Mailbag: Winning 95+ Games and Not Finishing in 1st Place
Posted by Neil Paine on July 6, 2011
B-R reader Andrew asks:
"The Braves could win 100 games and finish behind the Phils this year... How many times has this happened?"
The Braves are currently on pace for 95 wins, but unfortunately for them, the Phillies are on pace for 102. Here's every instance of a team winning at least 95 games and not finishing in 1st place (whether in the division or, prior to divisional play, the league):
Year | Team | Lg | Div | Rank | W | L | WPct | R | RA | Pyth |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1909 | Chicago Cubs | NL | 2 | 104 | 49 | .680 | 635 | 390 | .709 | |
1942 | Brooklyn Dodgers | NL | 2 | 104 | 50 | .675 | 742 | 510 | .665 | |
1954 | New York Yankees | AL | 2 | 103 | 51 | .669 | 805 | 563 | .658 | |
1993 | San Francisco Giants | NL | W | 2 | 103 | 59 | .636 | 808 | 636 | .608 |
1962 | Los Angeles Dodgers | NL | 2 | 102 | 63 | .618 | 842 | 697 | .586 | |
2001 | Oakland Athletics (WC) | AL | W | 2 | 102 | 60 | .630 | 884 | 645 | .640 |
1961 | Detroit Tigers | AL | 2 | 101 | 61 | .623 | 841 | 671 | .602 | |
1915 | Detroit Tigers | AL | 2 | 100 | 54 | .649 | 778 | 597 | .619 | |
1980 | Baltimore Orioles | AL | E | 2 | 100 | 62 | .617 | 805 | 640 | .603 |
1978 | Boston Red Sox | AL | E | 2 | 99 | 64 | .607 | 796 | 657 | .587 |
2002 | Anaheim Angels (WC) | AL | W | 2 | 99 | 63 | .611 | 851 | 644 | .625 |
1908 | New York Giants | NL | 2 | 98 | 56 | .636 | 652 | 456 | .658 | |
1908 | Pittsburgh Pirates | NL | 2 | 98 | 56 | .636 | 585 | 469 | .600 | |
1928 | Philadelphia Athletics | AL | 2 | 98 | 55 | .641 | 829 | 615 | .633 | |
1964 | Chicago White Sox | AL | 2 | 98 | 64 | .605 | 642 | 501 | .612 | |
1974 | Cincinnati Reds | NL | W | 2 | 98 | 64 | .605 | 776 | 631 | .594 |
1985 | New York Mets | NL | E | 2 | 98 | 64 | .605 | 695 | 568 | .591 |
2004 | Boston Red Sox (WC) | AL | E | 2 | 98 | 64 | .605 | 949 | 768 | .596 |
1962 | Cincinnati Reds | NL | 3 | 98 | 64 | .605 | 802 | 685 | .572 | |
1941 | St. Louis Cardinals | NL | 2 | 97 | 56 | .634 | 734 | 589 | .599 | |
Year | Team | Lg | Div | Rank | W | L | WPct | R | RA | Pyth |
1951 | Brooklyn Dodgers | NL | 2 | 97 | 60 | .618 | 855 | 672 | .608 | |
1977 | Baltimore Orioles | AL | E | 2 | 97 | 64 | .602 | 719 | 653 | .544 |
1977 | Boston Red Sox | AL | E | 2 | 97 | 64 | .602 | 859 | 712 | .585 |
1985 | New York Yankees | AL | E | 2 | 97 | 64 | .602 | 839 | 660 | .608 |
1999 | New York Mets (WC) | NL | E | 2 | 97 | 66 | .595 | 853 | 711 | .583 |
1964 | Baltimore Orioles | AL | 3 | 97 | 65 | .599 | 679 | 567 | .582 | |
1898 | Baltimore Orioles | NL | 2 | 96 | 53 | .644 | 933 | 623 | .677 | |
1905 | Pittsburgh Pirates | NL | 2 | 96 | 57 | .627 | 692 | 570 | .588 | |
