Record pace for Al Alburquerque
Posted by John Autin on June 19, 2011
Al Alburquerque is currently on pace to break Eric Gagne's records for batting average and slugging average allowed in a season of 50+ innings.
Batters have gone 10 for 82 so far against Alburquerque, a .122 BA. Since 1919, six pitchers have held opponents to a batting average less than .140:
Rk | Player | IP | Year | Age | Tm | Lg | G | GF | W | L | SV | H | R | ER | BB | SO | HR | BF | AB | 2B | 3B | IBB | HBP | GDP | SB | CS | PO | BK | WP | Pit | Str | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Eric Gagne | .133 | 82.1 | 2003 | 27 | LAD | NL | 77 | 67 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 55 | 37 | 12 | 11 | 20 | 137 | 1.20 | 337 | 2 | 306 | 279 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .199 | .176 | .374 | 1187 | 824 | |
2 | Carlos Marmol | .135 | 87.1 | 2008 | 25 | CHC | NL | 82 | 22 | 2 | 4 | .333 | 7 | 40 | 30 | 26 | 41 | 114 | 2.68 | 172 | 10 | 348 | 296 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | .251 | .257 | .508 | 1512 | 930 | |
3 | Billy Wagner | .135 | 74.2 | 1999 | 27 | HOU | NL | 66 | 55 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 39 | 35 | 14 | 13 | 23 | 124 | 1.57 | 287 | 5 | 286 | 259 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .208 | .212 | .420 | |||
4 | Jeff Nelson | .136 | 65.1 | 2001 | 34 | SEA | AL | 69 | 16 | 4 | 3 | .571 | 4 | 30 | 21 | 20 | 44 | 88 | 2.76 | 152 | 3 | 273 | 221 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .295 | .199 | .494 | 1190 | 684 | |
5 | Jose Valverde | .137 | 50.1 | 2003 | 25 | ARI | NL | 54 | 33 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 10 | 24 | 16 | 12 | 26 | 71 | 2.15 | 219 | 4 | 204 | 175 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .255 | .234 | .489 | 857 | 545 | |
6 | Hong-Chih Kuo | .139 | 60.0 | 2010 | 28 | LAD | NL | 56 | 16 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 12 | 29 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 73 | 1.20 | 321 | 1 | 229 | 208 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | .211 | .192 | .403 | 941 | 626 |
Both Alburquerque and Antonio Bastardo of the Phils are on pace for a lower BA than Gagne's 133:
Rk | Player | IP | Year | Age | Tm | Lg | G | GF | W | L | SV | H | R | ER | BB | SO | HR | BF | AB | 2B | 3B | IBB | HBP | GDP | SB | CS | PO | BK | WP | Pit | Str | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Al Alburquerque | .122 | 24.0 | 2011 | 25 | DET | AL | 23 | 6 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 40 | 2.25 | 171 | 0 | 100 | 82 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .273 | .134 | .407 | 19 | 420 | 247 |
2 | Antonio Bastardo | .124 | 27.0 | 2011 | 25 | PHI | NL | 30 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1.000 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 32 | 1.00 | 389 | 2 | 103 | 89 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .225 | .225 | .450 | 27 | 437 | 284 |
Moving on to slugging: Of the 10 hits Alburquerque has allowed in 24 IP, 9 of them were singles. So in 82 AB, only one batter has made a left turn on Alburquerque -- Minnesota's Luke Hughes, who hit a double. His opponents' slugging average is .134. Since 1950 (as far back as pitchers' SLG data are available), only 5 pitchers have had a season with 50+ IP while allowing a slugging average under .200:
Rk | Player | IP | Year | Age | Tm | Lg | G | GF | W | L | SV | H | R | ER | BB | SO | HR | BF | AB | 2B | 3B | IBB | HBP | GDP | SB | CS | PO | BK | WP | Pit | Str | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Eric Gagne | .176 | 82.1 | 2003 | 27 | LAD | NL | 77 | 67 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 55 | 37 | 12 | 11 | 20 | 137 | 1.20 | 337 | 2 | 306 | 279 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .133 | .199 | .374 | 1187 | 824 | |
2 | Rob Murphy | .179 | 50.1 | 1986 | 26 | CIN | NL | 34 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 1.000 | 1 | 26 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 36 | 0.72 | 546 | 0 | 195 | 168 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | .155 | .245 | .423 | |||
3 | Hong-Chih Kuo | .192 | 60.0 | 2010 | 28 | LAD | NL | 56 | 16 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 12 | 29 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 73 | 1.20 | 321 | 1 | 229 | 208 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | .139 | .211 | .403 | 941 | 626 | |
