Brandon Morrow finally gets a ground-ball double play
Posted by Andy on September 25, 2011
The other night Brandon Morrow finally registered his first ground-ball double play of the season. It came against Desmond Jennings of all people, in a game against Tampa Bay.
Provided he doesn't get another GIDP this season, Morrow will finish way out in first place for the most innings pitched in a season since 1919 (as far back as we have GIDP data) recording 1 or none ground-ball double plays.
Rk | Player | IP | GDP | Year | Tm | G | GS | GF | SV | H | R | ER | BB | SO | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Brandon Morrow | 173.1 | 1 | 1.275 | 2011 | TOR | 29 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 157 | 101 | 92 | 64 | 196 | 4.78 | 89 |
2 | Gene Nelson | 123.2 | 1 | 1.253 | 1987 | OAK | 54 | 6 | 15 | 3 | 120 | 58 | 54 | 35 | 94 | 3.93 | 106 |
3 | Cloyd Boyer | 120.1 | 1 | 1.280 | 1950 | STL | 36 | 14 | 9 | 1 | 105 | 52 | 47 | 49 | 82 | 3.52 | 122 |
4 | Jeff Reardon | 110.1 | 1 | 1.296 | 1980 | NYM | 61 | 0 | 35 | 6 | 96 | 36 | 32 | 47 | 101 | 2.61 | 136 |
5 | Jack Meyer | 110.1 | 1 | 1.278 | 1955 | PHI | 50 | 5 | 36 | 16 | 75 | 50 | 42 | 66 | 97 | 3.43 | 116 |
6 | Ross Ohlendorf | 108.1 | 1 | 1.385 | 2010 | PIT | 21 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 106 | 54 | 49 | 44 | 79 | 4.07 | 100 |
7 | Bill Singer | 106.1 | 1 | 1.044 | 1970 | LAD | 16 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 79 | 39 | 37 | 32 | 93 | 3.13 | 122 |
8 | Ray Narleski | 104.1 | 1 | 1.572 | 1959 | DET | 42 | 10 | 21 | 5 | 105 | 83 | 67 | 59 | 71 | 5.78 | 70 |
9 | Jose Bautista | 100.2 | 1 | 1.450 | 1995 | SFG | 52 | 6 | 19 | 0 | 120 | 77 | 72 | 26 | 45 | 6.44 | 63 |
10 | Bill Campbell | 100.0 | 1 | 1.290 | 1982 | CHC | 62 | 0 | 39 | 8 | 89 | 44 | 41 | 40 | 71 | 3.69 | 101 |
11 | Moe Drabowsky | 98.0 | 1 | 1.000 | 1969 | KCR | 52 | 0 | 37 | 11 | 68 | 33 | 32 | 30 | 76 | 2.94 | 125 |
12 | Russ Springer | 96.2 | 0 | 1.490 | 1996 | PHI | 51 | 7 | 12 | 0 | 106 | 60 | 50 | 38 | 94 | 4.66 | 92 |
13 | Orlando Hernandez | 94.2 | 1 | 1.394 | 2001 | NYY | 17 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 51 | 51 | 42 | 77 | 4.85 | 93 |
14 | David Weathers | 93.0 | 1 | 1.505 | 1999 | MIL | 63 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 102 | 49 | 48 | 38 | 74 | 4.65 | 98 |
15 | Al Holland | 91.2 | 0 | 1.015 | 1983 | PHI | 68 | 0 | 53 | 25 | 63 | 26 | 23 | 30 | 100 | 2.26 | 160 |
16 | Dave Beard | 91.2 | 1 | 1.309 | 1982 | OAK | 54 | 2 | 39 | 11 | 85 | 41 | 35 | 35 | 73 | 3.44 | 113 |
17 | Scott Sanders | 90.0 | 1 | 1.222 | 1995 | SDP | 17 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 79 | 46 | 43 | 31 | 88 | 4.30 | 95 |
18 | Craig Lefferts | 89.0 | 1 | 1.225 | 1983 | CHC | 56 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 80 | 35 | 31 | 29 | 60 | 3.13 | 121 |
19 | Pete Cimino | 88.1 | 1 | 1.177 | 1967 | CAL | 46 | 1 | 19 | 1 | 73 | 38 | 32 | 31 | 80 | 3.26 | 96 |
20 | Pete Schourek | 86.1 | 1 | 1.448 | 1991 | NYM | 35 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 82 | 49 | 41 | 43 | 67 | 4.27 | 86 |
This is quite a list huh? Aside from everything else, I love seeing Clete Boyer's less-well-known brother Cloyd on there, not to mention the other Jose Bautista.
