When The Going Gets Tough
Posted by Steve Lombardi on May 29, 2009
This is not via Play Index, but, rather from one of the fun Baseball-Reference.com toys that can be found in the Frivolities section of the site. It's from the Team Game Log Reports - an area which is a series of tools that slice and dice game-by-game results from 1901 to the present in a wide variety of ways. The tool used here was Situational Reports For Teams' Wins and Losses - which is a form that will create a report showing the won-loss record and the number of runs scored and allowed in various situations.
I was curious about how teams did when playing someone with a winning percentage of .600+ during the 5 year period prior to this season. So, I set the controls for "From 2004 To 2008 and Greater Than or Equal to a .600 Opponent's Season W-L%" and this is what I got:
Rk Tm G W L W-L% RS RA pythW-L% 1 ANA 28 15 13 .536 146 120 .589 2 CHC 41 21 20 .512 177 176 .503 3 PHI 25 12 13 .480 128 125 .511 4 HOU 51 24 27 .471 210 229 .460 5 TEX 49 23 26 .469 255 269 .476 6 SFG 22 10 12 .455 89 99 .451 7 CHW 29 13 16 .448 135 137 .493 8 BOS 38 17 21 .447 182 218 .418 9 MON 21 9 12 .429 67 89 .373 10 MIN 38 16 22 .421 138 150 .462 11 MIL 49 20 29 .408 201 251 .400 12 FLA 20 8 12 .400 69 94 .362 13 STL 15 6 9 .400 62 66 .471 14 NYY 38 15 23 .395 179 198 .454 15 NYM 28 11 17 .393 121 150 .403 16 OAK 49 19 30 .388 243 258 .473 17 BAL 58 22 36 .379 310 332 .469 18 SDP 29 11 18 .379 120 154 .388 19 ATL 24 9 15 .375 96 132 .358 20 CLE 41 15 26 .366 189 190 .498 21 LAD 35 12 23 .343 128 160 .399 22 CIN 50 17 33 .340 221 287 .383 23 TOR 59 20 39 .339 233 310 .372 24 TBD 59 20 39 .339 246 344 .351 25 ARI 25 8 17 .320 97 136 .350 26 DET 42 13 29 .310 146 209 .342 27 SEA 49 15 34 .306 207 261 .396 28 COL 29 8 21 .276 126 185 .331 29 KCR 41 11 30 .268 169 220 .382 30 PIT 51 13 38 .255 192 318 .284
It's pretty hard to play .500-ball, or better, when facing a team with a winning percentage of .600+, huh? Well, at least, over the last five years, overall, many teams have not been able to do it.
What I find interesting here is that, from 2004 through 2008, teams like the Angels and Cubs have broken-even when they have played tough teams whereas other teams who have posted many wins over the last 5 years, like the Yankees and Mets, have not be able to win as much as they lose when facing stronger teams.
Aren't New Yorkers supposed to be tough? (I say this...joking...in case anyone thinks I'm dissing New York. As a native New Yorker, I don't mean to offend anyone from the area too.)
May 29th, 2009 at 7:36 pm
[...] to this report over at SOTD, when the Yankees - over the last 5 years prior to this season - face a strong opponent, they have [...]
June 1st, 2009 at 11:04 am
Steve,
VERY interesting and a good indication of the manager of the team(s). Would suggest eliminating games where less than 20 games were played in the season. Afterall, what does it mean to play a team 6 - 4? Are they a good team? A win against a team w a 60-40 record means more a win against a 6 - 4 team. Also, perhaps look at the final record of the team to determine who was playing a .600 team?