only at 89. All right, kiddo -- we broke your cherry in Baltimore; now why don'tcha go get Pedroia, Gonzalez and Ortiz? Moore ended up walking the lefties, but he escaped damage in that inning and allowed 1 run in 3 IP, retiring Gonzalez and Ortiz in the 8th. The Rays didn't really have a quality lefty in the 'pen before they called up Moore -- in fact, their bullpen isn't deep at all -- so those 3 effective innings were a boon, and kudos to Maddon for not running scared.

-- Here's why one should take a very long view when considering structural changes such as realignment: Just a few weeks ago, columnists bemoaned the unfairness of Tampa's residing in the AL East. Through August 21, they were 8 games out of 1st and 7.5 behind the wild-card leader. They would have had a better postseason shot in any other division: at 69-56, they would have led the AL Central and the NL West; they'd have trailed by 2.5 in the AL West and 5.5 in both the NL Central and the wild-card race. Since then, the Rays have gone 15-11, but they would no longer lead any other division: Detroit went 20-6 and are 3.5 better than Tampa, while Arizona went 18-7 and stand 2.5 above the Rays. And Tampa would be just a half-game closer in the NL wild-card chase than they are right now with Boston.

And while contending in the AL East surely is a challenge, the Rays have done well against the 3 other winning teams in their division -- a combined 26-17 vs. the Yankees, Red Sox and Blue Jays. The division foe that's hung them with the most losses is Baltimore, splitting the season series at 9 apiece. Last year, Tampa won the season series from all 4 division foes and went 31-23 against the 3 winning teams, 21-15 against the Evil Empires. Over the last 4 years, they're 70-66 combined against Boston and New York; and Boston's overall record is only 5 games better than Tampa's in that time. My point: There are fiscal inequities within MLB, but competitive balance is more fluid than it often seems when looking at a small window.

-- Suddenly, the Giants have won 7 straight and closed to within 5 games of Arizona, after mounting a late comeback in Denver on the bats of Carlos Beltran and Brett Pill, while the D-backs dropped their 3rd straight road game, wasting a solid outing from each SP. The clubs have a 3-game set next weekend in Phoenix.

  • What next from Pill? He homered in his 1st big-league AB on Sept. 6, and went deep again the next game. Tonight, he became the 1st Giant in over 3 years to hit 2 triples in a game, the 2nd one plating 2 runs to snap a tie in the 8th. I'm pretty sure that Coors Field is the only place where a RHB can hit a simple line drive into left-center and wind up with an easy triple, with no OF miscue. Pill runs pretty well, though; and that triple was "born between home and 1st base." Pill is now 7 for 21 with 5 extra-base hits, a Ruthian .857 SLG.
  • See if you can make sense of the play description of Jeff Keppinger's AB in the Giants' 8th. I think there must be a typo. Anyway, that whole 8th inning was a mess for the Rockies -- including 2 failed fielder's choices, and throwing errors by 2 different pitchers.
  • Carlos Beltran is 12 for 30 in the win streak, with 3 HRs, 3 doubles and just 2 strikeouts.
  • Rookie SP Eric Surkamp had an RBI single for his 1st big-league hit. He had been 0 for 5 with 4 Ks before that; but watch this video and tell me he doesn't look "hitterish." Surkamp went 4 for 14 in the minors, with 3 RBI and just 3 Ks.
  • Very nice play to start the 9th by SS Brandon Crawford: A high chopper up the middle is tipped by the pitcher, changing direction slightly and perhaps picking up spin, as it veers again on the bounce; Crawford reaches back to his right to barehand it and gets the runner by a step. It turned into a vital out, as the next 3 men reached base, cutting SF's lead to 1.

-- Twins fans can skip the next passage ... Barring a sudden and inexplicable hot streak, Minnesota (59-91) will post their worst record since 1982; by coincidence, that was their first in the Metrodome and the worst in Twins history -- a year when Ron Washington was the starting SS, someone named Bobby Mitchell roamed CF (his only full season), and Kirby Puckett (picked #3 in that year's draft) was shredding the Rookie League for a .382 BA and 43 SB in 65 games. That's the only time the Twins have lost 100 games since moving from Washington in 1961; this year's edition needs 4 more wins to avoid that fate.

They have 1 win in their last 13 games.

On July 20, a week after the Break, the Twins were just 5 games under .500 and 5 games out in the division. Since then, they've gone 13-40 -- a pace below that of the '62 Mets -- with losing streaks of 7, 7, 6 and 5.

Aside from occasional eruptions, the offense has mostly evaporated. The Twins were shut out on August 21, then scored exactly 1 run in each of their next 5 games. No other Twins/Senators team since 1919 has gone 6 straight games scoring 1 run or less. Not long after that, they had another stretch scoring 2 runs total in 4 games.

The pitching has been worse, allowing 5.7 R/G from July 21 and doing so at a fairly steady clip -- 5 runs or more in 31 of those 53 games. Scott Baker, their only SP with an ERA+ over 90, hasn't pitched since August 8.

Let's hope they turn it around next year. Our sport is better when the Twins are piranhas instead of plankton.

-- The Phillies clinched, finally. When was the last time this outcome was in doubt? Seems like it was springtime.... The Phils did fall out of 1st place ... for 1 day ... by half a game ... back in April.