4 | Carlos Marmol | .199 | 77.2 | 2010 | 27 | CHC | NL | 77 | 70 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 38 | 40 | 23 | 22 | 52 | 138 | 2.55 | 171 | 1 | 332 | 272 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | .147 | .301 | .500 | 1421 | 871 | |
5 | Jeff Nelson | .199 | 65.1 | 2001 | 34 | SEA | AL | 69 | 16 | 4 | 3 | .571 | 4 | 30 | 21 | 20 | 44 | 88 | 2.76 | 152 | 3 | 273 | 221 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .136 | .295 | .494 | 1190 | 684 |
This year, 5 pitchers are on pace to join that list; besides Alburquerque, Jonny Venters is also on track to best Gagne's record for lowest slugging percentage:
Rk | Player | IP | Year | Age | Tm | Lg | G | GF | W | L | SV | H | R | ER | BB | SO | HR | BF | AB | 2B | 3B | IBB | HBP | GDP | SB | CS | PO | BK | WP | Pit | Str | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Al Alburquerque | .134 | 24.0 | 2011 | 25 | DET | AL | 23 | 6 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 40 | 2.25 | 171 | 0 | 100 | 82 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .122 | .273 | .407 | 19 | 420 | 247 |
2 | Jonny Venters | .174 | 43.2 | 2011 | 26 | ATL | NL | 39 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1.000 | 3 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 47 | 0.62 | 620 | 0 | 164 | 144 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .153 | .238 | .411 | 17 | 593 | 365 |
3 | Henry Rodriguez | .191 | 20.1 | 2011 | 24 | WSN | NL | 18 | 8 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 25 | 1.77 | 219 | 0 | 86 | 68 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | .176 | .341 | .532 | 55 | 362 | 211 |
4 | Juan Cruz | .191 | 26.2 | 2011 | 32 | TBR | AL | 30 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1.000 | 0 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 20 | 25 | 3.38 | 108 | 0 | 109 | 89 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .157 | .312 | .503 | 50 | 500 | 298 |
5 | David Pauley | .194 | 40.1 | 2011 | 28 | SEA | AL | 26 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1.000 | 0 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 1.12 | 335 | 0 | 149 | 134 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .179 | .245 | .439 | 27 | 509 | 321 |
In a related development, Alburquerque is amassing strikeouts at an historic pace. He has fanned 40 of his 100 batters faced; he would be just the 6th pitcher ever to face at least 100 batters and strike out at least 40% of batters faced:
Rk | Player | BF | SO | Year | Age | Tm | Lg | G | GF | W | L | SV | IP | H | R | ER | BB | HR | AB | 2B | 3B | IBB | HBP | GDP | SB | CS | PO | BK | WP | Pit | Str | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Brad Lidge | 369 | 157 | 2004 | 27 | HOU | NL | 80 | 44 | 6 | 5 | .545 | 29 | 94.2 | 57 | 21 | 20 | 30 | 1.90 | 230 | 8 | 328 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | .174 | .254 | .290 | .544 | 1478 | 989 | ||
2 | Carlos Marmol | 332 | 138 | 2010 | 27 | CHC | NL | 77 | 70 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 38 | 77.2 | 40 | 23 | 22 | 52 | 2.55 | 171 | 1 | 272 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | .147 | .301 | .199 | .500 | 1421 | 871 | ||
3 | Armando Benitez | 312 | 128 | 1999 | 26 | NYM | NL | 77 | 42 | 4 | 3 | .571 | 22 | 78.0 | 40 | 17 | 16 | 41 | 1.85 | 241 | 4 | 271 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .148 | .260 | .236 | .496 | ||||
4 | Eric Gagne | 306 | 137 | 2003 | 27 | LAD | NL | 77 | 67 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 55 | 82.1 | 37 | 12 | 11 | 20 | 1.20 | 337 | 2 | 279 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .133 | .199 | .176 | .374 | 1187 | 824 | ||
5 | Billy Wagner | 286 | 124 | 1999 | 27 | HOU | NL | 66 | 55 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 39 | 74.2 | 35 | 14 | 13 | 23 | 1.57 | 287 | 5 | 259 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .135 | .208 | .212 | .420 | ||||
6 | Al Alburquerque | 100 | 40 | 2011 | 25 | DET | AL | 23 | 6 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 0 | 24.0 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 2.25 | 171 | 0 | 82 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .122 | .273 | .134 | .407 | 19 | 420 | 247 |
The highest K percentage ever was 44.8% by Gagne in 2003, his Cy Young season.