1906 | New York Giants | NL | 2 | 96 | 56 | .632 | 625 | 510 | .592 | |
1920 | Chicago White Sox | AL | 2 | 96 | 58 | .623 | 794 | 665 | .580 | |
1935 | St. Louis Cardinals | NL | 2 | 96 | 58 | .623 | 829 | 625 | .626 | |
1946 | Brooklyn Dodgers | NL | 2 | 96 | 60 | .615 | 701 | 570 | .594 | |
1948 | Boston Red Sox | AL | 2 | 96 | 59 | .619 | 907 | 720 | .604 | |
1949 | Boston Red Sox | AL | 2 | 96 | 58 | .623 | 896 | 667 | .632 | |
1949 | St. Louis Cardinals | NL | 2 | 96 | 58 | .623 | 766 | 616 | .598 | |
1977 | Pittsburgh Pirates | NL | E | 2 | 96 | 66 | .593 | 734 | 665 | .545 |
1987 | Toronto Blue Jays | AL | E | 2 | 96 | 66 | .593 | 845 | 655 | .614 |
1997 | New York Yankees (WC) | AL | E | 2 | 96 | 66 | .593 | 891 | 688 | .616 |
1999 | Cincinnati Reds | NL | C | 2 | 96 | 67 | .589 | 865 | 711 | .589 |
1899 | Boston Beaneaters | NL | 2 | 95 | 57 | .625 | 858 | 645 | .628 | |
Year | Team | Lg | Div | Rank | W | L | WPct | R | RA | Pyth |
1909 | Philadelphia Athletics | AL | 2 | 95 | 58 | .621 | 605 | 408 | .673 | |
1945 | St. Louis Cardinals | NL | 2 | 95 | 59 | .617 | 756 | 583 | .617 | |
1950 | Detroit Tigers | AL | 2 | 95 | 59 | .617 | 837 | 713 | .573 | |
1965 | Chicago White Sox | AL | 2 | 95 | 67 | .586 | 647 | 555 | .570 | |
1965 | San Francisco Giants | NL | 2 | 95 | 67 | .586 | 682 | 593 | .564 | |
1973 | Los Angeles Dodgers | NL | W | 2 | 95 | 66 | .590 | 675 | 565 | .581 |
1979 | Milwaukee Brewers | AL | E | 2 | 95 | 66 | .590 | 807 | 722 | .551 |
1979 | Montreal Expos | NL | E | 2 | 95 | 65 | .594 | 701 | 581 | .585 |
2002 | San Francisco Giants (WC) | NL | W | 2 | 95 | 66 | .590 | 783 | 616 | .608 |
2003 | Boston Red Sox (WC) | AL | E | 2 | 95 | 67 | .586 | 961 | 809 | .578 |
2005 | Boston Red Sox (WC) | AL | E | 2 | 95 | 67 | .586 | 910 | 805 | .556 |
2006 | Detroit Tigers (WC) | AL | C | 2 | 95 | 67 | .586 | 822 | 675 | .589 |
2008 | Boston Red Sox (WC) | AL | E | 2 | 95 | 67 | .586 | 845 | 694 | .589 |
2009 | Boston Red Sox (WC) | AL | E | 2 | 95 | 67 | .586 | 872 | 736 | .577 |
2010 | New York Yankees (WC) | AL | E | 2 | 95 | 67 | .586 | 859 | 693 | .597 |
1892 | Brooklyn Grooms | NL | 3 | 95 | 59 | .617 | 935 | 733 | .610 | |
1920 | New York Yankees | AL | 3 | 95 | 59 | .617 | 838 | 629 | .628 | |
1961 | Baltimore Orioles | AL | 3 | 95 | 67 | .586 | 691 | 588 | .573 |
If the current NL East situation holds up through season's end, the 2011 Braves would become the 59th team in baseball history to win 95 games and not finish in 1st place (then again, like 12 other teams on this list, they would avail themselves of the wild card and still make the playoffs).
If they manage to win 100 games -- which they are not on pace to do, but is still a possibility -- Atlanta would be just the 10th team ever to reach that mark without winning their division/league.
