2017 Major League Baseball Win Probability

Other Leagues: AL, NL

World Series Champion: Houston Astros

Become a Stathead & surf this site ad-free.

Team Win Probability*

Team Win Probability* Table
Tm	R/G	BtRuns	BtWins	Plays	WPA	WPA+	WPA-	aLI	WPA/LI	Clutch	cWPA	cWPA+	cWPA-	acLI	cClutch	RE24	REW	boLI	RE24/boLI	PHlev	AB
Arizona Diamondbacks	5.01	-57.9	-5.8	6449	0.1	109.5	-109.3	.98	2.6	-2.4	-0.6%	56.8%	-57.4%	.85	-2.2%	48.4	4.2	0.94	31.6	1.30	205
Atlanta Braves	4.52	-67.2	-6.7	6404	-1.9	107.5	-109.4	.99	-2.3	0.4	0.1%	31.1%	-31.0%	.47	1.3%	-11.8	-1.3	0.94	-26.1	1.23	242
Baltimore Orioles	4.59	-6.9	-0.8	6274	-2.1	99.6	-101.6	.91	-0.9	-1.4	-0.1%	54.0%	-54.1%	.82	-0.4%	-11.1	-1.3	0.92	-10.8	1.15	85
Boston Red Sox	4.85	-64.2	-6.2	6582	-2.4	114.5	-116.9	1.04	-3.3	1.0	-1.4%	84.7%	-86.0%	1.28	1.2%	-6.1	-0.7	0.95	-42.6	1.73	83
Chicago Cubs	5.07	-10.3	-1.2	6477	1.8	109.7	-107.9	.98	6.3	-4.5	2.5%	92.1%	-89.6%	1.36	-2.0%	69.7	6.3	0.96	91.7	1.23	248
Chicago White Sox	4.36	-33.6	-3.4	6274	-6.7	100.5	-107.2	.96	-3.2	-3.8	-2.1%	26.8%	-28.9%	.43	-2.4%	-42.8	-4.4	0.93	-43.8	1.69	80
Cincinnati Reds	4.65	-30.8	-3.3	6455	-6.0	98.0	-104.0	.93	0.8	-7.2	-1.2%	28.8%	-30.1%	.45	-3.0%	4.2	0.0	0.95	26.0	0.92	219
Cleveland Indians	5.05	33.3	3.1	6455	-1.3	102.0	-103.3	.92	7.6	-9.0	-2.9%	69.2%	-72.1%	1.06	-7.2%	48.4	4.4	0.95	71.2	1.32	83
Colorado Rockies	5.09	-93.8	-9.2	6414	-2.5	97.0	-99.4	.88	1.0	-3.8	-0.9%	63.4%	-64.3%	.95	-1.4%	30.2	2.4	0.94	7.4	0.92	229
Detroit Tigers	4.54	-22.1	-2.3	6340	-6.5	100.1	-106.5	.95	-2.6	-4.1	-0.6%	37.4%	-38.0%	.58	-1.0%	-28.2	-2.9	0.93	-33.6	1.15	94
Houston Astros	5.53	200.0	18.9	6512	13.6	112.2	-98.6	.91	16.0	-1.0	5.5%	40.9%	-35.4%	.54	0.8%	166.7	16.2	0.95	171.0	1.38	65
Kansas City Royals	4.33	-66.6	-6.6	6245	-2.6	103.4	-106.0	.95	-5.3	2.6	-0.8%	55.8%	-56.5%	.85	2.0%	-58.0	-5.7	0.93	-69.2	0.95	43
Los Angeles Angels	4.38	-56.0	-5.6	6325	-1.1	112.0	-113.1	1.04	-3.7	2.7	-1.8%	58.0%	-59.8%	.91	0.2%	-32.0	-3.3	0.93	-47.6	1.69	99
Los Angeles Dodgers	4.75	40.5	3.7	6400	6.8	110.4	-103.7	.97	6.5	0.5	3.7%	43.9%	-40.2%	.63	0.5%	47.6	4.4	0.95	68.0	1.22	301
Miami Marlins	4.80	66.2	6.0	6449	4.4	105.3	-100.9	.93	6.6	-1.9	0.1%	27.3%	-27.2%	.41	-1.8%	65.4	6.2	0.95	55.4	1.14	248
