Homers in wins and losses
Posted by Andy on November 18, 2009
Let's take a look at post-1954 HR leaders in their team's wins and losses. For starters, here's a little lesson about new capabilities of the PI.
For a long time, we could search for career games in which players hit at least one home run. Here are the top 20:
Rk | Player | #Matching | |
---|---|---|---|
1 | Hank Aaron | 461 | Ind. Games |
2 | Barry Bonds | 437 | Ind. Games |
3 | Willie Mays | 396 | Ind. Games |
4 | Reggie Jackson | 363 | Ind. Games |
5 | Manny Ramirez | 362 | Ind. Games |
6 | Ken Griffey | 358 | Ind. Games |
7 | Frank Robinson | 350 | Ind. Games |
8 | Jim Thome | 347 | Ind. Games |
9 | Mike Schmidt | 340 | Ind. Games |
10 | Harmon Killebrew | 336 | Ind. Games |
11 | Alex Rodriguez | 332 | Ind. Games |
12 | Mark McGwire | 327 | Ind. Games |
13 | Rafael Palmeiro | 320 | Ind. Games |
14 | Eddie Murray | 318 | Ind. Games |
15 | Sammy Sosa | 317 | Ind. Games |
16 | Gary Sheffield | 313 | Ind. Games |
17 | Willie Stargell | 312 | Ind. Games |
18 | Willie McCovey | 307 | Ind. Games |
19 | Frank Thomas | 300 | Ind. Games |
20 | Mickey Mantle | 296 | Ind. Games |
But this doesn't tell the entire story since it doesn't take into account multi-homer games. With the new Batting Game Finder, the total stats in such games are also provided and can then be sorted. Re-running the list above and then sorting for total homers gives a new top 20:
Rk | Player | #Matching | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR ▾ | RBI | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Hank Aaron | 461 | Ind. Games | 2090 | 1837 | 855 | 72 | 7 | 512 | 1005 |
2 | Barry Bonds | 437 | Ind. Games | 1975 | 1560 | 780 | 74 | 12 | 493 | 917 |
3 | Willie Mays | 396 | Ind. Games | 1784 | 1582 | 772 | 66 | 11 | 447 | 827 |
4 | Manny Ramirez | 362 | Ind. Games | 1626 | 1390 | 688 | 89 | 5 | 405 | 870 |
5 | Ken Griffey | 358 | Ind. Games | 1643 | 1431 | 657 | 72 | 1 | 402 | 805 |
6 | Frank Robinson | 350 | Ind. Games | 1576 | 1347 | 673 | 61 | 12 | 396 | 792 |
7 | Reggie Jackson | 363 | Ind. Games | 1593 | 1398 | 660 | 64 | 6 | 396 | 792 |
8 | Jim Thome | 347 | Ind. Games | 1552 | 1294 | 614 | 72 | 4 | 382 | 727 |
9 | Mark McGwire | 327 | Ind. Games | 1455 | 1190 | 543 | 41 | 2 | 381 | 730 |
10 | Mike Schmidt | 340 | Ind. Games | 1524 | 1284 | 585 | 58 | 9 | 381 | 737 |
11 | Harmon Killebrew | 336 | Ind. Games | 1470 | 1223 | 563 | 30 | 0 | 375 | 743 |
12 | Alex Rodriguez | 332 | Ind. Games | 1576 | 1376 | 660 | 52 | 5 | 373 | 762 |
13 | Sammy Sosa | 317 | Ind. Games | 1447 | 1289 | 612 | 63 | 7 | 365 | 745 |
14 | Rafael Palmeiro | 320 | Ind. Games | 1468 | 1263 | 586 | 56 | 6 | 349 | 685 |
15 | Willie McCovey | 307 | Ind. Games | 1273 | 1092 | 521 | 32 | 4 | 346 | 696 |
16 | Eddie Murray | 318 | Ind. Games | 1427 | 1265 | 588 | 46 | 1 | 344 | 712 |
17 | Gary Sheffield | 313 | Ind. Games | 1422 | 1196 | 596 | 59 | 4 | 343 | 705 |
18 | Willie Stargell | 312 | Ind. Games | 1366 | 1192 | 579 | 59 | 11 | 342 | 694 |
19 | Mickey Mantle | 296 | Ind. Games | 1321 | 1092 | 546 | 35 | 7 | 334 | 612 |
20 | Fred McGriff | 290 | Ind. Games | 1284 | 1122 | 546 | 47 | 6 | 325 | 611 |
Reggie Jackson drops from 4th down to 7th. If I had to guess why, I'd say it's because he played longer than most and added on more games with single homers.
