500+ IP Before Age 23 & An ERA+ >=110
Posted by Steve Lombardi on October 10, 2011
Since 1901, how many pitchers have logged at least 500 innings before their age 23 season while maintaining an ERA+ of 110 or better?
Here is the list -
Rk | Player | IP | From | To | Age | G | GS | CG | SHO | GF | W | L | SV | H | R | ER | BB | SO | HR | BF | IBB | HBP | BK | WP | Tm | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Smoky Joe Wood | 156 | 999.2 | 1908 | 1912 | 18-22 | 152 | 109 | 88 | 23 | 35 | 81 | 43 | .653 | 4 | 783 | 361 | 217 | 273 | 733 | 1.95 | 8 | 3934 | 40 | 0 | 27 | BOS | |
2 | Dwight Gooden | 146 | 924.1 | 1984 | 1987 | 19-22 | 124 | 124 | 42 | 16 | 0 | 73 | 26 | .737 | 0 | 718 | 283 | 253 | 275 | 892 | 2.46 | 48 | 3694 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 14 | NYM |
3 | Christy Mathewson | 140 | 987.0 | 1901 | 1903 | 20-22 | 120 | 113 | 103 | 16 | 7 | 64 | 47 | .577 | 2 | 855 | 385 | 249 | 274 | 652 | 2.27 | 10 | 4005 | 33 | 3 | 58 | NYG | |
4 | Walter Johnson | 140 | 1033.0 | 1907 | 1910 | 19-22 | 135 | 120 | 99 | 20 | 14 | 57 | 65 | .467 | 3 | 803 | 314 | 199 | 233 | 708 | 1.73 | 3 | 4003 | 41 | 1 | 50 | WSH | |
5 | Bob Feller | 137 | 1448.1 | 1936 | 1941 | 17-22 | 205 | 175 | 117 | 16 | 24 | 107 | 54 | .665 | 10 | 1149 | 569 | 512 | 815 | 1233 | 3.18 | 59 | 6191 | 26 | 7 | 46 | CLE | |
6 | Wes Ferrell | 134 | 556.1 | 1927 | 1930 | 19-22 | 89 | 62 | 44 | 2 | 21 | 46 | 25 | .648 | 8 | 573 | 261 | 213 | 222 | 247 | 3.45 | 21 | 2410 | 3 | 4 | 7 | CLE | |
7 | Bert Blyleven | 132 | 1054.2 | 1970 | 1973 | 19-22 | 144 | 141 | 58 | 18 | 2 | 63 | 58 | .521 | 0 | 953 | 363 | 323 | 242 | 845 | 2.76 | 76 | 4280 | 18 | 26 | 7 | 21 | MIN |
8 | Vida Blue | 131 | 543.2 | 1969 | 1972 | 19-22 | 82 | 72 | 31 | 14 | 1 | 33 | 19 | .635 | 1 | 395 | 174 | 150 | 166 | 471 | 2.48 | 43 | 2151 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 | OAK |
9 | Babe Ruth | 131 | 890.2 | 1914 | 1917 | 19-22 | 121 | 109 | 75 | 16 | 9 | 67 | 34 | .663 | 3 | 661 | 268 | 205 | 318 | 413 | 2.07 | 6 | 3519 | 25 | 2 | 17 | BOS | |
10 | Dave Rozema | 130 | 525.0 | 1977 | 1979 | 20-22 | 72 | 72 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 28 | 23 | .549 | 0 | 528 | 222 | 186 | 105 | 182 | 3.19 | 54 | 2162 | 7 | 15 | 2 | 7 | DET |
11 | Gary Nolan | 130 | 736.0 | 1967 | 1970 | 19-22 | 109 | 106 | 18 | 10 | 1 | 49 | 27 | .645 | 0 | 626 | 268 | 239 | 247 | 581 | 2.92 | 64 | 3039 | 20 | 9 | 6 | 17 | CIN |
12 | Frank Tanana | 125 | 840.2 | 1973 | 1976 | 19-22 | 111 | 106 | 53 | 12 | 3 | 51 | 40 | .560 | 0 | 705 | 283 | 255 | 231 | 732 | 2.73 | 74 | 3406 | 15 | 24 | 3 | 19 | CAL |
13 | Don Drysdale | 125 | 802.1 | 1956 | 1959 | 19-22 | 147 | 106 | 32 | 9 | 24 | 51 | 40 | .560 | 2 | 743 | 331 | 297 | 257 | 576 | 3.33 | 73 | 3379 | 21 | 42 | 5 | 18 | BRO-LAD |
14 | Paul Dean | 122 | 503.0 | 1934 | 1935 | 21-22 | 85 | 59 | 35 | 7 | 15 | 38 | 23 | .623 | 7 | 486 | 205 | 190 | 107 | 293 | 3.40 | 35 | 2099 | 14 | 1 | 3 | STL | |
15 | Bret Saberhagen | 122 | 549.0 | 1984 | 1986 | 20-22 | 100 | 75 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 37 | 29 | .561 | 1 | 514 | 227 | 208 | 103 | 343 | 3.41 | 47 | 2217 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 9 | KCR |
16 | Al Mamaux | 120 | 627.2 | 1913 | 1916 | 19-22 | 97 | 73 | 47 | 11 | 20 | 47 | 25 | .653 | 2 | 489 | 213 | 157 | 258 | 347 | 2.25 | 7 | 2556 | 20 | 6 | 7 | PIT | |
