2017 Major League Baseball Win Probability

Other Leagues: AL, NL

World Series Champion: Houston Astros

Become a Stathead & surf this site ad-free.

Team Win Probability*

Team Win Probability* Table
Tm	RA/G	PtchR	PtchW	Plays	WPA	WPA+	WPA-	aLI	WPA/LI	Clutch	cWPA	cWPA+	cWPA-	acLI	cClutch	RE24	REW	boLI	RE24/boLI	LevHi	LevMd	LevLo
Arizona Diamondbacks	4.07	143.4	14.7	6274	11.8	110.1	-98.2	.99	8.6	3.3	6.7%	59.0%	-52.3%	.89	2.5%	113.1	11.2	0.93	112.5	173	126	214
Atlanta Braves	5.07	-59.2	-5.3	6527	-7.1	104.7	-111.8	.96	-6.4	-1.0	-2.6%	30.2%	-32.8%	.46	-2.4%	-84.7	-7.7	0.96	-68.7	156	113	261
Baltimore Orioles	5.19	-90.9	-8.1	6471	-3.9	101.9	-105.8	.91	-8.9	4.6	-1.8%	55.3%	-57.1%	.83	2.4%	-91.7	-8.1	0.95	-102.6	140	90	262
Boston Red Sox	4.12	131.5	13.6	6390	14.4	114.9	-100.5	.99	10.1	4.5	10.9%	85.1%	-74.1%	1.22	2.9%	132.2	13.4	0.92	132.1	168	134	213
Chicago Cubs	4.29	68.8	7.1	6369	9.2	105.5	-96.3	.95	6.7	2.9	7.8%	89.1%	-81.3%	1.34	1.8%	62.7	6.7	0.93	70.3	177	94	260
Chicago White Sox	5.06	-76.7	-6.8	6433	-7.3	99.2	-106.5	.92	-8.8	0.8	-1.6%	26.1%	-27.7%	.40	-0.8%	-80.4	-7.2	0.95	-99.6	143	97	280
Cincinnati Reds	5.36	-95.1	-8.6	6493	-7.0	95.1	-102.1	.86	-12.7	4.6	-2.2%	26.8%	-29.0%	.40	1.3%	-126.1	-11.3	0.95	-123.9	117	98	289
Cleveland Indians	3.48	197.9	20.2	6008	22.3	110.7	-88.4	.96	19.4	3.8	12.0%	73.3%	-61.3%	1.08	-0.6%	218.4	22.0	0.89	235.5	140	123	234
Colorado Rockies	4.67	83.0	8.4	6370	8.5	108.2	-99.8	.95	-0.3	9.2	7.0%	71.3%	-64.3%	1.04	6.9%	47.0	4.4	0.94	26.5	165	122	262
Detroit Tigers	5.52	-125.9	-11.6	6499	-10.6	98.4	-108.9	.89	-13.7	1.8	-2.8%	37.0%	-39.8%	.55	-0.5%	-139.6	-12.7	0.96	-150.7	134	116	260
Houston Astros	4.32	2.9	1.0	6341	6.4	107.5	-101.1	.96	2.6	4.0	4.3%	38.7%	-34.4%	.57	5.1%	36.6	4.5	0.95	39.9	143	114	262
Kansas City Royals	4.88	-18.6	-1.3	6405	1.5	107.9	-106.3	.97	-2.6	4.1	-1.7%	56.3%	-58.0%	.86	-0.5%	-34.4	-2.7	0.94	-18.2	177	104	257
Los Angeles Angels	4.38	20.4	2.3	6233	0.1	107.3	-107.2	.98	2.4	-2.3	-0.8%	54.6%	-55.4%	.84	-2.6%	34.1	3.7	0.91	39.1	177	113	253
Los Angeles Dodgers	3.58	132.5	13.6	6108	16.2	106.7	-90.5	.96	13.0	3.9	8.0%	41.6%	-33.5%	.62	5.4%	156.9	16.6	0.91	149.2	154	141	241
Miami Marlins	5.07	-142.8	-13.2	6490	-8.4	104.8	-113.3	.98	-9.1	0.5	-2.3%	26.1%	-28.4%	.40	-3.0%	-115.3	-11.2	0.97	-104.3	167	139	274