12 games left for the 98-52 Phils to make a little history. The most NL wins in the last quarter-century is 106 by the '98 Braves; the '86 Mets and the '75 Reds are the only teams to win more than that since the 1909 Pirates.

-- Congratulations, Mariano. Especially for doing it 1-2-3 in a 1-run game.

17 Responses to “Scattered thoughts on select games of Saturday, 9/17/11”

  1. Doug Says:

    "See if you can make sense of the play description of Jeff Keppinger's AB in the Giants' 8th."

    Here's the situation. Giants down by a run. Nobody out. Runner on first. The play description is "J Keppinger grounded into fielder's choice to catcher, A Torres safe at third on throwing error by pitcher H Street."

    The picture I get is Keppinger hitting something just in front of home plate, the pitcher fields the ball and throws wildly to 2nd trying to retire the lead runner. Thus, the fielder's choice and the lead runner advancing to 3rd on the pitcher's error.

    Problem with that is play description is "grounded to catcher". If the pitcher fielded the ball, you would expect the play to be "grounded to pitcher".

    Unless ... the ball hit in front of home plate was a little pop (Keppinger may have been bunting) that the catcher lunges to catch but misses. The runner at first freezes to see if the ball is caught, so the pitcher picking up the ball still thinks he has time to get him at second.

    Anyway, that's the best explanation I can think of for that play description.

  2. Gonzo Says:

    @Doug: The pitcher (Huston Street) picked it up and threw it into center field. Just a regular sac bunt. The catcher was nowhere near touching the ball. It would have been nice if ESPN noted that Keppinger was safe at first

    Yahoo put it this way:
    - J. Keppinger safe at first on pitcher H. Street's throwing error, A. Torres to third

    That could have been worded better as well.

  3. Gonzo Says:

    For the record, here is how ESPN told the story:

    J Keppinger grounded into fielder's choice to catcher, A Torres safe at third on throwing error by pitcher H Street.

  4. Shping Says:

    Good stuff John -- i especially like the points about competitive balance in the A.L. East. All-too-often people only look at small sample sizes and dont appreciate the larger, historical perspectives. The Wall Street Yankees are still evil, tho.

    And now i know why my Twins fan friend has been so disinterested in baseball the past couple months.

    Something else happened today that i mentioned elsewhere, but will add it here in case it got missed:

    After going deep Saturday, A-Rod is now only one career homer behind former teammate, Ken "Junior" "The Kid" Griffey and his 630 untainted "fly away" balls.

    Sad. Very very sad.

    It was a treat having both of them in Seattle for awhile -- not quite Ruth-Gehrig, but pretty close, and my own personal repeat of getting to root for Molitor and Yount in Milwaukee years ago -- but it was much more fun at the time, before A-Rod started following bad advice about everything.

    And the only good thing i can say about A-Rod and career homer totals, is that it inspires me to paraphrase Don Mattingly in the best Simpson's episode ever:

    "I still like him better than Bonds."

    (insert Steinbrenner/Burns and an argument about imaginary sideburns: "That's it Mattingly! You're off the team!" hee hee)

  5. Thomas Court Says:

    @4

    The writers of that episode said that the players were all good sports when they came in to do their readings - except for one. One player was notably an ass.

    They wouldn't reveal his name, but they did say it rhymed with "Manseco."

  6. Shping Says:

    Bonus trivia question: Which roommates hold the record for most career homeruns?

    The answer....

    ...wait for it.....

    Hammerin Hank Aaron and Bob Uecker (with 769 total, 14 by Uecker, obviously). At least that's according to the great announcer, indicating that he roomed with Aaron on the Braves one year. That record may have changed since Uecker told the story, but then again, i doubt anyone ever wanted to share a room with Bonds, or vice versa.

  7. Thomas Court Says:

    I am sure there are many others that top it. The one that immediately came to mind was Mantle and Maris. They shared an apartment together, and combined for 811 home runs (536 + 275).

  8. AlbaNate Says:

    The '86 Mets won 108 games, not 106.

  9. Shping Says:

    @7 Uecker and I were both joking, of course, but it's still a fun little tidbit. Mantle and Berra would be even higher, if they ever roomed together?

    Glad someone else appreciated the softball episode too!

  10. John Autin Says:

    @8, AlbaNate -- I always appreciate corrections, so I hope you do, too. I wrote that the '86 Mets and the '75 Reds are the only teams to win "more than that" [i.e., 106 games] since the 1909 Pirates.

    If your point is about the "last quarter-century" phrase ... 1987-2011 is 25 seasons. If you want to measure by calendar years instead -- OK, I stand corrected.

  11. John Autin Says:

    @9, Shping -- I have some lovely photos of the Springfield Mystery Spot.

  12. nightfly Says:

    It's just good to know that Mike Scoscia recovered from his illness and went on to manage successfully for so many years.

  13. AlbaNate Says:

    #10 JA--Oops sorry--Reading on a very small screen--I saw your semicolon as a comma.

  14. Shping Says:

    We should also be thankful that Griffey was never sanctioned for drinking all that nerve tonic, and that Ozzie somehow survived his trip to the Mystery Spot. Maybe JA played a role in rescuing him?!

  15. Jeff Says:

    "You just don't know when to keep your mouth shut, do you Saxy Boy?"

  16. ajnrules Says:

    @12 - in the Bill James episode, Scioscia credits the radiation for giving him the managerial acumen to lead his team above their Pythagorean record yearly...maybe not in those words exactly.

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