17 | George Kaiserling | 118 | 536.2 | 1914 | 1915 | 21-22 | 78 | 62 | 36 | 6 | 12 | 32 | 25 | .561 | 2 | 534 | 209 | 160 | 145 | 150 | 2.68 | 9 | 2180 | 26 | 0 | 8 | IND-NEW | |
18 | Pete Donohue | 118 | 634.2 | 1921 | 1923 | 20-22 | 96 | 77 | 44 | 4 | 15 | 46 | 30 | .605 | 5 | 678 | 296 | 231 | 137 | 194 | 3.28 | 15 | 2691 | 15 | 1 | 4 | CIN | |
19 | Storm Davis | 118 | 526.0 | 1982 | 1984 | 20-22 | 98 | 68 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 35 | 20 | .636 | 1 | 481 | 216 | 197 | 163 | 297 | 3.37 | 29 | 2166 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 15 | BAL |
20 | Ralph Branca | 117 | 717.1 | 1944 | 1948 | 18-22 | 140 | 90 | 35 | 7 | 27 | 43 | 30 | .589 | 7 | 621 | 307 | 268 | 330 | 397 | 3.36 | 56 | 3050 | 15 | 2 | 27 | BRO | |
21 | Fernando Valenzuela | 117 | 752.0 | 1980 | 1983 | 19-22 | 107 | 97 | 38 | 16 | 4 | 49 | 30 | .620 | 1 | 640 | 284 | 251 | 248 | 584 | 3.00 | 40 | 3074 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 20 | LAD |
22 | Dennis Eckersley | 116 | 633.1 | 1975 | 1977 | 20-22 | 103 | 87 | 27 | 8 | 8 | 40 | 32 | .556 | 3 | 516 | 243 | 227 | 222 | 543 | 3.23 | 60 | 2621 | 21 | 19 | 3 | 13 | CLE |
23 | Harry Krause | 115 | 515.1 | 1908 | 1911 | 19-22 | 79 | 53 | 39 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 23 | .610 | 2 | 425 | 171 | 132 | 142 | 294 | 2.31 | 8 | 2002 | 33 | 1 | 6 | PHA | |
24 | Nick Maddox | 115 | 518.0 | 1907 | 1909 | 20-22 | 73 | 65 | 45 | 9 | 5 | 41 | 17 | .707 | 1 | 414 | 169 | 121 | 142 | 164 | 2.10 | 7 | 2038 | 30 | 1 | 7 | PIT | |
25 | Sam McDowell | 114 | 605.1 | 1961 | 1965 | 18-22 | 113 | 85 | 23 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 29 | .540 | 6 | 473 | 241 | 212 | 351 | 640 | 3.15 | 32 | 2605 | 14 | 13 | 2 | 40 | CLE |
26 | Felix Hernandez | 114 | 666.1 | 2005 | 2008 | 19-22 | 104 | 104 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 39 | 36 | .520 | 0 | 663 | 304 | 281 | 216 | 593 | 3.80 | 65 | 2809 | 13 | 19 | 2 | 29 | SEA |
27 | George Mullin | 113 | 580.2 | 1902 | 1903 | 21-22 | 76 | 66 | 56 | 6 | 9 | 32 | 31 | .508 | 2 | 566 | 283 | 186 | 201 | 248 | 2.88 | 8 | 2433 | 15 | 0 | 19 | DET | |
28 | Waite Hoyt | 113 | 775.0 | 1918 | 1922 | 18-22 | 116 | 85 | 50 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 37 | .565 | 4 | 794 | 349 | 295 | 226 | 272 | 3.43 | 19 | 3225 | 15 | 1 | 12 | NYG-BOS-NYY | |
29 | Milt Pappas | 112 | 737.0 | 1957 | 1961 | 18-22 | 124 | 98 | 40 | 11 | 18 | 53 | 39 | .576 | 4 | 634 | 298 | 275 | 287 | 410 | 3.36 | 47 | 3065 | 12 | 19 | 2 | 37 | BAL |
30 | Hal Newhouser | 112 | 690.2 | 1939 | 1943 | 18-22 | 137 | 96 | 34 | 3 | 31 | 34 | 52 | .395 | 6 | 618 | 354 | 283 | 442 | 446 | 3.69 | 25 | 3084 | 5 | 2 | 14 | DET | |
31 | Larry Dierker | 111 | 980.2 | 1964 | 1969 | 17-22 | 144 | 132 | 43 | 7 | 4 | 55 | 50 | .524 | 0 | 856 | 382 | 327 | 271 | 683 | 3.00 | 70 | 4021 | 22 | 14 | 2 | 50 | HOU |
32 | Art Houtteman | 110 | 786.2 | 1945 | 1950 | 17-22 | 155 | 89 | 45 | 8 | 47 | 43 | 43 | .500 | 14 | 818 | 390 | 342 | 257 | 316 | 3.91 | 67 | 3365 | 17 | 1 | 7 | DET | |
33 | Jim Shaw | 110 | 509.1 | 1913 | 1916 | 19-22 | 101 | 59 | 27 | 8 | 32 | 24 | 37 | .393 | 6 | 394 | 189 | 148 | 270 | 300 | 2.62 | 6 | 2077 | 13 | 3 | 21 | WSH |
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Raise your hand if you knew Dave Rozema was going to be in the "Top Ten" here...
