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Highest Pitching WAR to End a Career

Posted by Raphy on May 25, 2010

In my previous thread a reader named Evan requested the list of best pitching seasons to finish a career. Here are the best WARs by pitchers in their final seasons 1901-2009. I guess the end to Joe Nathan's career  is still up in the air.

Rk Player WAR Year Age Tm Lg G GS CG SHO GF W L W-L% SV IP H R ER BB SO ERA ERA+ HR BF AB 2B 3B IBB HBP SH SF GDP SB CS PO BK WP BA OBP SLG OPS OPS+ Pit Str
1 Sandy Koufax 10.8 1966 30 LAD NL 41 41 27 5 0 27 9 .750 0 323.0 241 74 62 77 317 1.73 190 19 1274 1178 38 5 4 0 11 8 13 13 5 1 0 7 .205 .252 .294 .545 62
2 Eddie Cicotte 5.0 1920 36 CHW AL 37 35 28 4 2 21 10 .677 2 303.1 316 128 110 74 87 3.26 115 6 1225 9 2 0 3
3 Larry Jackson 4.8 1968 37 PHI NL 34 34 12 2 0 13 17 .433 0 243.2 229 86 75 60 127 2.77 109 9 997 924 26 10 15 4 7 2 23 8 9 0 0 2 .248 .296 .327 .623 94
4 Win Mercer 4.5 1902 28 DET AL 35 33 28 4 2 15 18 .455 1 281.2 282 129 95 80 40 3.04 124 5 1170 10 0 1
5 Mike Mussina 4.4 2008 39 NYY AL 34 34 0 0 0 20 9 .690 0 200.1 214 85 75 31 150 3.37 132 17 819 769 47 2 3 8 4 7 24 12 7 0 0 4 .278 .310 .411 .721 88 3135 2085
6 Dutch Ulrich 4.2 1927 27 PHI NL 32 18 14 1 10 8 11 .421 1 193.1 201 82 68 40 42 3.17 124 6 805 0 0 0
7 George Kaiserling 4.0 1915 22 NEW FL 41 29 16 5 9 15 15 .500 2 261.1 246 90 65 73 75 2.24 128 1 1039 9 0 4
8 Mike Sirotka 3.7 2000 29 CHW AL 32 32 1 0 0 15 10 .600 0 197.0 203 101 83 69 128 3.79 133 23 832 755 30 2 1 1 4 3 26 8 4 1 2 8 .269 .330 .405 .735 84 3165 1914
9 Britt Burns 3.7 1985 26 CHW AL 36 34 8 4 1 18 11 .621 0 227.0 206 105 100 79 172 3.96 109 26 944 852 36 5 1 2 6 5 20 17 8 1 0 2 .242 .306 .387 .693 85
10 Brian Holman 3.6 1991 26 SEA AL 30 30 5 3 0 13 14 .481 0 195.1 199 86 80 77 108 3.69 112 16 839 743 36 4 0 10 6 3 22 4 5 1 1 8 .268 .343 .392 .735 103
11 Phil Douglas 3.6 1922 32 NYG NL 24 21 9 1 2 11 4 .733 0 157.2 154 56 46 35 33 2.63 153 6 652 4 0 3
12 Monty Stratton 3.5 1938 26 CHW AL 26 22 17 0 3 15 9 .625 2 186.1 186 95 83 56 82 4.01 122 18 797 7 1 2
13 Jeff Zimmerman 3.4 2001 28 TEX AL 66 0 0 0 53 4 4 .500 28 71.1 48 19 19 16 72 2.40 197 10 273 250 8 0 1 4 2 1 3 4 6 0 0 0 .192 .251 .344 .595 53 1106 734
14 Don Wilson 3.3 1974 29 HOU NL 33 27 5 4 2 11 13 .458 0 204.2 170 80 70 100 112 3.08 113 16 875 749 37 3 2 4 14 8 8 18 11 0 1 4 .227 .318 .348 .667 94
15 Red Donahue 3.3 1906 33 DET AL 28 28 26 3 0 13 14 .481 0 241.0 260 96 73 54 82 2.73 102 1 996 8 0 0
16 Joe Nathan 3.2 2009 34 MIN AL 70 0 0 0 62 2 2 .500 47 68.2 42 16 16 22 89 2.10 210 7 271 246 8 2 1 2 1 0 2 5 0 0 0 4 .171 .244 .305 .549 44 1148 739
17 Roger Bailey 3.2 1997 26 COL NL 29 29 5 2 0 9 10 .474 0 191.0 210 103 91 70 84 4.29 121 27 835 741 41 7 2 13 7 4 27 16 5 6 0 4 .283 .354 .467 .821 102
18 Larry French 3.2 1942 34 BRO NL 38 14 8 4 10 15 4 .789 0 147.2 127 39 30 36 62 1.83 178 1 596 5 0 1
19 John Tudor 3.1 1990 36 STL NL 25 22 1 1 0 12 4 .750 0 146.1 120 48 39 30 63 2.40 159 10 575 534 25 1 4 2 8 1 7 8 9 4 0 0 .225 .268 .331 .600 69
20 Lefty Williams 3.1 1920 27 CHW AL 39 38 25 0 1 22 14 .611 0 299.0 302 145 130 90 128 3.91 96 15 1218 10 12 1 4
21 Curt Schilling 3.0 2007 40 BOS AL 24 24 1 1 0 9 8 .529 0 151.0 165 68 65 23 101 3.87 123 21 633 600 35 2 1 2 4 3 8 5 1 1 0 0 .275 .303 .445 .748 89 2272 1557
22 Steve Olin 3.0 1992 26 CLE AL 72 0 0 0 62 8 5 .615 29 88.1 80 25 23 27 47 2.34 169 8 360 321 8 1 6 4 5 2 15 2 4 0 1 1 .249 .314 .355 .669 87
23 Elmer Steele 3.0 1911 25 TOT NL 36 18 7 2 13 9 9 .500 2 189.0 177 75 56 36 61 2.67 129 5 730 4 2 1
24 Jack Cronin 3.0 1904 30 BRO NL 40 34 33 4 6 12 23 .343 0 307.0 284 132 92 79 110 2.70 101 10 1251 12 0 3
25 Bob Tewksbury 2.9 1998 37 MIN AL 26 25 1 0 0 7 13 .350 0 148.1 174 82 79 20 60 4.79 99 19 635 596 26 7 1 6 7 6 10 10 3 0 0 5 .292 .318 .455 .773 97
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 5/25/2010.

