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Wild Card Recap for Tuesday 9/27/11: 4 teams, 2 spots, 1 day

28th September 2011

-- Red Sox 8, Orioles 7 /  Rays 5, Yankees 3

-- Phillies 7, Braves 1 / Cardinals 13, Astros 6

In the woolliest of wild-card seasons, after a night of 15 HRs in the 4 big games and one triple play, both races will go down to the last day ... or beyond.

Read the rest of this entry »

Posted in Uncategorized | 113 Comments »

Homered in first game and then never again

27th September 2011

Here are the 26 guys since 1901 who homered in their first career big-league game and then never homered again in the rest of their careers:

Rk Player HR From To Age G PA
1 Tom Milone 1 2011 2011 24-24 4 8
2 Wilkin Ramirez 1 2009 2011 23-25 35 43
3 Steve Hill 1 2010 2010 25-25 1 3
4 Daniel Nava 1 2010 2010 27-27 60 188
5 Mark Saccomanno 1 2008 2008 28-28 10 10
6 Brandon Watson 1 2005 2007 23-25 40 96
7 Dave Matranga 1 2003 2005 26-28 7 6
8 Marty Malloy 1 1998 2002 26-30 35 58
9 Dave Eiland 1 1988 2000 21-33 92 27
10 Mitch Lyden 1 1993 1993 28-28 6 10
11 Ray Stephens 1 1990 1992 27-29 19 37
12 Andre David 1 1984 1986 26-28 38 63
13 Jamie Nelson 1 1983 1983 23-23 40 111
14 Dave Machemer 1 1978 1979 27-28 29 55
15 Denny McLain 1 1963 1972 19-28 285 709
16 Hal Haydel 1 1970 1971 25-26 35 6
17 Bobby Locke 1 1959 1968 25-34 168 113
18 Bill Roman 1 1964 1965 25-26 24 37
19 Cuno Barragan 1 1961 1963 29-31 69 190
20 Dan Bankhead 1 1947 1951 27-31 62 48
21 Dummy Lynch 1 1948 1948 22-22 7 8
22 Red Durrett 1 1944 1945 23-24 19 58
23 Bill LeFebvre 1 1938 1944 22-28 75 102
24 Eddie Morgan 1 1936 1937 21-22 39 79
25 Hank Erickson 1 1935 1935 27-27 37 97
26 Tom Sullivan 1 1922 1922 26-26 3 4
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 9/25/2011.

A few of the more recent guys may, of course, homer again yet and get off this list.

Posted in Uncategorized | 47 Comments »

Race recap for Monday 9/26/11: The art of fiction is on life support

27th September 2011

-- Orioles 6, Red Sox 3: It's a 2-game season for Boston and Tampa. (Unless....) Chris Davis drove in the tying run in the 5th and the go-ahead with 2 out in the 6th, after which the #9 hitter Robert Andino -- a hero in 2 of Baltimore's 3 wins in Fenway last weekend -- hit a 3-run, inside-the-park HR. His straightaway drive sent Jacoby Ellsbury on a fly pattern all the way to the wall, where he briefly gloved it with an over-the-shoulder grab, but lost control on contact. Ellsbury lay dazed for a split second, but he flipped the ball to the nearby J.D. Drew, who made a strong relay to Dustin Pedroia. Andino steamed around 3rd and would have been out at the plate, but Pedroia's laser arrived on a short hop and skipped by Jarrod Saltalamacchia.

  • Josh Beckett allowed 6 runs in his 2nd straight start against Baltimore, this time with 11 baserunners in 6 IP; he's won once in 4 starts this month. BoSox SPs in September are 4-13, allowing 8.24 runs per 9 IP. Tuesday's starters are Erik Bedard (who did not seem fully recovered from injury in his last start) vs. Zach Britton, who's won 5 of his last 7 outings. Read the rest of this entry »

Posted in Uncategorized | 72 Comments »

Most homers in final season

26th September 2011

Loyal reader Andy P. writes in to ask which players hit the most homers in their final season in the majors. He noticed that Jermaine Dye hit 27 bombs in his final season and guessed that perhaps Dave Kingman had the most in 1986 with 35.