There's a ton of variation on this list. Some guys had great seasons. Others did not. Some made it here because they just didn't allow all that many baserunners, cutting down on the number of GIDP opportunities. Nearly every pitcher on here has a good strikeout rate, and obviously strikeouts prevent GIDPs too.
The thing about Morrow is that he's an extreme fly-ball pitcher. Check out his ground ball to fly ball ratios:
Year | Tm | ||
---|---|---|---|
2007 | SEA | 0.50 | 0.77 |
2008 | SEA | 0.49 | 0.57 |
2009 | SEA | 0.57 | 0.70 |
2010 | TOR | 0.66 | 0.89 |
2011 | TOR | 0.57 | 0.66 |
5 Seasons | 0.57 | 0.72 | |
MLB Averages | 0.79 | 1.07 |
For his career, he's got nearly 2 fly balls allowed for every 1 ground ball, where as the league average is more like 1.3 fly balls per ground ball. I would presume the same is true for most of the guys on this list.
Thanks to reader Dave H. for emailing in about Morrow.
September 25th, 2011 at 11:03 am
Funny thing is that he should have had his second GDP in the very next inning. A bad relay throw from 1st basemen David Cooper only allowed them to get the out at second.
September 25th, 2011 at 11:09 am
Based on what Corey said, I might have thought that pitchers with poor-fielding middle infielders would also tend to have low GDP totals, since their guys aren't getting to balls to turn two, but that doesn't seem to be the case, at least for Morrow. His 2Bs have an Rtot of +6 and his SSs are +13.
September 25th, 2011 at 11:14 am
GIDP data for pitchers is only back to 1950.
September 25th, 2011 at 11:43 am
at least we know how morrow is getting his outs (via strikeout), how the hell did the rest of those guys do it? none of them have anywhere near his K rate except al holland
September 25th, 2011 at 11:46 am
Good point, Andy. I've often wondered why Morrow doesn't get better results, given his high K rate (10.1 K/9 career). His career ERA+ of 97 is the worst of the 34 pitchers with 500+ IP and at least 9.2 K/9.
The dearth of DPs is part of the puzzle.
September 25th, 2011 at 1:21 pm
I think the biggest piece to that puzzle is that he never met a batter he couldn't walk.
September 25th, 2011 at 4:36 pm
#6. Morrow is actually 12th on this in walks per inning.
September 25th, 2011 at 4:41 pm
Yeah, Morrow can get yip-ie. When he's dialed in, as he was during that 17K game last year or his last game with the M's, he'll only walk a couple while striking out a ton. But when he can't find his control, he'll walk the world. That was his undoing as a closer with Seattle (after he'd decided his diabetes wouldn't allow him to start), and it seems like it remains a problem for him in Toronto. If he can ever get consistent from start to start he'll put up a heck of a season, but as a flyball pitcher he's always going to be at a disadvantage at Coors North vs Safeco.
September 25th, 2011 at 5:16 pm
As Johnny mentioned GIDP for pitchers goes back to 1950, which means it is reliant on PBP.
Someone of the pitchersareis on the list because of missing PBP data.Cloyd Boyer had at least 1 more GIDP in this game: http://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/SLN/SLN195007210.shtml . I suspect there are others, but I didn't check carefully once he no longer qualified.