Another way of looking at strikeouts is K/9. Alburquerque's 15.00 K/9 would be the 2nd-highest K/9 rate ever with at least 24 IP:
Rk | Player | IP | Year | Age | Tm | Lg | G | GF | W | L | SV | H | R | ER | BB | SO | HR | BF | AB | 2B | 3B | IBB | HBP | GDP | SB | CS | PO | BK | WP | Pit | Str | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Carlos Marmol | 15.99 | 77.2 | 2010 | 27 | CHC | NL | 77 | 70 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 38 | 40 | 23 | 22 | 52 | 138 | 2.55 | 171 | 1 | 332 | 272 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | .147 | .301 | .199 | .500 | 1421 | 871 | |
2 | Al Alburquerque | 15.00 | 24.0 | 2011 | 25 | DET | AL | 23 | 6 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 40 | 2.25 | 171 | 0 | 100 | 82 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .122 | .273 | .134 | .407 | 19 | 420 | 247 |
So ... yeah. Alburquerque, a 25-year-old, 6' righty from San Pedro de Macoriis, signed with Detroit last November as a minor-league free agent. He whiffed 3 in 2 IP in his debut April 15 and hasn't slowed yet. He's fanned more than a batter per inning in 17 of his 23 games, with a high of 6 Ks in 3 IP on April 30, and two games of 4 Ks in 2 IP. He has allowed 6 runs in 24 IP, but none in his last 11 games; he has also stranded 17 of 18 inherited runners.
Now for the ogligatory caveats:
(1) Obviously, 24 innings is not a lot, and it would only take one bad game to knock him off track for these records. A couple of bad games and we might forget he was ever on such a pace.
(2) There is nothing in Alburquerque's minor-league record to suggest that he was capable of anything like this degree of domination. In 178 minor-league IP, mostly in relief, he had a 4.49 ERA and allowed 8.7 H/9, and his 10.0 K/9 was good but not special for a minor-league reliever. He's never had even a partial season that looked anything like his first 23 games in the majors.
But this Tigers fan hopes he can keep it up ... 'cause Justin Verlander can't pitch every day.
June 20th, 2011 at 12:06 am
Last season Craig Kimbrel faced 88 batters and struck out 45.5% of them. This season he's all the way down to 36.5%. He and Venters must be one of the great relief combos to watch.
Mariano Rivera never shows up on these lists for single-season dominance. Pretty much every season he has is excellent, but not other-worldly. But the couple guys who might be more impressive in any one season fade away, while he keeps on truckin'.
June 20th, 2011 at 12:12 am
Arthur Rhodes was on a record setting pace right around this time last year, too.
June 20th, 2011 at 12:56 am
@2, Rich -- Valid point, but I would add that:
(a) Rhodes was 40 years old last year, with a long track record of being good but not dominant; and
(b) he did still wind up with very good numbers for the year.
As for Alburquerque ... Any time I mention a record pace, I'm well aware that the player will most likely fall short. I'm not making any predictions, not calling him the next Billy Wagner; I haven't even seen the guy pitch yet. I'm just saying: I knew he was off to a great start, but until I ran the numbers, I didn't realize just how great it was.