He's right:

Rk Player HR Year Age Tm G PA AB R H 2B 3B RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS Pos
1 Dave Kingman 35 1986 37 OAK 144 604 561 70 118 19 0 94 33 126 .210 .255 .431 .686 *D/3
2 Mark McGwire 29 2001 37 STL 97 364 299 48 56 4 0 64 56 118 .187 .316 .492 .808 *3
3 Ted Williams 29 1960 41 BOS 113 390 310 56 98 15 0 72 75 41 .316 .451 .645 1.096 *7
4 Barry Bonds 28 2007 42 SFG 126 477 340 75 94 14 0 66 132 54 .276 .480 .565 1.045 *7/D
5 Jermaine Dye 27 2009 35 CHW 141 574 503 78 126 19 1 81 64 108 .250 .340 .453 .793 *9/D
6 Hank Greenberg 25 1947 36 PIT 125 510 402 71 100 13 2 74 104 73 .249 .408 .478 .885 *3
7 Jack Graham 24 1949 32 SLB 137 573 500 71 119 22 1 79 61 62 .238 .326 .430 .756 *3
8 Roy Cullenbine 24 1947 33 DET 142 607 464 82 104 18 1 78 137 51 .224 .401 .422 .823 *3
9 Albert Belle 23 2000 33 BAL 141 622 559 71 157 37 1 103 52 68 .281 .342 .474 .817 *9D
10 Kirby Puckett 23 1995 35 MIN 137 602 538 83 169 39 0 99 56 89 .314 .379 .515 .894 *9D/8645
11 Phil Nevin 22 2006 35 TOT 129 450 397 54 95 13 0 68 48 106 .239 .323 .438 .761 D3/792
12 Sammy Sosa 21 2007 38 TEX 114 454 412 53 104 24 1 92 34 112 .252 .311 .468 .779 *D9
13 Paul O'Neill 21 2001 38 NYY 137 563 510 77 136 33 1 70 48 59 .267 .330 .459 .789 *9/D
14 Will Clark 21 2000 36 TOT 130 507 427 78 136 30 2 70 69 69 .319 .418 .546 .964 *3/D
15 Dave Nilsson 21 1999 29 MIL 115 404 343 56 106 19 1 62 53 64 .309 .400 .554 .954 *2/D
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 9/25/2011.

Two seasons really stick out here--Ted Williams and Barry Bonds. They both played at a very high level. A few other guys here retired early for one reason or another.

Posted in Uncategorized | 118 Comments »

Recapping Sunday 9/25/11: SOX WIN!!! (a game … at last)

26th September 2011

-- Red Sox 7, Yankees 4 (2nd game): The ominous words from Michael Kay -- "Scott Proctor has not pitched well for the Yankees" -- were still hanging in the air when Jacoby Ellsbury cranked his 3rd HR of the doubleheader, a 3-run shot in the 14th inning that redeemed his own bad game to that point (1 for 6 with a GDP, 0-2 with RISP) and sent the Sox to what may prove a season-saving victory, snapping a 4-game skid. Boston holds a 1-game lead over the Rays with 3 to play. Read the rest of this entry »

Posted in Uncategorized | 113 Comments »

Brandon Morrow finally gets a ground-ball double play

25th September 2011

The other night Brandon Morrow finally registered his first ground-ball double play of the season. It came against Desmond Jennings of all people, in a game against Tampa Bay.

Provided he doesn't get another GIDP this season, Morrow will finish way out in first place for the most innings pitched in a season since 1919 (as far back as we have GIDP data) recording 1 or none ground-ball double plays.