Now here are the most total homers in team losses:
Rk | Player | #Matching | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR ▾ | RBI | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Barry Bonds | 250 | Ind. Games | 1087 | 892 | 411 | 38 | 5 | 269 | 427 |
2 | Sammy Sosa | 217 | Ind. Games | 946 | 853 | 370 | 21 | 3 | 244 | 394 |
3 | Hank Aaron | 230 | Ind. Games | 1012 | 930 | 400 | 30 | 5 | 242 | 416 |
4 | Ken Griffey | 215 | Ind. Games | 951 | 832 | 351 | 29 | 3 | 228 | 379 |
5 | Rafael Palmeiro | 215 | Ind. Games | 921 | 829 | 350 | 24 | 3 | 220 | 357 |
6 | Alex Rodriguez | 194 | Ind. Games | 886 | 769 | 346 | 31 | 2 | 210 | 347 |
7 | Mark McGwire | 184 | Ind. Games | 800 | 684 | 287 | 18 | 0 | 202 | 319 |
8 | Ernie Banks | 185 | Ind. Games | 804 | 757 | 320 | 21 | 6 | 202 | 345 |
9 | Frank Thomas | 186 | Ind. Games | 818 | 711 | 302 | 27 | 1 | 198 | 297 |
10 | Harmon Killebrew | 187 | Ind. Games | 792 | 692 | 276 | 11 | 1 | 194 | 312 |
11 | Frank Robinson | 181 | Ind. Games | 790 | 707 | 296 | 20 | 4 | 190 | 286 |
12 | Willie Mays | 175 | Ind. Games | 775 | 689 | 302 | 13 | 4 | 189 | 293 |
13 | Jim Thome | 171 | Ind. Games | 721 | 617 | 262 | 25 | 0 | 182 | 290 |
14 | Dave Kingman | 160 | Ind. Games | 673 | 634 | 253 | 20 | 5 | 175 | 277 |
15 | Willie McCovey | 167 | Ind. Games | 714 | 617 | 257 | 16 | 0 | 175 | 270 |
16 | Fred McGriff | 163 | Ind. Games | 689 | 612 | 248 | 17 | 0 | 168 | 283 |
17 | Reggie Jackson | 156 | Ind. Games | 668 | 599 | 226 | 22 | 1 | 167 | 257 |
18 | Mike Schmidt | 160 | Ind. Games | 683 | 602 | 254 | 22 | 3 | 167 | 283 |
19 | Gary Sheffield | 158 | Ind. Games | 703 | 606 | 261 | 18 | 0 | 166 | 280 |
20 | Dave Winfield | 158 | Ind. Games | 694 | 634 | 282 | 17 | 1 | 166 | 280 |
Hmm, wow, this is interesting. Firstly, Bonds and Sosa pass Aaron for more total homers in losses. I think that can be attributed to 2 general factors: 1) I'm guessing that Aaron's teams had a better overall W-L% than Bonds' or Sosa's teams. Obviously, all other things being equal, playing on better teams makes it harder to hit home runs in losses. 2) In Aaron's day, one guy hitting a home run gave his team a much better chance of winning. With so much more offense these days, a single home run does less to win games for your team and means that guys like Bonds and Sosa tend to have their homers spread more evenly across wins and losses.
A bunch of new names pop up on this top 20 list for homers in losses: Banks, Thomas, Kingman, and Winfield. I suspect that these guys turn up here but not on the top 20 list for team wins because of the same 2 factors I mentioned above.
November 18th, 2009 at 9:58 am
"Reggie Jackson drops from 4th down to 7th. If I had to guess why, I'd say it's because he played longer than most and added on more games with single homers."
He actually only drops from 4th to T6th. Also, Robinson played longer and Griffey almost as long. They were pretty bunched up already, though, so it could just be a random quirk. Still a bit ironic that the guy with one of the most famous multi-homer games in history loses ground here. 🙂
November 18th, 2009 at 10:04 am
Yeah, it's tough to draw conclusions here. When we look at baseball stats, sometimes we forget just how much strength of team and strength of opponent plays into things.
November 18th, 2009 at 12:31 pm
Shouldn't you also look at the difference of the (number of games with at least one hr) and the (total number of HRs). That way you get the ceiling of the number of multiple HR games. (ceiling because of games with >2 HRs). That leave Barry Bonds as the leader (56 diff) with McGwire close behind.
Also, if you're correlating with lost games, you have to consider what were the total number of runs scored EXCLUSIVELY due to the HR(s). So one possible explanation for Barry leading that list is that his team didn't provide him with as many base runners as the others
November 18th, 2009 at 12:55 pm
These are good points, Iiicollies. For me, it's tough to do any kind of detailed analysis into these numbers because they are so dependent on other factors not measured here. That's why I didn't write too much about what the numbers really mean.
November 18th, 2009 at 7:17 pm
You guys need records in these lists.
Like Jeter has 100 games "doing this" and in those 100 games his team is 75-25