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2025 Major League Baseball Win Probability

Other Leagues: AL, NL

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Team Win Probability*

Team Win Probability* Table
Tm	R/G	BtRuns	BtWins	Plays	WPA	WPA+	WPA-	aLI	WPA/LI	Clutch	cWPA	cWPA+	cWPA-	acLI	cClutch	RE24	REW	boLI	RE24/boLI	PHlev	AB
Arizona Diamondbacks	5.67	6.9	0.6	119	-0.1	2.2	-2.3	1.10	0.3	-0.4	-0.1%	1.2%	-1.2%	.99	-0.2%	3.7	0.3	1.04	3.2		1
Athletics	4.33	-0.4	-0.1	113	0.3	1.8	-1.6	.78	0.2	0.1	0.2%	1.1%	-0.9%	.78	0.1%	1.0	0.1	0.84	1.9	0.33	2
Atlanta Braves	2.33	-4.0	-0.4	117	-1.1	1.9	-2.9	1.36	-0.3	-0.5	-0.6%	1.0%	-1.6%	1.21	-0.3%	-6.7	-0.6	0.91	-4.1	2.16	1
Baltimore Orioles	7.67	8.8	0.7	123	0.9	1.9	-1.1	.60	0.8	0.6	0.5%	1.2%	-0.6%	.61	0.4%	9.9	0.8	0.94	8.9		0
Boston Red Sox	3.00	-4.2	-0.5	118	-0.5	2.4	-2.9	1.47	-0.5	0.1	-0.3%	1.4%	-1.7%	1.45	0.1%	-4.0	-0.4	0.99	-4.3	2.00	1
Chicago Cubs	3.80	-6.6	-0.6	199	-0.3	2.8	-3.0	.87	-0.4	0.1	-0.2%	1.5%	-1.6%	.79	0.0%	-3.9	-0.4	0.91	-4.5	0.58	2
Chicago White Sox	4.00	-2.3	-0.2	67	-0.6	0.7	-1.3	.95	-0.4	-0.3	-0.4%	0.4%	-0.8%	.92	-0.2%	-0.2	0.0	0.80	-2.1	3.53	1
Cincinnati Reds	3.50	-0.6	-0.1	72	-0.1	1.1	-1.2	.92	-0.1	0.0	-0.1%	0.6%	-0.7%	.86	0.0%	-2.1	-0.2	0.84	-1.1		0
Cleveland Guardians	5.00	0.3	0.0	77	0.2	1.9	-1.7	1.36	0.0	0.2	0.1%	1.1%	-1.0%	1.40	0.1%	-0.2	-0.1	0.98	-0.3		0
Colorado Rockies	2.00	-4.6	-0.4	75	-0.4	1.1	-1.5	1.11	-0.5	0.1	-0.2%	0.6%	-0.8%	.94	0.1%	-4.6	-0.4	0.90	-5.3	1.34	1
Detroit Tigers	4.00	0.7	0.0	126	0.0	3.1	-3.1	1.65	-0.2	0.1	0.0%	1.6%	-1.6%	1.44	0.1%	-2.1	-0.2	1.08	-1.4	2.78	4
Houston Astros	2.00	-5.6	-0.5	102	-0.5	1.5	-2.0	1.07	-0.4	0.0	-0.3%	0.8%	-1.1%	1.00	0.0%	-6.0	-0.6	1.00	-4.9		0
Kansas City Royals	4.00	-1.8	-0.2	78	0.2	2.3	-2.1	1.60	-0.3	0.5	0.1%	1.4%	-1.3%	1.60	0.3%	-1.7	-0.2	0.96	-3.6	0.94	1
Los Angeles Angels	1.00	-3.8	-0.4	73	-0.6	1.0	-1.6	1.14	-0.5	0.0	-0.4%	0.5%	-0.9%	1.06	0.0%	-6.6	-0.6	0.94	-3.7	0.00	1
Los Angeles Dodgers	6.00	6.3	0.5	187	1.8	4.5	-2.8	.96	1.2	0.7	1.1%	2.7%	-1.6%	.95	0.4%	8.1	0.7	0.88	10.9	4.88	1