July 6th, 2011 at 2:27 pm
Wow. Win 104 games and NOT make the playoffs. Can we now coin that as a "Cubsian" season?
July 6th, 2011 at 2:39 pm
I can't believe that 98 wins in 1962 wasn't even enough for second. I'm assuming that part of it was everyone in the National League beating up on the Mets and Colt 45s.
I'm curious as to the best fourth place finish of all time now...
Also, fun fact: the 1892 Bridegrooms finished in third, even though they had *more* wins than the second place (93-56) Cleveland Spiders.
July 6th, 2011 at 2:44 pm
Oakland in 2001 won 102 games, I believe. They came in second to those 116-win Mariners.
July 6th, 2011 at 2:49 pm
It doesn't really matter how one gets into the post-season (unless they introduce the first round bye concept). The wild card method works just as well as the division champion method. We've seen from their conduct that the teams themselves perceive no difference.
July 6th, 2011 at 3:09 pm
" can't believe that 98 wins in 1962 wasn't even enough for second. I'm assuming that part of it was everyone in the National League beating up on the Mets and Colt 45s."
Although the Mets had the worst record in the league, the colt 45s were not second-the cubs were.
July 6th, 2011 at 3:21 pm
@5 -- I knew that someone finished between the Mets and Colt 45s, but couldn't remember who it was. Thanks!
(Also, as an unabashed Mets fan, I didn't want to recognize them as the sole incompetent expansion franchise of 1962.)
July 6th, 2011 at 3:24 pm
@2.
The Dodgers and Giants tied for first in '62 with 101 wins. It was an interesting playoff series.
- Game 1: Giants knock out Koufax in the 2nd inning and cruise to 8-0 win
- Game 2: Dodgers squeak out an 8-7 win on a 9th inning sac fly in a 4 hour 18 minute marathon that would remain the longest game by time for many years
- Game 3: Dodgers have game in hand, but bullpen blows it in the 9th as Giants score 4 to win 6-4.
July 6th, 2011 at 3:30 pm
Last team to get 100 wins and not make the playoffs was the '93 Giants, who were beat out by....Atlanta, of course.
It does seem like the Braves would be in good shape for the WC if they get to 95 or 100 wins.
July 6th, 2011 at 3:46 pm
Beating a dead horse here, but 7 out of the last 12 occurrences, since the current divisions were instituted, were in the AL East. Considering that there are six divisions, the AL East has to be disbanded to level the playing field!
July 6th, 2011 at 3:49 pm
@8 -- The 95 win plateau should certainly be enough. Since the implementation of the Wild Card, only one team on this list did not make the playoffs -- the '99 Reds, who lost a one-game playoff with the Mets for the final spot.
July 6th, 2011 at 4:11 pm
@Neil...if they disband the AL east wouldn't it make the Yanks and Sox MORE powerful?
July 6th, 2011 at 4:11 pm
The first thing I thought of when reading the quote at the top was the Braves/Giants #8 referenced myself.
July 6th, 2011 at 4:16 pm
That 1954 Yankee team is the only Yankee team between 1949 and 1958, a 10-year stretch, that didn't win the pennant. Ironically, it won the most games of those 10 Yankee teams, and was the only one to reach 100 wins. Also, it was the only team Casey Stengel managed that reached that milestone (Casey's Mets teams came up somewhat short as well). It took an historically great Indian team to unseat the 1954 Yankees.
On another note, the 1909 Cubs have the distinction of being the first of 102 Cubs teams (and counting) to not win the World Series.
July 6th, 2011 at 4:23 pm
@1
Or, perhaps, a "Bum"mer.
July 6th, 2011 at 4:29 pm
@2, @5, @7.
The '62 Dodgers provided a sneak preview of the '64 Phillies collapse.
The Dodgers finished 1-6 while the Giants went 5-2 to arrive at a 101-61 tie after 162 games. Interestingly, both teams played the same opponents (St. Louis and Houston) in the last week of the season.
July 6th, 2011 at 4:40 pm
The Red Sox really dominate this list. Headed for 10th appearance this year, 6th since 2003 & nobody else has more than 5.