Jack Meyer had only 2 appearances without PBP. In one of them he only pitched .1 innings, so that is safe. The other a game in which Meyer pitched 1.2 innings. However, based on the batters faced for each pitcher, it appears that the GIDP from that game was not when Meyer was on the mound, so he still qualifies.
The other pitchers all have PBP in all of their appearances.
September 25th, 2011 at 5:39 pm
Too bad he couldn't have pitched against the Cardinals.
September 25th, 2011 at 5:40 pm
I'm so glad that as a USAmerican, I can get a green card.
September 25th, 2011 at 6:27 pm
The other curiosity about Morrow this year is that he has not surrendered a single HR in any of the 11 games for which he was credited with the win. This is more surprising still given his FB/GB ratio. On the flip side, he has surrendered 15 HR in his 11 losses and 5 in his 7 NDs.
I was trying to come up with a way to seach for such a streak in PI, but couldn't do it. I could search for streaks within a subset of pitching games defined by getting a decision (win or loss), but not within a subset defined by getting a winning decision.
September 25th, 2011 at 6:31 pm
Doug - You can do this search by using the advanced criteria in the player streak finder.
September 25th, 2011 at 7:58 pm
According to his splits, in 2011, Morrow does his best when bases are empty or when the only baserunner is on first.
September 25th, 2011 at 8:37 pm
@13.
Thanks for the tip, Ralphy.
In fact, Brandon's current 11-game streak of no homers is his wins as a starter is the longest of 2011. Chris Carpenter currently has an intact 10 game streak.
Historically, though, those streaks are peanuts. In the game-searchable era, 12 of the 17 longest streaks occurred over just 10 years, 1919 to 1928. Bill Doak (Cards and Brooklyn) leads the way with a 56-game streak (1919-24).
Longest streaks since expansion are #10 Rick Rhoden (32 games, 1977-82) and #14 Nolan Ryan (29 games, 1979-82). Longest streak this century is Tim Lincecum at 17 games in 2008-09.
September 25th, 2011 at 8:41 pm
@15.
To clarify on Chris Carpenter's current 10 game streak of no homers in his 2011 wins as a starter. This streak actually extends back to 2010, and now stands at 14 games since then.
September 25th, 2011 at 8:46 pm
Yes, Ralphy. Great tip, Ralphy.
September 25th, 2011 at 11:01 pm
Be nice, Andly.
September 25th, 2011 at 11:53 pm
i thought to myself, "Self? I wonder if Morrow tends to give up more base runners when there are 2 outs? Thus no chance of a double play?"
Zero/one out: 118 singles and walks/HBP. (153 total base runners)
Two outs: 80 total base runners.
Two thirds of his base runners come with 2 outs in the inning.
Is that normal or an anomaly?
September 26th, 2011 at 12:18 am
@19, Gonzo -- I'm not following those numbers.
September 26th, 2011 at 12:39 am
I described his stats strangely, didn't I? I see why you don't follow.
I was trying to say that he was at his worst with 2 outs, where there is no chance of a double play. 233 total base runners, 80 of them with 2 outs.
153 base runners with zero/one out. 110 of those were singles, walks or HBP (Which are double play opportunities).
Is it the norm around the league for pitchers to be at their worst with 2 outs?
September 26th, 2011 at 5:48 am
A ground double play is not a ground double play unless the umpire feels like to call it that way.
September 26th, 2011 at 2:34 pm
Maybe I'm just an overly sensitive Cardinals fan, but can't Clete and Cloyd Boyer both be described as less-well-known brothers of Ken?
It may be a lot closer than describing the 1962 Braves as Tommy and the other Aaron, but still...
September 26th, 2011 at 6:20 pm
Gonzo/21, you're still describing it strangely. I can't figure out what you're adding or how you're determining that two-thirds of his baserunners have come with two outs. That's not the case. But it is true that he has pitched far worse with two outs, and no, that's not normal.
David/23, I was thinking the same thing.
October 8th, 2011 at 4:48 am
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