October 10th, 2011 at 12:13 pm
Feller
Gooden
Blyleven
Top 3 in WAR with Feller ahead by a significant margin due to huge IP total
October 10th, 2011 at 12:16 pm
With a good 2012, Madison Bumgarner should join this list. 325 IP, was over 200 IP last year, ERA+ of 120.
October 10th, 2011 at 12:54 pm
My question is: how many of these pitchers burned out early because of it?
October 10th, 2011 at 1:43 pm
@3
Smoky Joe Wood's pitching career came to an early end but not because of burn-out. He broke his thumb in 1913 and it never healed properly. This affected his pitching and by 1917 he gave up pitching. He did make a come-back as a position player and had a few decent years. No less than Walter Johnson admitted that Wood could throw harder than he (Johnson) could.
October 10th, 2011 at 1:49 pm
@3
Paul Dean won 38 games in his first two seasons. He then hurt his arm and won just 12 games for the rest of his career.
October 10th, 2011 at 2:58 pm
Gary Nolan was out of baseball by 30, and had missed almost 2 full years due to arm trouble before that (1973-1974).
October 10th, 2011 at 3:20 pm
When I saw the title, the first names to come to mind were Doc Gooden (not surprised to see him near the top) and Felix Hernandez (a bit surprised he's so low--I thought his career ERA+ would be a bit better than it is).
October 10th, 2011 at 3:49 pm
If memory serves, Tanana & Nolan's arm troubles at the time were attributed more to their respective pitching motions & deliveries than to overwork.
October 10th, 2011 at 4:07 pm
Unless I missed someone I count 8 HOF'amers on this list.
Mathewson, Johnson, Feller, Blyleven, Drysdale, Eckersly, Hoyt, plus Ruth.
This list seems to have a lot of burn outs on it. I would love to see their cumulative post age 30 W-L record.
October 10th, 2011 at 4:10 pm
Of interest: 1.) Johnson with an ERA+ of 140, but a W-L record of 57-65 due to the Senators' woeful offense. 2.) Most shutouts on the list: Smoky Joe with 23 and Johnson with 20 (both pitching in the "dead ball" era, of course), and then Blyleven third with 18!!! 3.) As for Johnson's comment about how hard Smoky Joe threw, he most definitely would have had in mind that famous game in 1914 (Fenway's Park's first year, I believe), when Johnson came into the game with a then A.L.-record 15-game winning streak, and lost a pitcher's duel to Wood. If memory serves, I think a record crowd was on hand at Fenway to witness the epic battle.
October 10th, 2011 at 4:12 pm
Correction: 1914 was Fenway's third year.
October 10th, 2011 at 4:23 pm
Kershaw missed this list by just a few innings. He had 483 IP with an ERA+ of 126 prior to his age 23 season (which was this past season; he turned 23 on March 19th).
October 10th, 2011 at 4:25 pm
@10
That game took place on 9/6/1912. Attendance was 29000+.
October 10th, 2011 at 4:50 pm
I love seeing Babe Ruth on this list. That's why any argument about the greatest player of all-time is ultimately about second-place.
@7 - King Felix's career ERA+ is better than that. Don't forget that the stats shown are only through age 22. His best seasons have been at ages 23 and 24.
