Team W/L in games with 5 or fewer hits, 2007
Posted by Andy on September 13, 2007
These data are through Tuesday's games.
Each team's total wins in games with 5 or fewer hits:
Tm Year Games Link to Individual Games +---+----+-----+-------------------------+ SDP 2007 8 Ind. Games TOR 2007 7 Ind. Games NYM 2007 7 Ind. Games MIN 2007 5 Ind. Games CLE 2007 5 Ind. Games ARI 2007 5 Ind. Games WSN 2007 4 Ind. Games MIL 2007 4 Ind. Games LAA 2007 4 Ind. Games KCR 2007 4 Ind. Games DET 2007 4 Ind. Games COL 2007 4 Ind. Games CHW 2007 4 Ind. Games CHC 2007 4 Ind. Games TBD 2007 3 Ind. Games PHI 2007 3 Ind. Games CIN 2007 3 Ind. Games BOS 2007 3 Ind. Games SFG 2007 2 Ind. Games SEA 2007 2 Ind. Games OAK 2007 2 Ind. Games LAD 2007 2 Ind. Games HOU 2007 2 Ind. Games TEX 2007 1 Ind. Games STL 2007 1 Ind. Games NYY 2007 1 Ind. Games FLA 2007 1 Ind. Games BAL 2007 1 Ind. Games ATL 2007 1 Ind. Games
One team, Pittsburgh, has no victories so far this year with 5 or fewer hits.
And here are each team's total losses in games where they had 5 or fewer hits:
Tm Year Games Link to Individual Games +---+----+-----+-------------------------+ CHW 2007 26 Ind. Games ARI 2007 25 Ind. Games TEX 2007 23 Ind. Games KCR 2007 23 Ind. Games WSN 2007 22 Ind. Games TOR 2007 20 Ind. Games TBD 2007 19 Ind. Games SFG 2007 19 Ind. Games SDP 2007 18 Ind. Games PIT 2007 18 Ind. Games OAK 2007 18 Ind. Games MIN 2007 18 Ind. Games ATL 2007 18 Ind. Games STL 2007 17 Ind. Games PHI 2007 16 Ind. Games COL 2007 16 Ind. Games NYY 2007 15 Ind. Games MIL 2007 15 Ind. Games LAA 2007 15 Ind. Games CLE 2007 15 Ind. Games FLA 2007 14 Ind. Games CIN 2007 14 Ind. Games HOU 2007 13 Ind. Games BAL 2007 13 Ind. Games BOS 2007 12 Ind. Games SEA 2007 11 Ind. Games LAD 2007 11 Ind. Games CHC 2007 10 Ind. Games DET 2007 9 Ind. Games NYM 2007 7 Ind. Games
As you'd expect, all teams have at least 1 such loss. (In fact, all teams have at least 7 such losses.)
Now, with a little Excel magic, here are the same data as above, but ranked by team record in these games:
(listing is TEAM NAME / wins / losses / W%)
NYM 7 7 0.500
DET 4 9 0.308
SDP 8 18 0.308
CHC 4 10 0.286
TOR 7 20 0.259
CLE 5 15 0.250
MIN 5 18 0.217
LAA 4 15 0.211
MIL 4 15 0.211
BOS 3 12 0.200
COL 4 16 0.200
CIN 3 14 0.176
ARI 5 25 0.167
PHI 3 16 0.158
LAD 2 11 0.154
SEA 2 11 0.154
WSN 4 22 0.154
KCR 4 23 0.148
TBD 3 19 0.136
CHW 4 26 0.133
HOU 2 13 0.133
OAK 2 18 0.100
SFG 2 19 0.095
BAL 1 13 0.071
FLA 1 14 0.067
NYY 1 15 0.063
STL 1 17 0.056
ATL 1 18 0.053
TEX 1 23 0.042
PIT 0 18 0.000
Statistically, I'm not sure there's much difference between being 15th on this list or last on this list. If one hit happens to be a 3-run homer, it's a lot easier to win a game. But I do find a few things of interest on this list:
- The Mets' performance is truly impressive. Not only do they have 7 wins with 5 or fewer hits (tied for 2nd-best), but they have only 7 losses (best).
- Compare that to Arizona, who has a similar number of such wins (5) but many more such losses (25.)
- There is only one playoff-probable team in the bottom half of this list: the Yankees, with a dreadful 1-15 mark. However, they did win on Wednesday with just 4 hits, making their record 2-15. It's been proven time and time again that playoff teams rarely win with a superior offense. If the Yankees don't get more than 5 hits, they don't win, and they may be in for a quick exit in the playoffs (again.)
September 13th, 2007 at 12:40 pm
The teams that win with five or fewer hits should be the teams that walk a lot and have excellent pitching (San Diego). The teams without many losses with five or fewer hits are the teams that tend to hit well (like the Mets and not like the Diamondbacks).
I don't think it's possible with PI, but it'd be interesting to know how often teams win when being out-hit, out-walked, out-homered, out-total-based, etc. I think I remember reading a while ago that the team with the most total-bases plus walks wins an absurd amount of the time (which makes sense).
September 13th, 2007 at 12:58 pm
Yeah---I have wanted to similar searches, Sky. The problem, of course, is that with the PI (as of now) it's possibly to search only on the pitching side or the batting side, when really we'd want to be able to do the difference between the two.
Something else I'd love to be able to do is have a pitcher-vs-pitcher log, i.e. how a pitcher has done in games grouped by the opposing starting pitcher. That way, we could could look up some interesting things, such as:
Julian Tavarez has stated a bunch of games for Boston last year and this year. My instinct tells me that he pitches a lot better when the opposing starting pitcher is better. I don't know if his focus, or my imagination.
We could also look up all the games when Hall-of-Famers have squared off.