Rk Player IP GDP WHIP Year Tm G GS GF SV H R ER BB SO ERA ERA+
1 Brandon Morrow 173.1 1 1.275 2011 TOR 29 29 0 0 157 101 92 64 196 4.78 89
2 Gene Nelson 123.2 1 1.253 1987 OAK 54 6 15 3 120 58 54 35 94 3.93 106
3 Cloyd Boyer 120.1 1 1.280 1950 STL 36 14 9 1 105 52 47 49 82 3.52 122
4 Jeff Reardon 110.1 1 1.296 1980 NYM 61 0 35 6 96 36 32 47 101 2.61 136
5 Jack Meyer 110.1 1 1.278 1955 PHI 50 5 36 16 75 50 42 66 97 3.43 116
6 Ross Ohlendorf 108.1 1 1.385 2010 PIT 21 21 0 0 106 54 49 44 79 4.07 100
7 Bill Singer 106.1 1 1.044 1970 LAD 16 16 0 0 79 39 37 32 93 3.13 122
8 Ray Narleski 104.1 1 1.572 1959 DET 42 10 21 5 105 83 67 59 71 5.78 70
9 Jose Bautista 100.2 1 1.450 1995 SFG 52 6 19 0 120 77 72 26 45 6.44 63
10 Bill Campbell 100.0 1 1.290 1982 CHC 62 0 39 8 89 44 41 40 71 3.69 101
11 Moe Drabowsky 98.0 1 1.000 1969 KCR 52 0 37 11 68 33 32 30 76 2.94 125
12 Russ Springer 96.2 0 1.490 1996 PHI 51 7 12 0 106 60 50 38 94 4.66 92
13 Orlando Hernandez 94.2 1 1.394 2001 NYY 17 16 0 0 90 51 51 42 77 4.85 93
14 David Weathers 93.0 1 1.505 1999 MIL 63 0 14 2 102 49 48 38 74 4.65 98
15 Al Holland 91.2 0 1.015 1983 PHI 68 0 53 25 63 26 23 30 100 2.26 160
16 Dave Beard 91.2 1 1.309 1982 OAK 54 2 39 11 85 41 35 35 73 3.44 113
17 Scott Sanders 90.0 1 1.222 1995 SDP 17 15 0 0 79 46 43 31 88 4.30 95
18 Craig Lefferts 89.0 1 1.225 1983 CHC 56 5 10 1 80 35 31 29 60 3.13 121
19 Pete Cimino 88.1 1 1.177 1967 CAL 46 1 19 1 73 38 32 31 80 3.26 96
20 Pete Schourek 86.1 1 1.448 1991 NYM 35 8 7 2 82 49 41 43 67 4.27 86
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 9/25/2011.

This is quite a list huh? Aside from everything else, I love seeing Clete Boyer's less-well-known brother Cloyd on there, not to mention the other Jose Bautista.

There's a ton of variation on this list. Some guys had great seasons. Others did not. Some made it here because they just didn't allow all that many baserunners, cutting down on the number of GIDP opportunities. Nearly every pitcher on here has a good strikeout rate, and obviously strikeouts prevent GIDPs too.

The thing about Morrow is that he's an extreme fly-ball pitcher. Check out his ground ball to fly ball ratios:

Year Tm GB/FB GO/AO
2007 SEA 0.50 0.77
2008 SEA 0.49 0.57
2009 SEA 0.57 0.70
2010 TOR 0.66 0.89
2011 TOR 0.57 0.66
5 Seasons 0.57 0.72
MLB Averages 0.79 1.07
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 9/25/2011.

For his career, he's got nearly 2 fly balls allowed for every 1 ground ball, where as the league average is more like 1.3 fly balls per ground ball. I would presume the same is true for most of the guys on this list.

Thanks to reader Dave H. for emailing in about Morrow.

Posted in Uncategorized | 25 Comments »

Saturday 9/24/11: Night of the Living Dead Wild-Cards

25th September 2011

Every time we think they're out, the leaders pull them back in....

Both wild-card races tightened up, as the quarry went down meekly and the pursuers got gift-wrapped victories. Atlanta leads St. Louis by 2 games, while Boston is 1.5 up on Tampa; the BoSox have 5 games left (including a Sunday doubleheader in New York), the rest have 4 remaining.