June 20th, 2011 at 12:57 am
good god, eric gagne
June 20th, 2011 at 1:15 am
This ol' Bugs Bunny fan sure appreciated the "left turn [at] Albuquerque" remark.
June 20th, 2011 at 1:25 am
@5, Ian -- You've made my day by noticing! I really wanted to use the title "No Left Turns on Alburquerque," but having once used the title "Tuesdays with More E's", I've been asked to refrain from punny titles.
June 20th, 2011 at 2:05 am
So, is Al the first major leaguer with 2 Qs in his last name?
June 20th, 2011 at 2:13 am
Holy crap, Venters already has 45.1 IP (including tonight).
June 20th, 2011 at 2:30 am
His BABIP against is only 0.238, so except his BA against to start creeping up.
The kid has a walk rate of 6 BB/9, but his WHIP is only 1.08. You don't see that every day.
Seriously though, he'll need to improve his control for the Tigers to use him other than as a middle guy.
June 20th, 2011 at 6:47 am
how underrated is his name?
June 20th, 2011 at 9:22 am
[...] Record pace for Al Alburquerque: B-R’s John Autin puts Alburquerque’s 2011 season-to-date in historical perspective. [...]
June 20th, 2011 at 9:40 am
@6
Whoever asked you to refrain, don't listen to him. Keep it up, JA. You're quickly becoming my favorite blogger on this site.
June 20th, 2011 at 11:06 am
@9, Doug -- I think it would be great if he improved his walk rate. But I wouldn't see any problem with his exact performance to date being used in a more high-leverage role. There have been plenty of effective closers with high walk rates, including Carlos Marmol (career 5.8 BB/9, but just 5.6 H/9 thanks to 11.7 K/9).
June 20th, 2011 at 11:08 am
@10, Jesse -- Immeasurably. In fact, I think it would be impossible to overrate his name.
June 20th, 2011 at 11:13 am
@1, JT -- Interesting point about The Great One, although he does show up at #3 on the single-season WHIP and SO/BB lists (min. 50 IP).
Do you think there is any conscious "pacing himself" aspect to Rivera's performance?
June 20th, 2011 at 11:54 am
Let me be the one to get the bandwagon rolling: Al Alburquerque for the Hall of Fame!
And how on earth is it possible that a name that unusual is NOT spelled the same as the town in New Mexico? Anyone know why that is?
Th... th... th... that's all folks!
June 20th, 2011 at 12:24 pm
@16, Hartvig -- It's all the same to Bugs: "Alba-coiky!"
June 20th, 2011 at 12:26 pm
@16, Hartvig -- But seriously ... glad you asked!
It seems it is the city, not the player, who is "in error." Per Wikipedia:
"It is generally believed that the growing village was named by the provincial governor Don Francisco Cuervo y Valdes in honor of Don Francisco Fernández de la Cueva, viceroy of New Spain from 1653 to 1660. One of de la Cueva's aristocratic titles was Duke of Alburquerque, referring to the Spanish town of Alburquerque."
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Albuquerque,_New_Mexico#Etymology
June 20th, 2011 at 12:32 pm
Not a lot in Al Alburquerque's minor league stats to suggest his 2011 dominance. He missed all of 2008 and pitched only 34.1 innings last year. Arm problems in both instances?
He's had only a cup of coffee in Triple A in his career. Nice pick, Andy, on his great start but he will probably come back to earth over a whole season.
At 24 IP, have the advance scouting reports around the league caught up with him yet?
That raises the question does the league "catch up" with a new pitcher like Alburquerque faster or slower than with a hot new rookie hitter?
June 20th, 2011 at 12:34 pm
John @ 16 Thanks! What a great website. Baseball, geography and history lessons all in one post.
June 20th, 2011 at 12:35 pm
Hartvig, you Wascally Wabbit, you!
June 20th, 2011 at 12:37 pm
@19
Sorry, JA, referenced you as Andy. A nice catch o putting Alburquerque's great start in perspective.
June 20th, 2011 at 2:30 pm
[...] B-R love... this time for Al Al Record pace for Al Alburquerque Baseball-Reference Blog Blog Archive __________________ 2011 AAT - Matt Hoffman My Batter Strikeout [...]