Milwaukee Brewers	4.30	64.4	6.8	6393	5.6	117.7	-112.1	1.05	2.5	2.8	4.8%	103.2%	-98.3%	1.53	1.9%	54.8	5.8	0.94	33.6	193	143	214
Minnesota Twins	4.86	-21.0	-1.4	6386	-1.2	103.1	-104.4	.92	-5.3	3.9	-2.6%	77.0%	-79.6%	1.16	1.2%	-31.3	-2.3	0.94	-48.7	155	104	261
New York Mets	5.33	-144.7	-13.4	6565	-8.9	101.8	-110.7	.95	-9.9	0.5	-2.3%	28.4%	-30.7%	.44	-1.3%	-150.0	-14.3	0.98	-124.9	180	93	295
New York Yankees	4.07	118.5	12.0	6274	7.3	104.9	-97.6	.95	11.1	-3.5	4.8%	87.9%	-83.1%	1.33	-3.1%	114.7	11.6	0.92	132.1	143	109	225
Oakland Athletics	5.10	-93.6	-8.5	6412	-10.9	104.3	-115.3	.96	-10.2	-1.2	-1.8%	21.3%	-23.1%	.33	-1.3%	-94.2	-8.7	0.94	-96.6	157	123	245
Philadelphia Phillies	4.83	-35.2	-2.9	6430	-6.4	106.2	-112.6	.97	-6.9	0.3	-2.2%	16.6%	-18.8%	.26	-6.0%	-48.6	-4.0	0.94	-75.0	174	89	243
Pittsburgh Pirates	4.51	7.6	1.1	6400	-0.9	107.9	-108.9	.98	-2.7	1.8	-1.3%	41.1%	-42.4%	.62	-0.6%	3.7	0.8	0.96	-31.2	158	107	237
San Diego Padres	5.04	-79.6	-7.1	6366	-3.1	104.5	-107.7	.95	-7.9	4.6	-1.1%	13.9%	-15.0%	.21	-3.1%	-88.5	-7.9	0.95	-89.4	158	125	234
Seattle Mariners	4.77	-44.7	-3.7	6329	-4.2	103.0	-107.1	.96	-2.5	-1.9	-2.6%	42.6%	-45.2%	.66	-2.5%	-30.9	-2.5	0.93	-34.4	206	105	216
San Francisco Giants	4.79	-33.5	-3.0	6466	-2.7	109.1	-111.8	.99	-2.5	-0.3	-0.2%	15.2%	-15.4%	.23	-0.1%	-30.8	-2.7	0.95	-39.4	176	89	237
St. Louis Cardinals	4.35	33.3	3.5	6289	4.4	111.4	-107.0	1.02	5.7	-1.5	0.7%	68.3%	-67.7%	1.06	-2.9%	37.6	4.0	0.94	50.3	175	114	257
Tampa Bay Rays	4.35	34.6	3.5	6312	4.3	113.0	-108.7	1.03	4.9	-0.8	0.8%	61.5%	-60.7%	.94	-1.7%	40.9	4.4	0.93	47.6	187	125	199
Texas Rangers	5.04	17.6	2.2	6403	-1.4	103.8	-105.2	.94	-3.2	1.6	-1.5%	42.3%	-43.8%	.64	-1.3%	-30.8	-2.1	0.94	-23.2	135	114	215
Toronto Blue Jays	4.84	8.6	1.4	6518	3.0	117.1	-114.2	1.04	0.0	2.9	-0.7%	30.0%	-30.8%	.45	-1.3%	-9.6	-0.1	0.94	6.2	204	121	253
Washington Nationals	4.15	96.2	10.8	6242	12.6	111.2	-98.6	.99	8.2	4.6	3.4%	47.1%	-43.6%	.71	0.0%	81.3	9.3	0.92	82.1	151	112	224
League Average	4.65	3	1	6373	1	107	-105	.96	-1	2	1%	49%	-48%	.73	1%	-2	0	0	-2	163	113	246
	4.65	99.6	27.4	191196	43.4	3201.9	-3158.6	.96	-18.0	63.1	39.1%	1466.8%	-1427.7%	.73	43.8%	-52.9	13.3	0.94	-73.7	4883	3397	7377
Tm	RA/G	PtchR	PtchW	Plays	WPA	WPA+	WPA-	aLI	WPA/LI	Clutch	cWPA	cWPA+	cWPA-	acLI	cClutch	RE24	REW	boLI	RE24/boLI	LevHi	LevMd	LevLo