-- Cardinals 2, Cubs 1: One strike from closing out a 1-0 win that would have further weakened the Cards' wild-card odds, Carlos Marmol lost control as only he can. With a man on 3rd and 2 out, Marmol walked the unlikely trio of Yadier Molina, Skip Schumacher and Ryan Theriot to force in the tying run, then threw a wild pitch to let in the winner. Read the rest of this entry »

Posted in Uncategorized | 30 Comments »

Watch out Gregg Olson–there’s a new “O” in town

24th September 2011

Tom Niedenfuer was sweating it. Every day, he'd get up, go get the newspaper from his driveway, and search out the box score for yesterday's Marlins game.

He had to see if Leo Nunez got another save.

SV ▾ From To Age ERA+ Tm
Robb Nen 314 1993 2002 23-32 139 TOT-FLA-SFG
Joe Nathan 260 1999 2011 24-36 153 SFG-MIN
Tom Niedenfuer 97 1981 1990 21-30 112 LAD-TOT-BAL-SEA-STL
Leo Nunez 92 2005 2011 21-27 99 KCR-FLA
Ray Narleski 58 1954 1959 25-30 107 CLE-DET
Ed Nunez 54 1982 1994 19-31 99 SEA-TOT-DET-MIL-OAK
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 9/24/2011.

Nunez was hot on Niedenfuer's tracks for the third most saves by a player whose last name starts with "N".

And then, earlier this week, it was Christmas in September for Tom Niedenfuer. Leo Nunez was no more. Nunez didn't die nor was he banned from baseball. It just turns out that Nunez wasn't his real name, and now all those achievements recorded under the letter "N" counted for another "N"--nothing.

But for every miracle there is a tragedy. It would appear that the real name of the man formerly known as Leo Nunez is Juan Oviedo. With 92 career saves, where does Oviedo rank on the all-time saves list for "O" players?

SV From To Age ERA+ Tm
Gregg Olson 217 1988 2001 21-34 123 BAL-ATL-TOT-ARI-LAD
Jesse Orosco 144 1979 2003 22-46 126 NYM-LAD-CLE-MIL-BAL-STL-TOT
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 9/24/2011.

Before this week, there were just two "O" guys with at least 50 career saves. Now there are three.

Posted in Uncategorized | 16 Comments »

Marty Noble: MLB carries on strong, 200,000 games later | MLB.com: News

23rd September 2011

Marty Noble: MLB carries on strong, 200,000 games later | MLB.com: News.

200,000th game will be tomorrow.  Glad to see MLB pick up on this momentous event.  A nice rundown of the first National League game is in this article.

Posted in Uncategorized | 22 Comments »

Finally 40 homers means something again

23rd September 2011

It appears than only two players--Jose Bautista and Curtis Granderson--will hit 40 home runs this season. Two other players--Albert Pujols and Mark Teixeira--are currently at 37 homers with a handful of games to play.

If you're old enough to have been an MLB fan in the 1980s or earlier, you remember how impressive it used to be to get to 40 homers in a season.

Once we were knee-deep in the Steroids Era, 40-HR hitters became commonplace. In 1996, MLB had 17 different guys hit at least 40 homers, including Todd Hundley, Vinny Castilla, Ken Caminiti, and (in case you hadn't heard) Brady Anderson.

Now, it's back to the future time. For the 3rd time in the last 4 years, we're going to have only 2 guys break the 40-homer barrier. Here's a look back at 40-homer players since 1980:

Year ▾ #Matching
2011 2 Jose Bautista / Curtis Granderson
2010 2 Jose Bautista / Albert Pujols
2009 5 Prince Fielder / Adrian Gonzalez / Ryan Howard / Albert Pujols / Mark Reynolds
2008 2 Adam Dunn / Ryan Howard
2007 5 Adam Dunn / Prince Fielder / Ryan Howard / Carlos Pena / Alex Rodriguez
2006 11 Carlos Beltran / Lance Berkman / Adam Dunn / Jermaine Dye / Travis Hafner / Ryan Howard / Andruw Jones / David Ortiz / Albert Pujols / Alfonso Soriano / Jim Thome
2005 9 Adam Dunn / Andruw Jones / Paul Konerko / Derrek Lee / David Ortiz / Albert Pujols / Manny Ramirez / Alex Rodriguez / Mark Teixeira
2004 9 Adrian Beltre / Barry Bonds / Adam Dunn / Jim Edmonds / Paul Konerko / David Ortiz / Albert Pujols / Manny Ramirez / Jim Thome
2003 10 Barry Bonds / Carlos Delgado / Jason Giambi / Javy Lopez / Albert Pujols / Alex Rodriguez / Richie Sexson / Sammy Sosa / Frank Thomas / Jim Thome
2002 8 Lance Berkman / Barry Bonds / Jason Giambi / Shawn Green / Rafael Palmeiro / Alex Rodriguez / Sammy Sosa / Jim Thome
2001 12 Barry Bonds / Troy Glaus / Luis Gonzalez / Shawn Green / Todd Helton / Phil Nevin / Rafael Palmeiro / Manny Ramirez / Alex Rodriguez / Richie Sexson / Sammy Sosa / Jim Thome
2000 16 Jeff Bagwell / Tony Batista / Barry Bonds / Carlos Delgado / Jim Edmonds / Jason Giambi / Troy Glaus / Ken Griffey / Vladimir Guerrero / Todd Helton / Richard Hidalgo / David Justice / Alex Rodriguez / Gary Sheffield / Sammy Sosa / Frank Thomas
1999 13 Jeff Bagwell / Carlos Delgado / Shawn Green / Ken Griffey / Vladimir Guerrero / Chipper Jones / Mark McGwire / Rafael Palmeiro / Mike Piazza / Manny Ramirez / Alex Rodriguez / Sammy Sosa / Greg Vaughn
1998 13 Albert Belle / Jose Canseco / Vinny Castilla / Andres Galarraga / Juan Gonzalez / Ken Griffey / Mark McGwire / Rafael Palmeiro / Manny Ramirez / Alex Rodriguez / Sammy Sosa / Greg Vaughn / Mo Vaughn
1997 12 Jeff Bagwell / Barry Bonds / Jay Buhner / Vinny Castilla / Andres Galarraga / Juan Gonzalez / Ken Griffey / Tino Martinez / Mark McGwire / Mike Piazza / Jim Thome / Larry Walker
1996 17 Brady Anderson / Albert Belle / Barry Bonds / Jay Buhner / Ellis Burks / Ken Caminiti / Vinny Castilla / Andres Galarraga / Juan Gonzalez / Ken Griffey / Todd Hundley / Mark McGwire / Gary Sheffield / Sammy Sosa / Frank Thomas / Greg Vaughn / Mo Vaughn
1995 4 Albert Belle / Dante Bichette / Jay Buhner / Frank Thomas
1994 2 Ken Griffey / Matt Williams
1993 5 Barry Bonds / Juan Gonzalez / Ken Griffey / David Justice / Frank Thomas
1992 2 Juan Gonzalez / Mark McGwire
1991 2 Jose Canseco / Cecil Fielder
1990 2 Cecil Fielder / Ryne Sandberg
1989 1 Kevin Mitchell
1988 1 Jose Canseco
1987 4 George Bell / Andre Dawson / Mark McGwire / Dale Murphy
1986 1 Jesse Barfield
1985 1 Darrell Evans
1984 1 Tony Armas
1983 1 Mike Schmidt
1982 0
1981 0
1980 3 Reggie Jackson / Ben Oglivie / Mike Schmidt
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 9/23/2011.

This sort of table really speaks to how offense has changed dramatically (and then changed back) over the last 30 years. There are some pages on this site, though, that really show it in even plainer black-and-white, and those are the League Index pages. For example, the MLB Batting Encyclopedia shows that run scoring in 2011 (4.28 runs per game) is the lowest since 1992 and the homers per game (0.93) is the lowest since 1993. This is also looking to be the first year since 1992 that the overall slugging percentage finishes below .400. On the MLB Pitching Encyclopedia page, we see that WHIP is its lowest since 1992, as are the number of batters faced per game.

Also, although attendance is going to finish down for the 4th straight year, it'll still be higher than it was in 1992-2003 (even corrected for number of teams before the last 2 rounds of expansion.)

The bottom line? Home runs are more exciting when they are hit less frequently.

Posted in Uncategorized | 84 Comments »