14 Responses to “Highest Pitching WAR to End a Career”

  1. Frank Clingenpeel Says:

    As with the other link, there was one Black Sox {Cicotte} on this list, as well as a tragedy {Don Wilson's suicide}. And there were several othe pitchers -- Herb Score and J.R. Richard immediately come to mind} whose record was marred by an unsuccessful attempt to return from a tragic occurance.

  2. Frank Clingenpeel Says:

    One other question; where would Addie Joss rate?

  3. Raphy Says:

    Due to an elbow injury Joss only played half of 1910. His 1.9 WAR ranks him 60th overall since 1910. (4 other players are listed at 1.9 before him. I don't know if the tie breaker is a hidden place value or just random.)

  4. Jacques Strappe Says:

    There's a second Black Sox on the list--Lefty Williams. Also a second tragedy--Steve Olin.

  5. Gerry Says:

    Number 4 on the list pitched more innings than Number 3, and with a better ERA+, yet ranks lower on WAR. In what way was Larry Jackson's 1968 better than Win Mercer's 1902?

  6. DavidRF Says:

    A lot of interesting stories here.

    Win Mercer committed suicide.

    Monty Stratton accidentally shot himself while hunting and had to have his leg amputated. He tried to make a comeback with a wooden leg. Made it to class C in the minors. Hollywood made a movie about the story and had Jimmy Stewart play him.

    Britt Burns had a degenerative hip condition.

    Phil Douglas got into a feud with McGraw his final season. He wrote a letter to a friend on the Cardinals that he planned to jump the team rather than try to win a pennant for McGraw. The letter found its way to Commissioner Landis who banned him for life.

  7. Len Says:

    Larry Jackson seems to have been one of the most underrated pitchers since WW2. He's kind of the victim of bad timing/luck. He was with Cardinals during the 50's when they were mediocre and left the team right before they became great during the mid-late 60's.

    He ranked 54th all time in career WAR, right about the same as Whitey Ford.

    He's another example of why W-L record are a lousy way to judge a pitcher's productivity.

  8. Johnny Twisto Says:

    Gerry, here's my best guess at answering that. About 10% of Jackson's runs allowed were unearned, compared to about 13% league average, so their RA+'s would be a bit closer than their ERA+'s (Mercer gave up about an average # of UER). Jackson apparently pitched in front of a terrible defense, while Mercer's was about average. And finally, the '68 NL was the superior league. I think the AL overtook the NL after a few years, but in '02 it was probably still even with the NL at best.

  9. DavidRF Says:

    @8
    I too am struggling with some of the WAR implementation details. Mainly minor quibbles but this is the forum for that type of thing.

    I'm wondering if higher-strikeout pitchers get a bonus for being more defense-independent.

  10. Johnny Twisto Says:

    Another thing for Jackson is that his average LI that year was 1.1, making his performance slightly more valuable. (We don't know what Mercer's LI is, and it looks like he's just assigned a 1.0.) I don't know that I agree with giving starting pitchers a boost for that, but there's no right answer I suppose.

  11. Jay Says:

    Mercer led Jackson in RAR 46 to 37 but the runs-to-wins conversion (3.4 R/G environment for Jackson, 4.9 for Mercer) gave him the edge in WAR.

    DavidRF, the proper adjustments do seem to have been made, however slight they may be in most cases. In a somewhat extreme example, Randy Johnson and Brian Anderson both had a 6 run defensive adjustment pitching for the 2001 Diamondbacks despite Johnson having thrown nearly twice as many innings. Johnson with his sick 13.9 K/9 took far less advantage of Arizona's +50 defense than did Anderson and his 3.7 and was credited accordingly.

  12. Jay Says:

    Er, gave Jackson the edge in WAR.

  13. Gerry Says:

    Thanks for all the answers to my question. I will try to take them on board.

  14. The WAR brings you back | The Mike Mussina Hall of Fame Page Says:

    [...] also has also the 5th highest pitching WAR in a pitcher’s final season the best since [...]