Milwaukee Brewers	4.52	-55.9	-5.5	6400	-0.6	107.7	-108.2	.97	1.3	-1.9	-3.2%	93.2%	-96.4%	1.43	-3.0%	-15.9	-1.7	0.93	3.4	1.19	255
Minnesota Twins	5.03	34.2	3.2	6482	5.2	105.6	-100.3	.92	4.3	1.4	3.6%	79.0%	-75.4%	1.15	0.4%	60.2	5.7	0.96	40.5	1.34	87
New York Mets	4.54	7.7	0.6	6337	-2.1	100.3	-102.4	.92	4.7	-7.0	-0.7%	26.5%	-27.2%	.41	-3.8%	13.9	1.1	0.93	49.9	1.01	215
New York Yankees	5.30	40.9	3.7	6572	2.7	112.0	-109.3	.97	9.9	-7.2	2.1%	94.7%	-92.6%	1.38	-4.4%	88.9	8.2	0.96	98.4	1.18	95
Oakland Athletics	4.56	40.6	3.8	6310	4.9	111.8	-106.9	.97	2.8	2.3	-1.0%	20.8%	-21.8%	.32	-2.3%	3.4	0.2	0.93	24.1	1.30	110
Philadelphia Phillies	4.26	-88.3	-8.6	6319	-8.5	107.5	-116.0	1.04	-4.3	-4.0	-1.3%	17.4%	-18.7%	.28	-1.5%	-49.8	-5.0	0.94	-50.1	1.28	208
Pittsburgh Pirates	4.12	-110.4	-10.8	6324	-5.1	103.8	-108.9	1.00	-7.6	2.5	-1.7%	40.6%	-42.3%	.65	0.7%	-70.8	-7.1	0.95	-97.6	1.21	241
San Diego Padres	3.73	-132.5	-12.9	6164	-6.9	96.9	-103.8	.96	-9.5	2.3	-2.0%	13.5%	-15.5%	.24	-5.2%	-129.6	-12.9	0.92	-116.7	1.15	218
Seattle Mariners	4.63	31.7	2.9	6401	1.2	108.4	-107.2	.97	0.6	0.6	-0.3%	44.3%	-44.7%	.67	-0.8%	9.5	0.7	0.95	-1.4	1.37	78
San Francisco Giants	3.94	-151.6	-14.7	6344	-14.3	102.3	-116.6	1.04	-9.7	-3.9	-2.9%	13.3%	-16.2%	.24	-7.5%	-116.1	-11.4	0.94	-121.9	1.32	263
St. Louis Cardinals	4.70	-0.1	-0.2	6432	-2.4	106.2	-108.6	.97	2.9	-5.4	-2.0%	65.7%	-67.7%	1.01	-4.1%	19.0	1.6	0.95	30.3	1.04	247
Tampa Bay Rays	4.28	-3.7	-0.5	6355	-5.3	106.2	-111.4	1.00	-0.2	-5.0	-3.5%	57.8%	-61.3%	.92	-3.5%	-53.9	-5.4	0.94	-9.7	1.39	105
Texas Rangers	4.93	-82.8	-8.1	6386	-1.6	99.0	-100.5	.90	-0.4	-1.4	-1.1%	40.1%	-41.2%	.61	-1.6%	12.9	1.0	0.92	0.1	1.34	57
Toronto Blue Jays	4.28	-71.8	-7.1	6324	-7.9	107.8	-115.7	1.02	-7.5	-0.4	-2.5%	28.3%	-30.7%	.45	-1.3%	-83.8	-8.2	0.93	-81.2	1.56	108
Washington Nationals	5.06	-12.4	-1.5	6414	3.4	106.7	-103.4	.94	4.9	-1.3	4.6%	47.4%	-42.8%	.66	4.3%	74.2	6.6	0.94	57.1	1.13	216
League Average	4.65	-24	-3	6387	-1	105	-107	.97	1	-2	-0%	48%	-49%	.74	-1%	2	-0	0	2	0	161
	4.65	-723.5	-75.2	191619	-43.5	3163.8	-3207.2	.97	18.2	-63.2	-12.2%	1452.8%	-1465.1%	.74	-30.2%	52.6	-2.3	0.94	73.9	1.22	4827
Tm	R/G	BtRuns	BtWins	Plays	WPA	WPA+	WPA-	aLI	WPA/LI	Clutch	cWPA	cWPA+	cWPA-	acLI	cClutch	RE24	REW	boLI	RE24/boLI	PHlev	AB