It might be time to move about 6 teams out of the majors. Seattle, Milwaukee, KC, & 3 more from a fairly obvious list of cities that have given in to the ridiculous economics.
July 6th, 2011 at 5:08 pm
In 1994, the Expos or Braves would have likely won 95 with one of them finishing in 2nd place. What a huge loss that season was.
July 6th, 2011 at 5:13 pm
That 1954 Yankee team is the only Yankee team between 1949 and 1958, a 10-year stretch, that didn't win the pennant.
The only other teams to win the AL pennant from '49 through '64 were managed by Al Lopez ('59 ChiSox being the other).
July 6th, 2011 at 5:14 pm
#17 - Very true. The 1994 Braves were on pace for 97 wins, and the Expos were on an unbelievable 105-win pace when the season died on the table.
July 6th, 2011 at 5:15 pm
And the Yankees now play spring training games across the street from Al Lopez Park. Coincidence? I think not.
July 6th, 2011 at 5:50 pm
#2: I'm curious as to the best fourth place finish of all time now...
In terms of winning percentage:
1892-1900 NL: Orioles, 1899, 86-62, .581
Pre-1969 NL: Pirates, 1962, 93-68, .578
Pre-1969 AL: Indians, 1950, 92-62, .597
Best winning percentages for teams finishing fourth within a division are the 1969 Cardinals, 87-75, .537, and the 1978 Orioles, 90-71, .559.
July 6th, 2011 at 6:18 pm
Ahhhh, the 1993 NL West race was heaven as a Braves fan. Good times.
That race was a major factor (in addition to expansion) in the inception of a wild card in 1995.
July 6th, 2011 at 6:19 pm
Well, I guess the WC would have been implemented in 1994 if not for the strike.
July 6th, 2011 at 6:34 pm
The Sox are on the list 9 times (excluding the Beaneaters) and that's 9 times they came in second to the Yanks. Ouch...
July 6th, 2011 at 8:27 pm
Having season tickets with the Dodgers from 1981 thru 1997, I was at the final 3 game series between the Giants and the Dodgers at Dodger Stadium
Giants squeaked out an 8-7 win on Friday.
Beat the Dodgers on Saturday 5-3
So it all came down to the Sunday game.
I believe the Giants just had to win or go home.
If Both team's (Giants or Braves) win they tie at 104 wins apiece.
In the Sunday day game the Dodgers jumped all over the Giants starting in the 3rd inning.
Mike Piazza hit 2 homers, drove in 4 runs. Raul Mondesi and Cory Snyder hit 1 homer each. Eric Karros was 3-4 with 2 RBI's
Dodgers won the game 12-1.
July 6th, 2011 at 8:28 pm
@ 25 mg
Sorry forgot to mention the year was 1993.
July 6th, 2011 at 9:18 pm
There's something to be said for either expanding to 4 eight team divisions or contracting to 4 seven team divisions and eliminating the wild card. I know growing up in the 60's you followed the standings every day all summer long if your team was in contention.
July 6th, 2011 at 9:43 pm
Not sure if it has been mentioned, but Red Sox are also on pace to win 95+ games and fail to win the division.
July 6th, 2011 at 10:03 pm
@11
Pardon, Ahab, but I don't quite catch your meaning. Putting the Yankees and Red Sox in different divisions would allow them to win division titles and would leave the wild card more up for grabs. They would both still be big spenders, but how would they be "more powerful"? The AL wild card almost always comes out of the east.
July 6th, 2011 at 10:12 pm
In the [1993 closing-day] Sunday day game the Dodgers jumped all over the Giants starting in the 3rd inning. Mike Piazza hit 2 homers, drove in 4 runs. Raul Mondesi and Cory Snyder hit 1 homer each. Eric Karros was 3-4 with 2 RBI's. Dodgers won the game 12-1.
I attended that game too! Mondesi's home run, only the fourth of his career, was an absolute moon shot to left field. One of the longest homers I ever witnessed at Dodger Stadium . . . and that includes several Dave Kingman homers.
