1986 MLB Win Probability

Other Leagues: AL, NL

World Series Champion: New York Mets

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Team Win Probability*

Team Win Probability* Table
Tm	R/G	BtRuns	BtWins	Plays	WPA	WPA+	WPA-	aLI	WPA/LI	Clutch	cWPA	cWPA+	cWPA-	acLI	cClutch	RE24	REW	boLI	RE24/boLI	PHlev	AB
ATL	3.82	-89.2	-9.3	6332	-4.1	108.3	-112.5%	1.08	-5.0	1.1	-2.4%	57.9%	-60.3%	.96	-1.1%	-60.7	-6.3	0.95	-41.7	1.88	261
BAL	4.37	-12.4	-1.4	6375	-4.8	109.5	-114.4%	1.04	-2.4	-2.3	-1.5%	65.0%	-66.5%	1.01	-1.2%	-31.4	-3.3	0.97	-32.0	1.70	171
BOS	4.93	66.6	6.3	6430	8.6	111.4	-102.8%	.98	4.4	4.5	13.7%	139.6%	-125.9%	2.01	4.1%	64.7	6.1	0.98	53.8	1.90	51
CAL	4.85	31.1	2.9	6537	4.6	114.0	-109.4%	1.01	3.4	1.1	6.8%	131.3%	-124.5%	1.92	0.4%	48.3	4.6	0.97	38.9	1.75	127
CHC	4.25	-77.2	-8.1	6413	-1.3	115.2	-116.6%	1.08	0.5	-1.7	-1.2%	19.3%	-20.5%	.31	-3.9%	-13.4	-1.4	0.95	-2.0	1.51	216
CHW	3.98	-158.0	-15.7	6290	-10.4	105.5	-115.9%	1.06	-12.3	2.5	-2.8%	31.7%	-34.6%	.53	-1.1%	-117.7	-11.5	0.94	-151.0	1.95	128
CIN	4.52	-59.8	-6.3	6566	4.7	118.5	-113.8%	1.07	1.4	3.0	-1.2%	43.9%	-45.1%	.69	-1.0%	47.8	4.5	0.97	21.8	1.51	208
CLE	5.10	70.9	6.8	6576	10.3	113.7	-103.4%	.94	9.0	1.9	2.4%	45.8%	-43.4%	.65	0.9%	94.9	9.2	0.96	90.9	1.38	89
DET	4.93	52.8	5.1	6546	4.8	111.2	-106.4%	.97	8.3	-3.4	2.0%	43.0%	-40.9%	.62	-1.5%	59.2	5.6	0.96	79.9	1.58	147
HOU	4.04	-27.6	-3.1	6425	4.9	110.8	-105.9%	1.02	0.6	4.2	4.4%	139.5%	-135.1%	2.17	1.1%	-0.2	-0.3	0.97	6.1	1.55	239
KCR	4.04	-86.5	-8.6	6342	-10.5	102.2	-112.7%	1.01	-8.4	-2.0	-6.9%	56.2%	-63.0%	.94	-2.7%	-92.7	-9.2	0.94	-104.4	1.66	150
LAD	3.94	-42.4	-4.5	6395	-2.1	108.6	-110.7%	1.06	-2.7	0.7	-1.6%	47.7%	-49.3%	.78	-0.4%	-14.4	-1.7	0.96	-17.3	1.45	300
MIL	4.14	-81.6	-8.1	6368	-9.6	105.2	-114.8%	1.04	-5.8	-3.4	-2.0%	36.7%	-38.7%	.59	-1.4%	-81.0	-7.9	0.95	-71.8	2.20	32
MIN	4.57	12.2	1.1	6374	-0.8	105.5	-106.2%	.96	5.0	-5.8	-0.1%	30.3%	-30.5%	.45	-3.1%	-3.8	-0.5	0.94	38.8	1.35	196
MON	3.96	-54.5	-5.9	6530	-2.2	119.8	-122.0%	1.14	-1.2	-0.7	1.4%	53.1%	-51.7%	.82	0.1%	-36.5	-4.0	0.96	-6.6	1.84	241
NYM	4.83	49.5	4.7	6589	13.5	120.0	-106.5%	1.02	8.5	4.8	10.4%	70.3%	-59.9%	.98	6.1%	113.0	11.3	0.98	95.5	1.58	195
