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Elijah Dukes

Posted by Andy on December 4, 2007

The Tampa Bay Devil Rays traded Elijah Dukes to Washington today.

Using the PI Batting Season Finder, here are first-year players since 1901 who batted .200 or worse, ranked by most home runs:

  Cnt Player             **HR**   BA  From  To   Ages   G    PA    AB    R    H   2B  3B  RBI  BB  IBB  SO  HBP  SH  SF GDP  SB   CS  OBP   SLG   OPS  Positions Teams
+----+-----------------+-------+-----+----+----+-----+----+-----+-----+----+----+---+---+----+----+---+----+---+---+---+---+----+---+-----+-----+-----+---------+-----------+
    1 Elijah Dukes         10    .190 2007 2007 23-23   52   220   184   27   35   3   2   21   33   0   44   2   0   1   6    2   4  .318  .391  .709 /*8D79    TBD
    2 Kevin Roberson        9    .189 1993 1993 25-25   62   195   180   23   34   4   1   27   12   0   48   3   0   0   2    0   1  .251  .372  .623 /*978     CHC
    3 Matt Williams         8    .188 1987 1987 21-21   84   266   245   28   46   9   2   21   16   4   68   1   3   1   5    4   3  .240  .339  .579 /*65      SFG
    4 Franklin Stubbs       8    .194 1984 1984 23-23   87   245   217   22   42   2   3   17   24   3   63   0   3   1   0    2   2  .273  .341  .614 /*3978    LAD
    5 Jack Dittmer          7    .193 1952 1952 24-24   93   355   326   26   63   7   2   41   26   0   26   1   2   0   9    1   0  .255  .291  .546 /*4       BSN
    6 Dave Henderson        6    .167 1981 1981 22-22   59   145   126   17   21   3   0   13   16   1   24   1   1   1   4    2   1  .264  .333  .597 /*8*97    SEA
    7 Matt LeCroy           5    .174 2000 2000 24-24   56   190   167   18   29  10   0   17   17   2   38   2   1   3   6    0   0  .254  .323  .577 /*2D3     MIN
    8 Dave Hollins          5    .184 1990 1990 24-24   72   127   114   14   21   0   0   15   10   3   28   1   0   2   1    0   0  .252  .316  .568 /53       PHI
    9 Jeff King             5    .195 1989 1989 24-24   75   243   215   31   42  13   3   19   20   1   34   2   2   4   3    4   2  .266  .353  .619 /*3546    PIT
   10 Bill Bathe            5    .184 1986 1986 25-25   39   112   103    9   19   3   0   11    2   0   20   1   6   0   2    0   0  .208  .359  .567 /*2       OAK
   11 Jack Howell           5    .197 1985 1985 23-23   43   158   137   19   27   4   0   18   16   2   33   0   4   1   1    1   1  .279  .336  .615 /*5       CAL
   12 Ray Oyler             5    .186 1965 1965 26-26   82   217   194   22   36   6   0   13   21   3   61   0   2   0   9    1   0  .265  .294  .559 /*6435    DET
   13 Dave Nicholson        5    .186 1960 1960 20-20   54   133   113   17   21   1   1   11   20   0   55   0   0   0   2    0   2  .308  .345  .653 /*79      BAL
   14 Lou Limmer            5    .159 1951 1951 26-26   94   247   214   25   34   9   1   30   28   0   40   0   5   0   4    1   0  .256  .280  .536 /*3       PHA

So Dukes set a record this past year. This list is a mixed bag. The only big star is Matt Williams, but several other players had good careers, including Stubbs, Dave Henderson, Hollins, King, and Howell.

Here are first-year players since 1901 with OPS+ of 90 or less, again ranked by most homers:

  Cnt Player            **HR** OPS+ Year Age Tm  Lg  G   PA  AB  R   H  2B 3B RBI  BB IBB  SO HBP  SH  SF GDP  SB CS   BA   OBP   SLG   OPS  Positions
+----+-----------------+------+----+----+---+---+--+---+---+---+---+---+--+--+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+--+-----+-----+-----+-----+---------+
    1 Ray Jablonski       21     89 1953  26 STL NL 157 640 604  64 162 23  5 112  34   0  61   1   1   0  15   2  2  .268  .308  .427  .735 *5
    2 Alex Gordon         15     87 2007  23 KCR AL 151 600 543  60 134 36  4  60  41   4 137  13   1   2  12  14  4  .247  .314  .411  .725 *53/6
    3 Jose Guillen        14     82 1997  21 PIT NL 143 526 498  58 133 20  5  70  17   0  88   8   0   3  16   1  2  .267  .300  .412  .712 *9/8
    4 Bobby Higginson     14     87 1995  24 DET AL 131 486 410  61  92 17  5  43  62   3 107   5   2   7   5   6  4  .224  .329  .393  .722 *9*7/D
    5 Bob Schmidt         14     90 1958  25 SFG NL 127 432 393  46  96 20  2  54  33   5  59   3   1   2  19   0  1  .244  .306  .412  .718 *2
    6 Scott Hairston      13     83 2004  24 ARI NL 101 364 339  39  84 15  6  29  21   0  88   1   2   1   4   3  3  .248  .293  .442  .735 *4/79
    7 Harold Baines       13     86 1980  21 CHW AL 141 518 491  55 125 23  6  49  19   7  65   1   2   5  15   2  4  .255  .281  .405  .686 *9/D
    8 Brad Eldred         12     90 2005  24 PIT NL  55 208 190  23  42  9  0  27  13   0  77   3   0   2   5   1  1  .221  .279  .458  .737 *3
    9 John Buck           12     79 2004  23 KCR AL  71 258 238  36  56  9  0  30  15   0  79   0   4   1   6   1  1  .235  .280  .424  .704 *2/D
   10 Shea Hillenbrand    12     77 2001  25 BOS AL 139 493 468  52 123 20  2  49  13   3  61   7   1   4  12   3  4  .263  .291  .391  .682 *5/3D
   11 Craig Paquette      12     71 1993  24 OAK AL 105 409 393  35  86 20  4  46  14   2 108   0   1   1   7   4  2  .219  .245  .382  .627 *5/D7
   12 George Altman       12     85 1959  26 CHC NL 135 468 420  54 103 14  4  47  34   4  80   7   6   1   8   1  0  .245  .312  .383  .695 *8
   13 Gail Harris         12     81 1955  23 NYG NL  79 287 263  27  61  9  0  36  20   3  46   2   0   2   6   0  0  .232  .289  .403  .692 *3
   14 Bill Nagel          12     90 1939  23 PHA AL 105 374 341  39  86 19  4  39  25   0  86   2   6   0  15   2  1  .252  .307  .437  .744 *45/1
   15 Chris Truby         11     86 2000  26 HOU NL  78 279 258  28  67 15  4  59  10   1  56   5   1   5   4   2  1  .260  .295  .477  .772 *5
   16 Felix Torres        11     89 1962  30 LAA AL 127 491 451  44 117 19  4  74  28   5  73   4   4   4  19   0  0  .259  .306  .392  .698 *5
   17 Jake Wood           11     83 1961  24 DET AL 162 731 663  96 171 17 14  69  58   2 141   4   2   4   8  30  9  .258  .320  .376  .696 *4
   18 Harry Agganis       11     87 1954  25 BOS AL 132 493 434  54 109 13  8  57  47   0  57   0   7   5   6   6  3  .251  .321  .394  .715 *3
   19 Leo Norris          11     80 1936  28 PHI NL 154 644 581  64 154 27  4  76  39   0  79   3  21   0  18   4  0  .265  .315  .382  .697 *64
   20 Elijah Dukes        10     88 2007  23 TBD AL  52 220 184  27  35  3  2  21  33   0  44   2   0   1   6   2  4  .190  .318  .391  .709 *8/D79
   21 Tsuyoshi Shinjo     10     90 2001  29 NYM NL 123 438 400  46 107 23  1  56  25   3  70   7   4   2   8   4  5  .268  .320  .405  .725 879
   22 Julio Lugo          10     90 2000  24 HOU NL 116 465 420  78 119 22  5  40  37   0  93   4   3   1   9  22  9  .283  .346  .431  .777 *64/798
   23 Chad Allen          10     82 1999  24 MIN AL 137 523 481  69 133 21  3  46  37   1  89   2   1   2   9  14  7  .277  .330  .395  .725 *7/D9
   24 Jim Presley         10     78 1984  22 SEA AL  70 259 251  27  57 12  1  36   6   1  63   1   0   1   4   1  1  .227  .247  .402  .649 *5/D
   25 Jerry Willard       10     86 1984  24 CLE AL  87 275 246  21  55  8  1  37  26   0  55   0   0   3   6   1  0  .224  .295  .386  .681 *2/D
+----+-----------------+------+----+----+---+---+--+---+---+---+---+---+--+--+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+--+-----+-----+-----+-----+---------+
  Cnt Player            **HR** OPS+ Year Age Tm  Lg  G   PA  AB  R   H  2B 3B RBI  BB IBB  SO HBP  SH  SF GDP  SB CS   BA   OBP   SLG   OPS  Positions
+----+-----------------+------+----+----+---+---+--+---+---+---+---+---+--+--+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+--+-----+-----+-----+-----+---------+
   26 John Bateman        10     71 1963  22 HOU NL 128 434 404  23  85  8  6  59  13   1 103   9   4   4   9   0  0  .210  .249  .334  .583 *2
   27 Cal Neeman          10     81 1957  28 CHC NL 122 445 415  37 107 17  1  39  22   5  87   3   2   3   8   0  0  .258  .298  .376  .674 *2
   28 Otis Brannan        10     79 1928  29 SLB AL 135 569 483  68 118 18  3  66  60   0  19   4  22   0   0   3  9  .244  .333  .356  .689 *4

Dukes is #20 here. Again this is a mixed bag. Harold Baines stands out as the class of this group, with a bunch of other productive players. All in all, though, it's not a great group.

We can't project Dukes' future based on 220 plate appearances. There's reason to be pessimistic, but the Nationals will be quite happy if Dukes has a career similar to Williams, Baines, or a number of other guys listed above.

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