John Lackey in Fenway Park
Posted by Andy on December 14, 2009
Reports suggest that John Lackey is about to sign a contract with the Boston Red Sox.
Much has been made in recent years of Lackey pitching in Fenway Park, where he has by far the worst numbers of his career. Check out his splits by ballpark. These are offensive stats against Lackey:
I | Split | G | PA | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | TB | tOPS+ | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Angel Stadium of Anaheim | 112 | 3101 | 2819 | 325 | 729 | 140 | 10 | 72 | 223 | 592 | 2.65 | .259 | .319 | .392 | .711 | 1105 | .303 | 98 | |
Rangers Ballpark in Arlington | 16 | 394 | 353 | 61 | 105 | 21 | 0 | 13 | 33 | 82 | 2.48 | .297 | .365 | .467 | .832 | 165 | .355 | 131 | |
Turner Field | 1 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6.00 | .304 | .360 | .478 | .838 | 11 | .375 | 132 | |
Oriole Park at Camden Yards | 7 | 199 | 187 | 20 | 50 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 39 | 3.90 | .267 | .307 | .396 | .702 | 74 | .317 | 95 | |
Fenway Park | 9 | 240 | 220 | 41 | 69 | 19 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 2.18 | .314 | .371 | .527 | .898 | 116 | .349 | 148 | |
Comiskey Park II | 8 | 221 | 202 | 30 | 57 | 8 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 29 | 2.07 | .282 | .330 | .505 | .835 | 102 | .279 | 129 | |
Great American Ballpark | 1 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4.00 | .143 | .250 | .286 | .536 | 6 | .125 | 50 | |
Jacobs Field | 6 | 163 | 136 | 17 | 29 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 27 | 1.42 | .213 | .323 | .316 | .639 | 43 | .248 | 80 | |
Comerica Park | 4 | 108 | 93 | 10 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 18 | 1.29 | .226 | .333 | .366 | .699 | 34 | .260 | 96 | |
Kauffman Stadium | 3 | 87 | 83 | 6 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 7.50 | .301 | .318 | .410 | .727 | 34 | .358 | 102 | |
Dodger Stadium | 5 | 109 | 97 | 8 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 4.67 | .216 | .290 | .289 | .578 | 28 | .294 | 63 | |
Hubert H. Humphrey Metrodome | 6 | 164 | 151 | 23 | 40 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 33 | 4.13 | .265 | .313 | .424 | .737 | 64 | .307 | 104 | |
Yankee Stadium | 8 | 231 | 207 | 23 | 60 | 16 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 40 | 2.50 | .290 | .354 | .454 | .808 | 94 | .333 | 124 | |
Shea Stadium | 1 | 27 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 1.00 | .300 | .444 | .400 | .844 | 8 | .400 | 139 | |
Network Associates Coliseum | 15 | 400 | 364 | 32 | 81 | 20 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 71 | 2.54 | .223 | .284 | .319 | .603 | 116 | .262 | 68 | |
Chase Field | 1 | 28 | 25 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3.00 | .200 | .286 | .200 | .486 | 5 | .313 | 39 | |
PNC Park | 1 | 25 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | .333 | .333 | .458 | .792 | 11 | .368 | 118 | ||
Safeco Field | 14 | 378 | 348 | 39 | 97 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 71 | 3.94 | .279 | .316 | .376 | .692 | 131 | .327 | 93 | |
AT&T Park | 2 | 60 | 57 | 6 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 6.00 | .263 | .300 | .404 | .704 | 23 | .318 | 95 | |
Estadio Hiram Bithorn | 1 | 26 | 25 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5.00 | .280 | .308 | .400 | .708 | 10 | .316 | 96 | |
Tropicana Field | 4 | 114 | 106 | 22 | 32 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 3.43 | .302 | .342 | .472 | .814 | 50 | .354 | 125 | |
SkyDome | 8 | 213 | 196 | 19 | 46 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 43 | 4.30 | .235 | .280 | .352 | .632 | 69 | .278 | 75 | |
Nationals Park | 1 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3.00 | .207 | .258 | .379 | .637 | 11 | .227 | 75 |
Of particular interest is the final column, tOPS+, which basically shows the share of the total offense against Lackey. It shows that, for example, he has pitched very well in Dodger Stadium, Network Associates Coliseum, and SkyDome (isn't that called the Rogers Centre now?) His worst mark is at Fenway Park.
Now, of course, there is one big factor here that we cannot forget. For much of Lackey's career, the Red Sox have been a very good team. More pitchers than not from the last several years have worse numbers against the Red Sox than against most other teams.
The Angels and Red Sox have played each other a few times in the playoffs recently and there was much speculation that the Angels tried to set up their rotation to avoid having to pitch Lackey in Fenway for fear that he would do poorly. How much does that have to do with the ballpark vs. the Red Sox offense? Will it be different for Lackey when he himself wears red socks?
December 14th, 2009 at 5:02 pm
I was searching through the last decade of Red Sox starting pitchers to see if there were any parallels and the only conclusion I came to was that the vast majority of Red Sox SPs in the aughts were either home grown or acquired from NL teams. The best I could come up with is that David Cone has a career tOPS in Fenway of 118 and a tOPS of 98 in his one season with the Sox. So not much usefulness there.
December 15th, 2009 at 3:32 am
For what it's worth, in 2008 and 2009, his OBA is less than .200 at Fenway (10 for 57) so maybe he has learned to pitch there, or, maybe it's just the small sample size.
December 15th, 2009 at 3:32 am
(And by OBA, I meant "opponents' batting average", sorry for the unclear abbreviation).