October 10th, 2011 at 5:29 pm
yes 8 HOFers and at their peaks, some DAMNED good pitchers ,Blue, Valenzuela, Saberhagem Gooden, Wood
A couple of the HOFers are ifffy (Drysale and Hoyt) and Wes Ferrell, never got much consideration....
but maybe for severall years the best pitcher in the AL behind Grove. Ferrell won 20 or more SIX times in 15 years and was maybe the best hiittng pitcher in baseball history...(with the obvious exclusion of Ruth).
October 10th, 2011 at 5:41 pm
@9 You missed Newhouser. He's also in the HOF. So that makes 9 HOFers. Though Eckersley wouldn't have made it without switching to the bullpen.
October 10th, 2011 at 6:02 pm
StephenH @ 9
"This list seems to have a lot of burn outs on it."
Jeff @ 3
"how many of these pitchers burned out early because of it?"
I don't believe the number is as high as it may appear.
Gooden,Blue,McDowell and Eckersley all had their careers altered by substance abuse issues, Wood & Dean's careers injuries were attributable to changes in their motion caused by injuries not related to overwork, Rozema was injured in an on field fight, Tanana & Nolan's injuries may be more attributable to their pitching motion, Valenzuela may be attributable to a faulty birth certificate...
I can't speak to the pre 1920 players but just about everyone post 1920 who's career appeared shortened has issues other than overwork that might have led to their early demise. It's also important to remember that before about 1970 & salaries going way up even among Hall of Famers most players didn't play past 35 years old and among non-HOFer's even earlier than that.
October 10th, 2011 at 7:38 pm
The CG numbers are crazy. On one end of the scale, Christy Mathewson completed 103 of his first 113 starts. Even Tanana had 50% CGs (53 of 106 GS). Then there's King Felix: 104 starts, five complete games. He's up to 18 now, which is 14th among all active pitchers.
By the play index, since integration pitchers have matched or surpassed 18 CG in a single year, 263 different times. The times, they are a-becomin' quite different.
October 10th, 2011 at 7:42 pm
"Valenzuela may be attributable to a faulty birth certificate..."
That's not as common as you think it is here in Mexico.
October 10th, 2011 at 10:30 pm
What made for so many who started between 1956 and 1984?
October 10th, 2011 at 11:26 pm
@20, Dvd Avins -- I think what you're really noticing is an absence of any such pitchers whose careers began in the 20-year span from 1985 to 2004.
The rest of the distribution across decades looks pretty normal once you account for scoring averages, wartime and expansion.
October 11th, 2011 at 1:30 am
Given the shorter drought from 1945 until 1956, I think there may be more to it than that. I think there's a steady decrease to be expected, as typical IP per year went down, but there's this anomalous period centered around 1970 that had an unusual number of pitchers who were consistently valuable year after year. This stat is just one more in which that anomaly shows up.
It's not just that there wee top stars like Seaver. There were an unusual number of Reusses and Koosmans. For some reason the difference between what could be achieved by many and what was the evident replacement level was especially large for about 15 years. And I've been trying to figure out a definitive answer for a long time.l
October 11th, 2011 at 9:15 am
Hand up on Rozema. I was a high school age Tiger fan in the late 70s so I remember how good he started out.
October 11th, 2011 at 2:00 pm
I had at least heard of Rozema, but Al Marmaux? Two great seasons for the Pirates before the age of 23, then crap (injury?) Its amazing the things you find out on B-R. Like, Rozema is Kirk Gibson's brother-in-law and that his ELO rating currently has him next to Vinegar Bend Mizell.
October 11th, 2011 at 9:42 pm
@23, Chuck -- Everything you wrote there goes for me, too.
BTW, Dave Rozema is another exhibit in my resentful retort to those who think Mark Fidrych's low K rate prove that he could not have stayed successful even if he hadn't been injured.
Rozema came up the year after Fidrych and had immediate success (if not as spectacular) using a similar formula: although Rozema gave up more HRs than the Bird, he also didn't walk people, and he cut off the running game.
As a rookie, Rozema had a 139 ERA in 218 IP (over just 28 games), despite just 3.8 SO/9. So was his .272 BAbip that year "lucky"? Not at all: Rozema finished his career with a .273 BAbip in over 1,100 IP, with a 118 ERA and just 3.6 SO/9.
In his second season, Rozema's K rate plummeted to 2.5 SO/9, yet his ERA+ was still a fine 124. He got hurt in his 3rd year and was never able to be a full-time SP again, but even in that aborted year, he had a 124 ERA+ in about 100 IP, with just 3.1 SO/9.
A low-K pitcher obviously has a tougher path to success, but he <can succeed if he is excellent in other phases -- as Fidrych was.
October 14th, 2011 at 4:20 pm
Feller...107 wins before he was 23...man.....where would his numbers be if he hadn't lost all those prime years shortly after to WWII.....