Miami Marlins	4.33	0.9	0.1	129	-0.3	3.5	-3.8	1.71	-0.2	0.0	-0.2%	1.9%	-2.1%	1.59	0.0%	-1.6	-0.2	0.97	-0.3	2.15	5
Milwaukee Brewers	5.50	0.2	0.0	89	-0.3	1.0	-1.4	.95	0.1	-0.4	-0.2%	0.5%	-0.7%	.84	-0.2%	2.1	0.2	1.03	2.7	4.76	2
Minnesota Twins	2.00	-5.8	-0.6	69	-0.7	0.9	-1.6	1.18	-0.6	0.0	-0.4%	0.5%	-0.8%	1.03	0.0%	-5.1	-0.5	0.89	-6.4		0
New York Mets	1.67	-6.7	-0.6	110	-1.0	1.4	-2.4	1.22	-0.5	-0.3	-0.5%	0.8%	-1.3%	1.10	-0.2%	-8.0	-0.7	0.97	-6.3	0.38	3
New York Yankees	12.00	14.6	1.2	87	0.7	1.3	-0.6	.49	1.4	-0.1	0.4%	0.7%	-0.3%	.44	0.0%	16.1	1.3	0.96	17.3	0.00	3
Philadelphia Phillies	9.00	7.6	0.7	95	0.9	2.4	-1.6	1.20	1.0	-0.2	0.5%	1.5%	-1.0%	1.21	-0.1%	8.2	0.7	0.99	7.1	0.02	2
Pittsburgh Pirates	4.00	-2.7	-0.3	142	-0.8	2.5	-3.3	1.51	-0.5	0.0	-0.4%	1.4%	-1.9%	1.43	0.0%	-6.1	-0.6	1.03	-5.0	3.52	2
San Diego Padres	4.00	0.5	0.0	108	0.4	2.2	-1.8	1.10	-0.1	0.5	0.2%	1.2%	-1.0%	1.04	0.3%	-0.1	0.0	0.92	-2.3	0.96	2
Seattle Mariners	2.00	-3.3	-0.3	114	-0.2	2.4	-2.6	1.34	-0.2	0.1	-0.1%	1.4%	-1.6%	1.34	0.0%	-5.6	-0.5	0.99	-2.9	0.19	3
San Francisco Giants	4.00	-2.1	-0.2	70	-0.1	1.8	-2.0	1.41	-0.3	0.2	-0.1%	1.0%	-1.1%	1.34	0.1%	-1.6	-0.2	0.81	-3.0		1
St. Louis Cardinals	5.00	3.7	0.3	80	0.3	1.4	-1.1	.85	0.3	0.0	0.2%	0.7%	-0.6%	.76	0.0%	1.9	0.1	1.07	2.8		0
Tampa Bay Rays	2.00	0.8	0.0	75	-0.4	1.8	-2.2	1.79	-0.2	0.0	-0.3%	1.0%	-1.2%	1.66	0.0%	-4.2	-0.4	1.04	-2.9	2.05	1
Texas Rangers	3.33	-0.6	-0.1	105	0.0	1.8	-1.8	.90	0.0	0.0	0.0%	1.0%	-1.0%	.83	0.0%	-2.0	-0.2	0.90	-0.6	0.54	3
Toronto Blue Jays	5.00	2.4	0.2	121	0.4	1.7	-1.3	.77	0.6	-0.1	0.2%	1.0%	-0.8%	.76	-0.1%	2.4	0.2	1.04	4.3	0.89	2
Washington Nationals	4.50	0.8	0.0	86	-0.1	1.6	-1.7	1.09	0.2	-0.3	-0.1%	1.0%	-1.0%	1.09	-0.2%	-0.8	-0.1	0.93	1.5	0.10	1
League Average	4.20	-0	-0	104	-0	2	-2	1.14	-0	-0	-0%	1%	-1%	1.08	-0%	-1	-0	0	-0	0	2
	4.20	-0.7	-1.1	3126	-2.3	57.7	-60.1	1.14	-0.3	-1.7	-1.2%	32.7%	-33.9%	1.08	-0.9%	-19.8	-3.1	0.95	-4.6	1.40	46
Tm	R/G	BtRuns	BtWins	Plays	WPA	WPA+	WPA-	aLI	WPA/LI	Clutch	cWPA	cWPA+	cWPA-	acLI	cClutch	RE24	REW	boLI	RE24/boLI	PHlev	AB