June 20th, 2011 at 3:39 pm
As a Tiger fan, I've been watching Al since he came up closely and the thing that is most noticeable about him is his absolutely dominating slider. It's just as good as Marmol's, and while I don't think he will be able to sustain what he has going now, he isn't going to fade off as much as people think.
June 20th, 2011 at 3:50 pm
@24, Corey -- Thanks for the eyewitness report. I have not yet seen him pitch. Should I break down and buy the MLB Season Pass? I'm starting to get Tigers Fever!
June 20th, 2011 at 4:43 pm
Al Al sure is fun to watch. That 6 K game against Seattle was something else. Nobody was touching any of his pitches. He was running it up to 97 or 98 that night IIRC and his slider was breaking more than the width of the plate. He looks great when he's on. Time to just ride the wave as long as it can go!
Although - I agree with #7. First major leaguer with two Q's in his last name?
June 20th, 2011 at 4:53 pm
@7, @26 -- Sorry, but I can't say definitively whether Alburquerque is the first MLB player with 2 Q's. I'm sure he's the only one I've ever heard of.
P.S. While searching for the answer to that question, I happened upon some Cubs fan site claiming that they signed a pitcher named Austin Bibens-Dirkx to take over Alburquerque's role as player whose last name is hardest to spell. I thought it was a joke, but no....
http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?id=bibens001aus
June 20th, 2011 at 5:17 pm
I've also seen him pitch regularly. He's looked dominant from day 1.
Not only is is slider filthy, but he has a 98 mph fastball. And you can tell that hitters never have any idea of whether or not any given pitch is going to be his fastball or his slider. They'll regularly take the fastball down the middle and then swing away at the slider in the dirt. And he throws the slider a lot in fastball counts too.
I don't expect him to keep up his current pace, but he sure looks like a keeper.
June 20th, 2011 at 5:21 pm
One more thing, he has two different sliders. One is slower and he'll throw it for strikes. The other is hard and nasty. It just drops off the table without any warning. He gets a ton of swing and misses with that pitch.
June 20th, 2011 at 5:26 pm
@28/29, Funk -- Any comparison to Jordan Walden, the Angels' young closer? I got my first look at him this past weekend. He started the 9th with a 1-run lead, walked Reyes, and after Reyes stole 2nd, walked the next batter. I thought he might get a little rattled, but instead he fanned the next 3 guys swinging, on a slider that started out looking like a fastball at the knees but wound up in the dirt. Three veteran lefty batters, but they had no chance.
June 20th, 2011 at 8:36 pm
Can't tell you, John. Most of the games I watch are Tigers games. But that sounds similar to Al Al's hard slider. One of the best sliders I've ever seen.
June 20th, 2011 at 11:23 pm
he has two different sliders. One is slower and he'll throw it for strikes. The other is hard and nasty. It just drops off the table without any warning. He gets a ton of swing and misses with that pitch.
Reminds me of old Joba....sob....
Jordan Walden
I can't stand watching that guy. He jumps as he pitches! WTF? It looks awful aesthetically and it doesn't seem like efficient mechanics. I guess it's working so far though.
June 20th, 2011 at 11:33 pm
Do you think there is any conscious "pacing himself" aspect to Rivera's performance?
Interesting question. I doubt it. I mean, part of the reason short relievers can be so dominant is because they don't have to pace themselves. But Rivera is so smooth and relaxed in his delivery, it may appear that way.
It's an odd thing, but he doesn't really have a put-away pitch. Of course his cutter is dominant and very difficult to hit, but it's not a classic strikeout pitch. He has usually had good strikeout rates, but never the amazing ones which many of his peers do. And some seasons he's been down with a decidedly average K-rate, with no apparent loss of overall effectiveness. He really is a guy who can consistently induce weak contact. We've all seen pitchers have individual games where no one hits them well. But generally, dominant pitchers are dominant because they strike a lot of guys out. Rivera is a dominant pitcher with a dominant pitch which doesn't get that many swing-and-misses. Just part of what makes him one of the singular performers in baseball history.