July 6th, 2011 at 10:14 pm
@ #8.... Braves won't make it, 'cause of Pittsburgh 😉 haha
@ #13... I had to look it up, 'cause you got me curious. The Yanks went 11-11 against that Cleveland team. Those Indians really lambasted the Orioles & Red Sox, going 39-5 against them. The Yanks had a 30-14 record against those teams. That's a 9 game difference in the Tribe's favor. New York finished the season 8 GB of Cleveland.
July 6th, 2011 at 10:20 pm
Top four win loss-records in MLB right now are East Coast teams, and the Rays are just a half-game behind for the 5th spot. East/West imbalance replacing AL/NL imbalance?
July 6th, 2011 at 11:00 pm
Those Indians really lambasted the Orioles & Red Sox, going 39-5 against them.
Yeah, Cleveland did a number on the second division teams that season. Going into the Series vs the Giants they were considered heavy favorites, but perhaps they should not have been. The NL was probably a better league by that point, due to integrating quicker, and CLE hadn't been that great against other good teams.
I don't know if anyone's studied this. Of course, great teams *should* beat weaker teams. But (without looking closer myself) it's been my understanding that '54 CLE boosted their record to an absurd extent at the expense of the weak teams. Given two teams with 100 wins, can one project their postseason success, or reach any other conclusions about their quality, based on their record against the best teams?
July 6th, 2011 at 11:27 pm
@33.
"it's been my understanding that '54 CLE boosted their record to an absurd extent at the expense of the weak teams."
How right you are, MR. Here's how "absurd":
- against sub-.500 teams: 89-21, .809
- against .500+ teams: 22-22, .500
July 7th, 2011 at 1:17 am
On a tangent ... Have the Red Sox really crossed into the same zone as the Yankees, who are so profitable that only gross mismanagement and/or bad luck with injuries can keep them from contending?
I think the Yankees are still alone in that department, but I could be persuaded otherwise.
July 7th, 2011 at 5:06 am
@4- It would be great, if there were some sort of reward, for regular season success. With how things stand now, just about any team that makes this list, is going to the playoffs, just like the division winner. Looking at the pre-'94 teams, though, is more intense. Some great teams, that just weren't great enough!!
(As I'm sure many of you noticed, since the WC began, only the '99 Reds, made this list, and failed to go to the playoffs......)
July 7th, 2011 at 6:57 am
@ 25
1993 NL West Race, final game:
It was actually a 4-game series in LA, and the Giants had won the first three games. The Giants had a tough decision for the final game. Either go with fragile-armed starter Bill Swift (21-game winner) on 3 days rest or go with rookie Solomon Torres. The Giants went with Torres, who got lit up by the Dodgers, and chased in the 4th.
The Dodger Starter was Kevin Gross, who ran a complete-game victory giving up one run. The SAME Kevin Gross, journeyman pitcher extraordinaire, who had No-Hit the Giants the year before.
The Braves, meanwhile, closed the season with a 3-game sweep against the expansion Rockies. In fact, the Rockies failed to win ANY of the 12 games they played against the Braves in 1993.
I have been a Giants fan for 35 years, and the 1993 defeat was absolutely exhilarating and crushing.
This whole race would have been eliminated by the existence of the Wild Card in '93.
But, what fun would that have been?
I'm not a fan of the Wild Card.
BTW, Solomon Torres was absolutely destroyed by the season-ending defeat. He bounced around in the majors for a few years, then washed out of baseball. He didn't pitch for 5 years and was coaching in the Pirates organization. While instructing other pitchers, the Pirates realized that he was a better pitcher than the kids he was teaching. He ended up back in the majors in 2002, and was fairly decent middle reliever for 4 or 5 years.
July 7th, 2011 at 7:08 am
...and after all that, the Braves lost to the Phillies in the NLCS.
July 7th, 2011 at 6:13 pm
The most games a team has won in the wild card era and not made the playoffs is 93. Done by the Seattle Mariners. In 2002. AND 2003. I, a Mariner fan, shall now light myself on fire.