Rafael Betancourt’s amazing K/BB ratio
Posted by Andy on September 22, 2010
(Firstly, sorry I haven't made my regular posts this week. Real life has gotten in the way. Secondly, thanks to reader spartanbill for this post idea.)
Check out the season Rafael Betancourt is having. Here are the highest K/9 rates registered by a pitcher allowing no more than 2 B/9 innings pitched (minimum 10 innings in the season):
Rk | Player | IP | Year | Age | Tm | Lg | G | GS | GF | W | L | SV | H | ER | BB | SO | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Matt Perisho | 14.81 | 1.74 | 10.1 | 1999 | 24 | TEX | AL | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 2.61 | 201 | 47 |
2 | Rafael Betancourt | 13.27 | 1.25 | 57.2 | 2010 | 35 | COL | NL | 67 | 0 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 51 | 25 | 8 | 85 | 3.90 | 121 | 68 |
3 | Pedro Martinez | 13.20 | 1.56 | 213.1 | 1999 | 27 | BOS | AL | 31 | 29 | 1 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 160 | 49 | 37 | 313 | 2.07 | 243 | 35 |
4 | Pat Neshek | 12.89 | 1.46 | 37.0 | 2006 | 25 | MIN | AL | 32 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 53 | 2.19 | 206 | 36 |
5 | Pedro Martinez | 12.57 | 1.93 | 116.2 | 2001 | 29 | BOS | AL | 18 | 18 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 84 | 31 | 25 | 163 | 2.39 | 190 | 39 |
6 | Eric Gagne | 12.46 | 1.75 | 82.1 | 2002 | 26 | LAD | NL | 77 | 0 | 68 | 4 | 1 | 52 | 55 | 18 | 16 | 114 | 1.97 | 193 | 49 |
7 | Josias Manzanillo | 12.05 | 1.93 | 18.2 | 1999 | 31 | NYM | NL | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 12 | 4 | 25 | 5.79 | 78 | 113 |
8 | J.J. Putz | 11.95 | 1.49 | 78.1 | 2006 | 29 | SEA | AL | 72 | 0 | 57 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 59 | 20 | 13 | 104 | 2.30 | 194 | 39 |
9 | Joe Thatcher | 11.91 | 1.59 | 34.0 | 2010 | 28 | SDP | NL | 59 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 45 | 1.32 | 283 | 27 |
10 | Jose Nunez | 11.81 | 1.69 | 10.2 | 1989 | 25 | TOR | AL | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 2.53 | 150 | 49 |
11 | Pedro Martinez | 11.78 | 1.33 | 217.0 | 2000 | 28 | BOS | AL | 29 | 29 | 0 | 18 | 6 | 0 | 128 | 42 | 32 | 284 | 1.74 | 291 | 18 |
12 | Santiago Guzman | 11.70 | 1.80 | 10.0 | 1971 | 21 | STL | NL | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 0.00 | 7 | |
13 | Bryan Harvey | 11.56 | 1.94 | 78.2 | 1991 | 28 | CAL | AL | 67 | 0 | 63 | 2 | 4 | 46 | 51 | 14 | 17 | 101 | 1.60 | 257 | 36 |
14 | Mike Gonzalez | 11.42 | 1.25 | 43.1 | 2004 | 26 | PIT | NL | 47 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 32 | 6 | 6 | 55 | 1.25 | 349 | 31 |
15 | Joaquin Benoit | 11.06 | 1.79 | 55.1 | 2010 | 32 | TBR | AL | 58 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 9 | 11 | 68 | 1.46 | 271 | 24 |
16 | Billy Wagner | 10.99 | 1.12 | 48.1 | 2004 | 32 | PHI | NL | 45 | 0 | 38 | 4 | 0 | 21 | 31 | 13 | 6 | 59 | 2.42 | 187 | 34 |
17 | Arthur Rhodes | 10.99 | 1.59 | 68.0 | 2001 | 31 | SEA | AL | 71 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 46 | 13 | 12 | 83 | 1.72 | 243 | 37 |
18 | Curt Schilling | 10.97 | 1.15 | 259.1 | 2002 | 35 | ARI | NL | 36 | 35 | 0 | 23 | 7 | 0 | 218 | 93 | 33 | 316 | 3.23 | 142 | 57 |
19 | Mike Adams | 10.95 | 1.95 | 37.0 | 2009 | 30 | SDP | NL | 37 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 45 | 0.73 | 512 | -9 |
20 | Takashi Saito | 10.91 | 1.82 | 64.1 | 2007 | 37 | LAD | NL | 63 | 0 | 55 | 2 | 1 | 39 | 33 | 10 | 13 | 78 | 1.40 | 319 | 19 |
A few things of note:
- This list is heavy on recent seasons thanks to the ever-increasing K rate across MLB.
- Joe Thatcher and Joaquin Benoit also make it from 2010.
- Josias Manzanillo makes it with what is an altogether pretty lousy season--how is that possible with such good K and BB rates? (Small sample size...)
- Pedro Martinez and Curt Schilling are the only starters to make to top 20.