June 21st, 2011 at 12:34 am
Just wait for our good old friend umpires to put him to his right place. After all, Al is just another wetback pitching for Tigers.
June 21st, 2011 at 12:49 am
There he is! Cabriel, why didn't you join us on the discussion about the confusion during the Mets-Pirates game last week? Lots of juicy umpire morsels to sink your teeth into there.
http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/11816
June 21st, 2011 at 3:53 am
@33.
Interesting comment about Rivera: "He really is a guy who can consistently induce weak contact."
My hunch would be that, if this statement is true, then Rivera's BABIP against would be consistently below his peers. And, it is. For his career, Rivera has a 0.264 BABIP against, versus a 0.298 MLB average. Only twice in his career has his BABIP against been 0.300 or higher - in 2007 and so far in 2011.
But, what does this say about the arguments around DIPS? If I've understand the concept correctly, BABIP is supposed to be about luck - a pitcher is as likely to have a good or bad BABIP against in any given year. Therefore, the pitcher's job is just to get the strikeouts up and the walks down - reduce the balls in play, and minimize the impact of the ones you allow.
If all that's true, Rivera must be just about the luckiest man who's ever lived to have had the BABIP against numbers that he's had. I don't think it's luck.
June 21st, 2011 at 10:48 am
@36, Doug -- I don't think it's luck, either; neither does almost every LHB who's ever been quoted on what it's like to hit against Mo.
But I don't think that a few exceptions invalidate the theory.
June 21st, 2011 at 1:20 pm
Pitchers do have some skill in preventing BABIP. It's just that the variation caused by chance is greater than the spread in talent (at the MLB level), so it can be hard to tell who really has the ability for years, perhaps until their career is over. Rivera does seem to be one of those at the extreme endrange of BABIP prevention.
June 21st, 2011 at 4:31 pm
I think BABIP is best used to determine whether or not a pitcher / batter is having an especially lucky or unlucky year. Players definitely have varying BABIP over their career, but season to season it varies a lot, and most of that variation is due to luck.
June 22nd, 2011 at 10:28 pm
Update: Another sharp long-relief outing for Al-Al in LA on Wednesday 6/22: 2.2 IP, 0 hits, 0 runs, 2 walks, 4 Ks. Came on in a tight spot in the 5th, with a 1-run lead, 2 on, 2 out; issued a walk but left 'em loaded with a strikeout. He's now stranded 19 of 20 inherited runners, which is off the charts.
The 4 Ks in 2.2 IP actually lowered his K/9 by a hair, but raised his K% of batters faced. And the 0 hits in 7 AB lowered his opponents' batting average to .112 (10 for 89).
June 22nd, 2011 at 11:26 pm
I'm still reading! Though in the middle of page 2, I doubt anyone else is....
I remember him facing the Yanks earlier in the season but I really don't have much memory of him besides his name. I wonder if he wasn't that sharp, I wasn't paying much attention, or I'm just an idiot. I need to get another look at him.
June 23rd, 2011 at 11:53 am
[...] in the week, John Autin of Baseball-Reference pointed out that Al Alburquerque is on a pace to challenge some historic marks this season. The [...]
June 23rd, 2011 at 1:35 pm
As far as comparables, his skillset looks more like Brad Lidge in his prime, with a high end fastball, as slider he throws for strikes and a slider he effectively draws swings out of the zone, namely in the dirt.
June 23rd, 2011 at 2:39 pm
@41, JT -- To jog your memory:
http://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/DET/DET201105040.shtml
Al-Al pitched in 2 of the 4 games in the Bronx, neither one high-leverage. In the one above, he closed out Scherzer's gem, pitching the 9th with a 4-0 lead. He hit Teix with a 1-2 pitch, then fanned A-Rod and Cano swinging, before Swisher bounced out on an 0-2 pitch to end it.
June 23rd, 2011 at 3:25 pm
[...] Record pace for Al Alburquerque Baseball-Reference Blog Blog Archive On pace for a historical season. [...]
June 25th, 2011 at 12:48 am
[...] left turns on Alburquerque... Record pace for Al Alburquerque Baseball-Reference Blog Blog Archive [...]