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Team W/L in games with 5 or fewer hits, 2007

Posted by Andy on September 13, 2007

These data are through Tuesday's games.

Each team's total wins in games with 5 or fewer hits:

 Tm  Year Games Link to Individual Games
+---+----+-----+-------------------------+
 SDP 2007     8 Ind. Games
 TOR 2007     7 Ind. Games
 NYM 2007     7 Ind. Games
 MIN 2007     5 Ind. Games
 CLE 2007     5 Ind. Games
 ARI 2007     5 Ind. Games
 WSN 2007     4 Ind. Games
 MIL 2007     4 Ind. Games
 LAA 2007     4 Ind. Games
 KCR 2007     4 Ind. Games
 DET 2007     4 Ind. Games
 COL 2007     4 Ind. Games
 CHW 2007     4 Ind. Games
 CHC 2007     4 Ind. Games
 TBD 2007     3 Ind. Games
 PHI 2007     3 Ind. Games
 CIN 2007     3 Ind. Games
 BOS 2007     3 Ind. Games
 SFG 2007     2 Ind. Games
 SEA 2007     2 Ind. Games
 OAK 2007     2 Ind. Games
 LAD 2007     2 Ind. Games
 HOU 2007     2 Ind. Games
 TEX 2007     1 Ind. Games
 STL 2007     1 Ind. Games
 NYY 2007     1 Ind. Games
 FLA 2007     1 Ind. Games
 BAL 2007     1 Ind. Games
 ATL 2007     1 Ind. Games

One team, Pittsburgh, has no victories so far this year with 5 or fewer hits.

And here are each team's total losses in games where they had 5 or fewer hits:

 Tm  Year Games Link to Individual Games
+---+----+-----+-------------------------+
 CHW 2007    26 Ind. Games
 ARI 2007    25 Ind. Games
 TEX 2007    23 Ind. Games
 KCR 2007    23 Ind. Games
 WSN 2007    22 Ind. Games
 TOR 2007    20 Ind. Games
 TBD 2007    19 Ind. Games
 SFG 2007    19 Ind. Games
 SDP 2007    18 Ind. Games
 PIT 2007    18 Ind. Games
 OAK 2007    18 Ind. Games
 MIN 2007    18 Ind. Games
 ATL 2007    18 Ind. Games
 STL 2007    17 Ind. Games
 PHI 2007    16 Ind. Games
 COL 2007    16 Ind. Games
 NYY 2007    15 Ind. Games
 MIL 2007    15 Ind. Games
 LAA 2007    15 Ind. Games
 CLE 2007    15 Ind. Games
 FLA 2007    14 Ind. Games
 CIN 2007    14 Ind. Games
 HOU 2007    13 Ind. Games
 BAL 2007    13 Ind. Games
 BOS 2007    12 Ind. Games
 SEA 2007    11 Ind. Games
 LAD 2007    11 Ind. Games
 CHC 2007    10 Ind. Games
 DET 2007     9 Ind. Games
 NYM 2007     7 Ind. Games

As you'd expect, all teams have at least 1 such loss. (In fact, all teams have at least 7 such losses.)

Now, with a little Excel magic, here are the same data as above, but ranked by team record in these games:

(listing is TEAM NAME / wins / losses / W%)

NYM 7 7 0.500
DET 4 9 0.308
SDP 8 18 0.308
CHC 4 10 0.286
TOR 7 20 0.259
CLE 5 15 0.250
MIN 5 18 0.217
LAA 4 15 0.211
MIL 4 15 0.211
BOS 3 12 0.200
COL 4 16 0.200
CIN 3 14 0.176
ARI 5 25 0.167
PHI 3 16 0.158
LAD 2 11 0.154
SEA 2 11 0.154
WSN 4 22 0.154
KCR 4 23 0.148
TBD 3 19 0.136
CHW 4 26 0.133
HOU 2 13 0.133
OAK 2 18 0.100
SFG 2 19 0.095
BAL 1 13 0.071
FLA 1 14 0.067
NYY 1 15 0.063
STL 1 17 0.056
ATL 1 18 0.053
TEX 1 23 0.042
PIT 0 18 0.000

Statistically, I'm not sure there's much difference between being 15th on this list or last on this list. If one hit happens to be a 3-run homer, it's a lot easier to win a game. But I do find a few things of interest on this list:

  • The Mets' performance is truly impressive. Not only do they have 7 wins with 5 or fewer hits (tied for 2nd-best), but they have only 7 losses (best).
  • Compare that to Arizona, who has a similar number of such wins (5) but many more such losses (25.)
  • There is only one playoff-probable team in the bottom half of this list: the Yankees, with a dreadful 1-15 mark. However, they did win on Wednesday with just 4 hits, making their record 2-15. It's been proven time and time again that playoff teams rarely win with a superior offense. If the Yankees don't get more than 5 hits, they don't win, and they may be in for a quick exit in the playoffs (again.)

2 Responses to “Team W/L in games with 5 or fewer hits, 2007”

  1. Sky Says:

    The teams that win with five or fewer hits should be the teams that walk a lot and have excellent pitching (San Diego). The teams without many losses with five or fewer hits are the teams that tend to hit well (like the Mets and not like the Diamondbacks).

    I don't think it's possible with PI, but it'd be interesting to know how often teams win when being out-hit, out-walked, out-homered, out-total-based, etc. I think I remember reading a while ago that the team with the most total-bases plus walks wins an absurd amount of the time (which makes sense).

  2. Andy Says:

    Yeah---I have wanted to similar searches, Sky. The problem, of course, is that with the PI (as of now) it's possibly to search only on the pitching side or the batting side, when really we'd want to be able to do the difference between the two.

    Something else I'd love to be able to do is have a pitcher-vs-pitcher log, i.e. how a pitcher has done in games grouped by the opposing starting pitcher. That way, we could could look up some interesting things, such as:

    Julian Tavarez has stated a bunch of games for Boston last year and this year. My instinct tells me that he pitches a lot better when the opposing starting pitcher is better. I don't know if his focus, or my imagination.

    We could also look up all the games when Hall-of-Famers have squared off.