NYY	4.92	101.2	9.6	6615	7.6	113.3	-105.8%	.97	9.7	-1.9	4.3%	95.8%	-91.5%	1.39	-2.1%	61.6	5.8	0.97	92.6	1.69	162
OAK	4.51	15.3	1.4	6419	2.8	111.8	-109.0%	1.01	1.2	1.6	-2.2%	41.3%	-43.5%	.66	-3.6%	16.3	1.6	0.96	7.1	1.87	86
PHI	4.59	-21.1	-2.4	6527	3.6	112.4	-108.8%	1.03	5.2	-1.7	-0.3%	23.4%	-23.8%	.38	-1.5%	64.3	6.1	0.96	65.6	1.65	226
PIT	4.09	-75.4	-7.9	6473	-10.1	111.6	-121.8%	1.11	-3.8	-5.3	-0.8%	23.4%	-24.3%	.37	-1.2%	-22.3	-2.4	0.97	-33.3	1.81	285
SDP	4.05	-29.7	-3.2	6363	0.0	115.0	-115.0%	1.08	-0.4	0.4	-3.4%	69.6%	-73.0%	1.13	-2.6%	-7.3	-1.0	0.96	-3.6	1.70	296
SEA	4.43	-28.7	-3.1	6436	-3.7	109.0	-112.7%	1.01	-1.9	-1.8	-1.2%	24.3%	-25.6%	.38	-2.6%	-30.7	-3.3	0.95	-31.7	1.96	95
SFG	4.31	-21.9	-2.4	6548	0.7	117.7	-117.0%	1.10	-2.0	2.6	1.1%	119.7%	-118.6%	1.85	1.5%	41.2	4.1	0.97	1.1	1.72	275
STL	3.73	-174.7	-18.1	6579	-10.9	109.8	-120.7%	1.13	-11.4	1.7	-3.9%	23.4%	-27.3%	.41	-5.0%	-73.5	-7.7	0.97	-103.3	1.91	198
TEX	4.76	20.4	1.9	6435	5.6	114.3	-108.7%	.99	2.4	3.2	3.4%	127.8%	-124.4%	1.87	0.3%	19.6	1.8	0.93	23.8	1.66	116
TOR	4.96	7.4	0.6	6562	3.6	121.3	-117.7%	1.05	3.2	0.2	2.2%	47.9%	-45.7%	.69	0.5%	43.5	4.0	0.94	29.3	1.64	156
LgAvg	4.41	-23	-2	6463	0	112	-111%	1.04	0	0	1%	62%	-60%	.94	0%	3	0	0	2	0	179
	4.41	-613.4	-67.6	168045	4.7	2915.6	-2911.0%	1.04	5.7	-1.1	20.6%	1608.1%	-1587.7%	.94	10.6%	89.0	4.2	0.96	46.4	1.68	4646
Tm	R/G	BtRuns	BtWins	Plays	WPA	WPA+	WPA-	aLI	WPA/LI	Clutch	cWPA	cWPA+	cWPA-	acLI	cClutch	RE24	REW	boLI	RE24/boLI	PHlev	AB

* - Disclaimer & Completeness Note

* Many detailed statistics are based on play-by-play accounts accumulated by Retrosheet. These totals may be incomplete (3.6% of all plays from 1916 to 1972 are missing or have incomplete accounts, click link for year and team summary of data completeness) for some players prior to 1973 and even complete seasons may not match the official totals due to errors in both the official totals and the play-by-play accounts. Pre-1954 seasons have a substantial numbers of games missing play-by-play accounts and should be viewed as essentially incomplete.

1986 MLB Win Probability

Team Win Probability*

* - Disclaimer & Completeness Note

Player Win Probability