Fantasy Tips (3/30/2011)
30th March 2011
What follows are two pieces of sample fantasy advice from Baseball HQ, just like readers would receive during the course of their BHQ subscription. Get a competitive advantage in your league by subscribing today!
Nick Richards: Esmil Rogers was named the Rockies' 5th starter, and you might think 'who cares?' given that he had a 6.13 ERA and 1.667 WHIP last year. But look deeper and you see part of the cause of those terrible numbers was a batting average on balls in play (BAbip) of .390 (!). That's such an outlier of a number, you can expect it to return to normal levels. Given that Rogers had a SO/9 of 8.3 (excellent) and a BB/9 of 3.3 (fine), Rogers has skill. Take away some of that bad luck from last year where hits that should have been outs became part of his damaging WHIP instead, and you might have a halfway serviceable 5th starter in 2011. It helps to look deeper than the surface stats to see where those surface stats came from.
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