September 22nd, 2010 at 6:19 am
Interesting Andy, although I'd love to see the list re-run with, say, a 50 IP minimum. 10 innings is too small a sample size and doesn't add much to the discussion.
September 22nd, 2010 at 6:24 am
I kept the IP limit so low mostly out of curiosity. You can see the leaders with at least 50 IP by picking them out from the list above.
September 22nd, 2010 at 6:44 am
So it's Gagne who pitches the most innings of any reliever on this list, at 82.1. Heck of a season there.
September 22nd, 2010 at 9:32 am
Cool. And yet ... by the standards of ERA (3.90) and ERA+ (121), Betancourt has been just so-so for a reliever. Out of 159 relievers with 40+ IP this year, his ERA+ ranks 71st; the median is 114.
That's mainly due to his 9 HRs allowed, which have scored 17 of the 25 runs against him. With anyone on base, he's allowed a .500 SLG I haven't done the research yet, but I suspect that BB/9 has an inverse correlation to HR/9.
Betancourt also hasn't gotten a single GIDP this year; he averaged 4 GIDP over the prior 3 years.
September 22nd, 2010 at 9:48 am
Just glanced at Gagne's page because of Dan's comment. I was amazed to see that Gagne had exactly 82.1 IP in each of three straight seasons! I wonder if any other pitcher has done that.
September 22nd, 2010 at 10:01 am
Since there was so much talk of Cliff Lee's dominance in this regard, I checked his number for the year, it's 10.88 ... is he just off this list at #21?
September 22nd, 2010 at 10:19 am
Scott V-
I thought the same thing. But Cliff Lee really started to suck in Texas. I mean, ONLY an 8.5 K/BB? What a waste.
September 22nd, 2010 at 11:28 am
@ 6
For some reason, this list has K/9 rather than K/BB
September 22nd, 2010 at 12:07 pm
Also, Andy, I hope all is well in the personal life.
September 22nd, 2010 at 12:08 pm
Good point, Rich. I think the title is a bit misleading. Lee is probably still tops in K/BB. This looks at guys with absurd K rates and low BB rates, which will generally lead to high K/BB rates but not necessarily the best.
September 22nd, 2010 at 1:58 pm
Jason has a good idea in players with similar seasons in their career. I remember Tony Perez having the same doubles, triples, hr,and rbi's two consecutive years (but he had a lot of similar seasons).
September 22nd, 2010 at 2:26 pm
this Pedro martinez guy sounds like a good pitcher....
September 22nd, 2010 at 2:40 pm
Jason has a good idea in players with similar seasons in their career.
Going by memory from the New Bill James Historical Baseball Abstract, take a look at John Gochnaur, 1902-03, and Bob Bailey, 1967-68.
September 22nd, 2010 at 8:48 pm
Already been said, Andy, but to be interesting the list has to have a higher cut-off in terms of innings pitched or batters faced.
What I would like to know about Rafael Betancourt from people closer to his situation than I, is how is he being used this year?
In looking at his 2010 stats, I conclude he is a "middle"(?) reliever, which is surprising considering his control and dominance of batters.
He is facing only about 3.7 batters per appearance and less than an inning per appearance, so he is not a long reliever.
I would assume he is a niche pitcher, a specialist who benefits from favorable righty-lefty matchups. Am I doing him a disservice here? Given his awesome K/9 IP, perhaps it is his age that prohibits him from being promoted to a more prominant role with the Rockies.
Or is it one of those statistical quirks that is invisible even as it is happening.....?
September 22nd, 2010 at 8:53 pm
I just don't agree Neil. By putting the IP low, the list includes both exceptional performances such as those by Gagne and Pedro as well as flukes of passing interest by others. All the info you could want, even if ignoring the low-IP performances, is there.
September 22nd, 2010 at 9:06 pm
@15
Fair enough, Andy. One can subjectively "filter" the names on the list to separate oddities from solid acheivements based on common knowlege.
I suppose it is difficult to distinguish starters from releivers in the search. The point being that a reliever like Rafael Betancourt might not maintain his favourable ratio if he had to go more than once through the order in a given game like a starter such as Pedro Martinez or Curt Schilling.
September 24th, 2010 at 7:20 am
I had forgotten just how good Curt Schillings' 2001 and 2002 seasons where. He pitched 259.1 innings at age 35 in Arizona with a sub 1.00WHIP in 2002. While striking out 316 batters that is crazy.
September 24th, 2010 at 8:18 am
K/BB should really include HBP, since it's effectively the same thing.
September 24th, 2010 at 8:24 am
Oh, pre-TJ surgery Pat Neshek, we miss you and your crazy snaggle-tooth so...
September 24th, 2010 at 11:36 am
Ok, I know this is about Rafael Betancourt, but the SO/9 ratio should be called the Pedro ratio... this guy was both amazing and brilliant in the mound.
September 28th, 2010 at 6:42 pm
@ Fcomerejo
Pedro? More like the Johnson ratio. 14 seasons of 10+ K/9, led the league 9 times, and 7 of the top 10 performances single-season therein.